2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
 
Nominee Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 207,166 139,001
Percentage 57.9% 38.9%

McKee:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Kalus:      40–50%      50–60%

Governor before election

Dan McKee
Democratic

Elected Governor

Dan McKee
Democratic

The 2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Rhode Island. Incumbent Democratic Governor Dan McKee became Rhode Island's governor on March 2, 2021, when term-limited Gina Raimondo resigned following her confirmation as United States Secretary of Commerce. McKee easily won a full term on election day, defeating Republican Ashley Kalus by more than 19 percentage points.[1][2]

McKee's margin of victory and vote share was the highest for any candidate for governor of Rhode Island since 1992. This was the first time since that election that Democrats won every county in a gubernatorial election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Matt Brown
U.S. Senators
State legislators
Helena Foulkes
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Nellie Gorbea
State legislators
Organizations
Labor unions
Dan McKee
Luis Daniel Muñoz
Individuals
Local officials
  • David Alden Sears, member of the Cranston School Committee[46]
Organizations

Polling

Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Matt
Brown
Helena
Foulkes
Nellie
Gorbea
Seth
Magaziner
Dan
McKee
Luis Daniel
Muñoz
Other Undecided
Fleming & Associates August 7–10, 2022 405 (LV) ± 4.9% 8% 14% 25% 28% 1% 21%
Lake Research Partners (D)[upper-alpha 1] July 25–27, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 7% 14% 27% 22% 3% 5% 22%
Suffolk University June 19–22, 2022 353 (LV) ± 5.2% 5% 16% 24% 20% 1% 2% 31%
Fleming & Associates May 9–12, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 6% 23% 25% 2% 37%
Lake Research Partners (D)[upper-alpha 1] April 11–14, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 10% 7% 30% 24% 1% 3% 26%
January 26, 2022 Magaziner withdraws from the race
Lake Research Partners (D)[upper-alpha 1] November 7–10, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 4% 24% 16% 26% 20%

Results

Results by county
  McKee
  •   30–40%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
Results by municipality:
  McKee
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Foulkes
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Gorbea
  •   30–40%
Democratic primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 37,288 32.82%
Democratic Helena Foulkes 33,931 29.87%
Democratic Nellie Gorbea 29,811 26.24%
Democratic Matt Brown 9,021 7.94%
Democratic Luis Daniel Muñoz 3,547 3.12%
Total votes 113,598 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Ashley Kalus

Results

Results by county:
  Kalus
  •   80–90%
Results by municipality:
  Kalus
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  •   >90%
Republican primary results[54]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Ashley Kalus 17,188 83.68%
Republican Jonathan Riccitelli 3,351 16.32%
Total votes 20,539 100.0%

Third parties and Independents

Qualified

Declined

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[73] Solid D March 4, 2022
Inside Elections[74] Solid D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[75] Likely D January 26, 2022
Politico[76] Likely D April 1, 2022
RCP[77] Likely D January 10, 2022
Fox News[78] Likely D May 12, 2022
538[79] Solid D June 30, 2022
Elections Daily[80] Likely D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Dan McKee (D)
Ashley Kalus (R)
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Ashley
Kalus (R)
Other Undecided
Suffolk University October 1–4, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 36% 4%[lower-alpha 3] 14%
Fleming & Associates September 29 – October 2, 2022 402 (LV) ± 4.9% 45% 32% 7%[lower-alpha 4] 15%
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 51% 28% 21%
Hypothetical polling
Dan McKee vs. Jonathan Riccitelli
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Dan
McKee (D)
Jonathan
Riccitelli (R)
Undecided
Echelon Insights August 31 – September 7, 2022 373 (LV) ± 6.1% 53% 25% 22%

Debates

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:  P  Participant 
Dan McKee Ashley Kalus
1 October 11, 2022 WPRI-TV YouTube P P
1 November 3, 2022 WJAR-TV C-SPAN p p

Results

2022 Rhode Island gubernatorial election[83]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dan McKee (incumbent) 207,166 57.92% +5.28%
Republican Ashley Kalus 139,001 38.86% +1.68%
Independent Zachary Hurwitz 4,512 1.26% N/A
Independent Paul Rianna Jr. 3,123 0.87% N/A
Libertarian Elijah Gizzarelli 2,811 0.79% N/A
Write-in 1,057 0.30% −0.03%
Total votes 357,670 100.0%
Turnout  %
Registered electors
Democratic hold

Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Notes

  1. McKee became governor in 2021 when his predecessor, Gina Raimondo, resigned to become U.S. Secretary of Commerce. Prior to that, he was the Lieutenant Governor of Rhode Island.
  2. 1 2 3 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. Hurwitz with 2%; Gizzarelli and Rianna with 1%
  4. Rianna with 3%; Gizzarelli and Hurwitz with 2%
Partisan clients
  1. 1 2 3 This poll was sponsored by Gorbea's campaign

References

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Official campaign websites
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