2022 Michigan gubernatorial election
November 8, 2022
Turnout54.1% Decrease (estimated)[1]
 
Nominee Gretchen Whitmer Tudor Dixon
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate Garlin Gilchrist Shane Hernandez
Popular vote 2,430,505 1,960,635
Percentage 54.5% 43.9%
Whitmer:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Dixon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Governor before election

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic

The 2022 Michigan gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Michigan. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer ran for re-election to a second term and faced former political commentator Tudor Dixon in the general election.[2] Whitmer defeated Dixon by a margin of 10.6 percentage points, a wider margin than polls indicated as well as a wider margin Whitmer's first victory four years prior. According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Whitmer won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Dixon's defeat.[3]

This was the first gubernatorial election in Michigan history in which both major party candidates for governor were women,[4] and the first since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president.[5]

Process for ballot appearance and fraud allegations

In order to appear on a primary ballot for the August 2 Democratic and Republican primaries, candidates must submit between 15,000 and 30,000 signatures in addition to their filing paperwork.[6] These signatures are submitted to the Board of State Canvassers, a bipartisan and independent board that verifies petition signatures. Within seven days of the filing deadline, citizens and organizations can challenge nomination signatures submitted by candidates.[6] Voters are only allowed to sign one nomination petition.[6]

After the filing deadline, the Board of State Canvassers received nearly 30 challenges to nomination petitions. Among them, the Michigan Democratic Party alleged that several Republican candidates engaged in signature fraud with their petitions. This was followed by a report by the Michigan Bureau of Elections which alleged that 36 paid signature circulators faked signatures and engaged in practices that added fraudulent signatures to other candidates petitions.[6]

An eight-hour meeting of the Board of State Canvassers reached a deadlock on whether to allow the candidates in question to stay on the ballot.[6] Due to the deadlock, the candidates in question were not allowed to appear on the primary ballot. The rushed pace of the proceedings and the decision were criticized by Common Cause of Michigan, whose policy director suggested that the candidates in question had to plead their cases to the Board of Canvassers days after finding out about the alleged fraud themselves.[6][7]

Several candidates filed lawsuits appealing the decision. These suits were rejected in the Michigan Court of Appeals.[8] At least two of the candidates involved pledged to appeal their cases to the Michigan Supreme Court.[6]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Endorsements

Gretchen Whitmer
Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gretchen Whitmer (incumbent) 938,382 100.0%
Total votes 938,382 100.0%

Republican primary

Fourteen people declared their candidacy for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[17] At the filing deadline, 10 candidates submitted enough signatures to appear on the ballot, a state record.[17] However, following challenges by the state Democratic party and other organizations, five candidates were deemed ineligible to appear on the ballot due to alleged fraudulent signatures.[18] Several of these candidates, including former Detroit police chief James Craig and Michael Markey, pledged to appeal the decision to the State Supreme Court.[6] Craig also mentioned that, should the appeal fail, he would still plan to run as a write-in candidate for both the primary and the general election.[6] On June 15, 2022, Craig announced he was launching a write-in campaign for the nomination.[19]

On June 9, 2022, candidate Ryan Kelley was arrested by the FBI following numerous tips that he had participated in the January 6 United States Capitol attack.[20] The criminal complaint alleges that Kelley engaged in disorderly conduct on restricted grounds and engaged in acts of violence against a person or property.[20] He agreed in June 2023 to plead guilty on a lesser charge in relation to his participation in the insurrection.[21][22]

On August 19, 2022, Dixon announced former state representative Shane Hernandez as her running mate. However, shortly after, former gubernatorial candidates Ralph Rebandt and Garrett Soldano both announced that they were exploring the possibility of launching their own campaigns for lieutenant governor to contest Hernandez at the August 27 state GOP convention for not being conservative enough.[23] On August 22, 2022, Soldano announced that he would not seek the position of lieutenant governor at the convention.[24] Later that same day, Rebandt announced that he would seek the nomination at the convention.[25] Hernandez secured his party's nomination at the convention, despite heated opposition from supporters of Rebandt.[26]

On June 22, 2023, charges were filed against three individuals regarding the fraudulent signatures that disqualified five of the candidates in the Republican primary.[27][28][29]

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Disqualified, write-in campaign

Failed to qualify

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Brown (disqualified)
State representatives
Local officials
Individuals
  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (switched endorsement to Rinke)[78]
James Craig (disqualified/write-in)
U.S. representatives
State officials
Mayors
Tudor Dixon
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
U.S. representatives
State senators
Individuals
Organizations
Newspapers
Perry Johnson (disqualified)
U.S. representatives
Michael Jay Markey Jr. (disqualified)
State Senators
Kevin Rinke
Individuals
  • Ted Nugent, singer-songwriter and conservative political activist (previously endorsed Brown)[93]
Newspapers

Polling

Graphical summary
Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Tudor
Dixon		 Ryan
Kelley		 Kevin
Rinke		 Garrett
Soldano		 Other
[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics July 28 – August 1, 2022 August 1, 2022 40.7% 11.7% 20.3% 14.7% 12.6% Dixon +20.4
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Mike
Brown		 James
Craig		 Tudor
Dixon		 Perry
Johnson		 Ryan
Kelley		 Kevin
Rinke		 Garrett
Soldano		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 31 – August 1, 2022 1,074 (LV) ± 2.9% – – 41% – 10% 19% 18% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 11%
Mitchell Research (R) July 31, 2022 443 (LV) ± 4.7% – – 37% – 12% 23% 12% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 15%
Emerson College July 28–30, 2022 869 (LV) ± 3.3% – – 41% – 12% 17% 12% 9%[lower-alpha 4] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) July 26–28, 2022 1,098 (LV) ± 2.9% – – 28% – 14% 17% 19% 3%[lower-alpha 5] 19%
co/efficient (R)[upper-alpha 1] July 24–26, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.1% – – 21% – – 22% – – –
Mitchell Research (R) July 24–25, 2022 436 (LV) ± 5.0% – – 28% – 14% 22% 11% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 25%
Mitchell Research (R) July 17–18, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% – – 28% – 15% 20% 10% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 26%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 13–15, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% – – 19% – 13% 15% 12% 2%[lower-alpha 3] 38%
Mitchell Research (R) July 7–8, 2022 683 (LV) ± 3.8% – – 26% – 15% 13% 13% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 33%
Mitchell Research (R) June 21–22, 2022 588 (LV) ± 4.0% – – 15% – 13% 15% 8% 3%[lower-alpha 5] 46%
EPIC-MRA June 10–13, 2022 398 (LV) ± 4.9% – – 5% – 17% 12% 13% 8%[lower-alpha 7] 45%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 400 (LV) ± 5.0% – – 9% – 19% 15% 6% 1%[lower-alpha 6] 49%
May 23, 2022 Board of Elections announces Brandenburg, Brown, Craig, Johnson, and Markey did not file enough valid signatures to appear on the ballot
The Glengariff Group, Inc. April 29 – May 1, 2022 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 2% 23% 2% 5% 5% 6% 8% 3%[lower-alpha 8] 44%
The Trafalgar Group (R) March 29–31, 2022 1,072 (LV) ± 3.0% 2% 34% 3% 16% 7% 2% 15% 8% 12%
March 3, 2022 Chenge withdraws from the race
Mitchell Research (R) February 17–19, 2022 539 (LV) ± 4.2% 3% 32% 4% 3% 4% 5% 10% 3% 37%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% – 38% 1% – 1% 0% 8% 2%[lower-alpha 9] 50%
– 40% 1% – – 0% 10% – 49%
Hypothetical polling
John James vs. James Craig
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 John
James		 James
Craig		 Undecided
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021 304 (RV) ± 3.5% 36% 21% 42%

Results

Results by county
  Dixon
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Rinke
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
Republican primary results[16]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tudor Dixon 436,350 39.69%
Republican Kevin Rinke 236,306 21.50%
Republican Garrett Soldano 192,442 17.51%
Republican Ryan Kelley 165,587 15.06%
Republican Ralph Rebandt 45,046 4.10%
Write-in 23,542 2.14%
Total votes 1,099,273 100.0%

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominated

Constitution convention

Candidates

Nominee

  • Donna Brandenburg, businesswoman (Nominated following disqualification from GOP ballot)[96]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[97] Lean D October 28, 2022
Inside Elections[98] Tilt D March 4, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[99] Lean D November 7, 2022
Politico[100] Lean D May 23, 2022
RCP[101] Tossup October 21, 2022
Fox News[102] Lean D August 22, 2022
538[103] Likely D November 8, 2022
Elections Daily[104] Lean D November 7, 2022

Endorsements

Gretchen Whitmer (D)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State officials
State senators
State representatives
  • Kyra Harris Bolden, state representative from Michigan's 35th district[110]
  • Doug Hart, former State Representative from Michigan's 73rd district (Republican)[115]
  • Mike Pumford, former State Representative from Michigan's 100th district (Republican)[115]
Local officials
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Tudor Dixon (R)
U.S. Executive Branch officials
State officials
U.S. representatives
State senators
Individuals
Newspapers
Organizations
Declined to endorse
State officials
Local officials
Organizations
  • Michigan Chamber of Commerce (withdrew endorsement of Dixon from the primary)[145]
  • Small Business Association of Michigan[145]

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Tudor
Dixon (R)		 Other
[lower-alpha 10]		 Margin
Real Clear Politics October 30 – November 7, 2022 November 8, 2022 48.3% 47.3% 4.4% Whitmer +1.0
FiveThirtyEight January 3 – November 8, 2022 November 8, 2022 49.9% 45.1% 5.0% Whitmer +4.8
270toWin November 3–7, 2022 November 8, 2022 50.4% 46.4% 3.2% Whitmer +4.0
Average 49.5% 46.3% 4.2% Whitmer +3.2
Graphical summary
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Tudor
Dixon (R)		 Other Undecided
The Trafalgar Group (R) November 5–7, 2022 1,097 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 49% 1%[lower-alpha 11] 2%
Cygnal (R) November 1–4, 2022 1,603 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 12] 1%
Mitchell Research November 3, 2022 658 (LV) ± 3.8% 50% 48% 1%[lower-alpha 13] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 31 – November 2, 2022 1,754 (LV) ± 2.3% 51% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 14] 2%
EPIC-MRA October 28 – November 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 54% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 15] 2%
Emerson College October 27–31, 2022 1,584 (LV) ± 2.5% 50% 45% 3%[lower-alpha 16] 3%
51% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 17] –
Cygnal (R) October 27–31, 2022 1,584 (LV) ± 2.5% 51% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 18] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[upper-alpha 3] October 30, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 45% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 19] 5%
Wick Insights October 26–30, 2022 1,137 (LV) ± 3.2% 49% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 20] 2%
KAConsulting (R)[upper-alpha 4] October 27–29, 2022 501 (LV) ± 4.4% 48% 41% 5%[lower-alpha 21] 7%
Cygnal (R) October 25–29, 2022 1,543 (LV) ± 2.5% 51% 44% 2%[lower-alpha 22] 3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. October 26–28, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 43% 3% 2%
Cygnal (R) October 23–27, 2022 1,822 (LV) ± 2.3% 51% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 23] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 21–25, 2022 1,378 (LV) ± 2.6% 51% 45% 3%[lower-alpha 24] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 19–23, 2022 1,459 (LV) ± 2.6% 50% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 25] 3%
The Trafalgar Group (R) October 18–21, 2022 1,022 (LV) ± 2.9% 48% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 26] 2%
Cygnal (R) October 17–21, 2022 1,904 (LV) ± 2.3% 50% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 27] 4%
Mitchell Research October 19, 2022 541 (LV) ± 4.2% 49% 47% 1%[lower-alpha 28] 3%
Cygnal (R) October 15–19, 2022 1,793 (LV) ± 2.3% 49% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 29] 4%
CNN/SSRS October 13–18, 2022 901 (RV) ± 4.2% 55% 41% 4%[lower-alpha 30] 1%
651 (LV) ± 4.9% 52% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 31] –
Emerson College October 12–14, 2022 580 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 32] 4%
Cygnal (R)[upper-alpha 5] October 12–14, 2022 640 (LV) ± 3.9% 49% 44% 4%[lower-alpha 33] 4%
Wick Insights (R) October 8–14, 2022 1,136 (LV) ± 3.1% 47% 48% 2%[lower-alpha 34] 3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[upper-alpha 3] October 12, 2022 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 44% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 35] 7%
EPIC-MRA October 6–12, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 38% 4%[lower-alpha 36] 9%
YouGov/CBS News October 3–6, 2022 1,285 (RV) ± 3.6% 53% 47% – –
The Glengariff Group, Inc. September 26–29, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 32% 9%[lower-alpha 37] 9%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 24–28, 2022 1,075 (LV) ± 2.9% 51% 45% 4%[lower-alpha 38] 1%
EPIC-MRA[upper-alpha 6] September 15–19, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 55% 39% – 6%
EPIC-MRA[upper-alpha 7] September 7–13, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 51% 40% 7%[lower-alpha 39] 2%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. August 29 – September 1, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 35% 4% 13%
The Trafalgar Group (R) August 22–25, 2022 1,080 (LV) ± 2.9% 49% 45% 3%[lower-alpha 40] 2%
EPIC-MRA August 18–23, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 39% – 11%
Blueprint Polling (D) August 15–16, 2022 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 39% 3% 8%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) August 8–14, 2022 1,365 (LV) ± 4.4% 51% 46% – 3%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 40% – 9%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 58% 21% – 21%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 31% – 19%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 41% – 13%
Hypothetical polling
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ryan Kelley
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Ryan
Kelley (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 41% 9%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 57% 23% 19%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Ralph Rebandt
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Ralph
Rebandt (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 37% 10%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 58% 19% 23%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Kevin Rinke
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Kevin
Rinke (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 40% 8%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 58% 24% 18%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 33% 17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Garrett Soldano
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Garrett
Soldano (R)		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. July 5–8, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 38% 10%
Target Insyght May 26–27, 2022 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 58% 22% 20%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 33% 17%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. James Craig
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 James
Craig (R)		 Undecided
Blueprint Polling (D) February 1–4, 2022 632 (LV) ± 3.9% 44% 44% 12%
EPIC-MRA January 15–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 41% 13%
The Glengariff Group, Inc. January 3–7, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 49% 39% 12%
ARW Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 2] January 4–6, 2022 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 46% 46% 8%
Strategic National (R)[upper-alpha 2] September 18–19, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 47% 46% 7%
The Trafalgar Group (R) September 13–15, 2021 1,097 (LV) ± 3.0% 44% 50% 5%
EPIC-MRA August 9–15, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 44% 11%
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)[upper-alpha 8] May 26 – June 4, 2021 809 (LV) ± 4.0% 38% 45% 17%
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 48% 42% 10%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. John James
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 John
James (R)		 Undecided
Competitive Edge Research & Communication (R)[upper-alpha 8] May 26 – June 4, 2021 809 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 45% 5%
Target Insyght May 9–11, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 49% 39% 12%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. Candice Miller
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Candice
Miller (R)		 Other Undecided
EPIC-MRA February 19–25, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 46% 45% – 9%
Denno Research December 14–15, 2020 600 (V) ± 4.0% 46% 42% 13%[lower-alpha 41] –
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic Republican
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Generic
Republican		 Undecided
EPIC-MRA May 11–17, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 9%
ARW Strategies (R)[upper-alpha 9] April 18–20, 2022 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 45% 46% 8%
Cygnal (R) June 2–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 41% 52% 7%
Gretchen Whitmer vs. generic opponent
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Gretchen
Whitmer (D)		 Generic
Opponent		 Undecided
The Glengariff Group, Inc. February 3–6, 2021 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 39% 41%[lower-alpha 42] 20%[lower-alpha 43]

Debates

2022 Michigan gubernatorial general election debates
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:

 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Non-invitee   I  Invitee  W  Withdrawn
Gretchen Whitmer Tudor Dixon
1 Oct. 13, 2022 WOOD-TV Rick Albin WOOD-TV P P
2 Oct. 25, 2022 Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement,
WXYZ-TV, WXMI, WSYM-TV		 Chuck Stokes, Doug Reardon, Elle Meyers[147] WXYZ-TV P P

The first debate was held on Thursday, October 13 in Grand Rapids hosted by local TV station WOOD-TV. The two clashed on various issues such as abortion, the economy and COVID-19. The fact checkers were busy analyzing the claims the two candidates made.[148] Analysts determined this debate to be a draw.[149]

The second debate was held on Tuesday, October 25 on the campus of Oakland University in Rochester. The debate was co-sponsored by Oakland University's Center for Civic Engagement and E.W. Scripps owned TV stations WXYZ-TV in Detroit, WXMI-TV in Grand Rapids and WSYM-TV in Lansing.[150] News stories about the debate specifically noted a question Whitmer gave Dixon when they argued on school safety and library books: "Do you really think books are more dangerous than guns?"[151]

Results

2022 Michigan gubernatorial election[152]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic
2,430,505 54.47% +1.16%
Republican
1,960,635 43.94% +0.19%
Libertarian
  • Mary Buzuma
  • Brian Ellison
 38,800 0.87% −0.46%
Constitution
  • Donna Brandenburg
  • Mellissa Carone
 16,246 0.36% −0.33%
Green
  • Kevin Hogan
  • Destiny Clayton
 10,766 0.24% −0.44%
Natural Law
  • Daryl M. Simpson
  • Doug Dern
 4,973 0.11% −0.13%
Write-in 47 0.00% ±0.0%
Total votes 4,461,972 100.0%
Turnout 4,500,400 55.19%
Registered electors 8,154,832
Democratic hold

By county

By county
County[153]Gretchen Whitmer
Democratic		Tudor Dixon
Republican		Other VotesMarginTotal
votes
 % #  % #  % #  % #
Alcona 34.71% 2,076 63.57% 3,802 1.72% 103 −28.86% −1,726 5,981
Alger 45.86% 1,984 52.20% 2,258 1.94% 84 −6.34% −274 4,326
Allegan 39.76% 22,802 58.58% 33,590 1.66% 950 −18.82% −10,788 57,342
Alpena 41.34% 5,779 56.65% 7,920 2.01% 281 −15.31% −2,141 13,980
Antrim 42.36% 5,937 55.85% 7,827 1.78% 250 −13.49% −1,890 14,014
Arenac 37.78% 2,709 60.17% 4,314 2.05% 147 −22.39% −1,605 7,170
Baraga 38.59% 1,329 59.70% 2,056 1.71% 59 −21.11% −727 3,444
Barry 37.63% 11,552 60.42% 18,547 1.95% 598 −22.79% −6,995 30,697
Bay 50.36% 24,783 47.65% 23,448 1.99% 978 2.71% 1,335 49,209
Benzie 50.95% 5,446 47.38% 5,064 1.67% 179 3.57% 382 10,689
Berrien 46.55% 29,803 51.79% 33,157 1.66% 1064 −5.24% −3,354 64,024
Branch 35.19% 5,676 62.81% 10,132 2.00% 322 −27.62% −4,456 16,130
Calhoun 48.31% 24,916 49.82% 25,694 1.87% 966 −1.51% −778 51,576
Cass 36.11% 7,350 62.23% 12,666 1.66% 337 −26.12% −5,316 20,353
Charlevoix 45.87% 6,728 52.27% 7,667 1.87% 274 −6.40% −939 14,669
Cheboygan 40.18% 5,357 57.80% 7,707 2.02% 270 −17.62% −2,350 13,334
Chippewa 43.36% 6,303 54.36% 7,902 2.28% 332 −11.00% −1,599 14,537
Clare 38.32% 5,057 59.48% 7,850 2.20% 291 −21.16% −2,793 13,198
Clinton 50.15% 20,664 48.31% 19,904 1.54% 636 1.84% 760 41,204
Crawford 40.65% 2,655 57.08% 3,728 2.27% 148 −16.43% −1,073 6,531
Delta 39.73% 6,890 58.23% 10,097 2.04% 354 −18.50% −3,207 17,341
Dickinson 35.96% 4,310 62.12% 7,446 1.92% 230 −26.16% −3,136 11,986
Eaton 53.78% 28,806 44.49% 23,828 1.73% 924 9.29% 4,978 53,558
Emmet 48.37% 9,285 49.96% 9,590 1.67% 320 −1.59% −305 19,195
Genesee 58.47% 100,325 39.79% 68,282 1.74% 2,987 18.68% 32,043 171,594
Gladwin 36.77% 4,422 61.18% 7,357 2.05% 246 −24.41% −2,935 12,025
Gogebic 45.47% 2,940 52.78% 3,413 1.75% 113 −7.31% −473 6,466
Grand Traverse 52.38% 27,396 45.90% 24,005 1.72% 901 6.48% 3,391 52,302
Gratiot 41.01% 6,285 56.51% 8,659 2.48% 380 −15.50% −2,374 15,324
Hillsdale 29.89% 5,575 67.80% 12,644 2.31% 431 −37.91% −7,069 18,650
Houghton 45.41% 7,030 52.51% 8,128 2.08% 322 −7.10% −1,098 15,480
Huron 35.39% 5,310 62.61% 9,395 2.01% 301 −27.22% −4,085 15,006
Ingham 69.23% 82,408 29.29% 34,869 1.48% 1,765 39.94% 47,539 119,042
Ionia 39.86% 10,845 58.02% 15,786 2.12% 577 −18.16% −4,941 27,208
Iosco 41.69% 5,266 56.30% 7,111 2.01% 254 −14.61% −1,845 12,631
Iron 39.79% 2,236 58.40% 3,282 1.81% 102 −18.61% −1,046 5,620
Isabella 52.51% 12,581 45.61% 10,927 1.87% 449 6.90% 1,654 23,957
Jackson 44.84% 29,011 53.22% 34,439 1.94% 1,255 −8.38% −5,428 64,705
Kalamazoo 62.10% 72,516 36.34% 42,436 1.56% 1,824 25.76% 30,080 116,776
Kalkaska 33.98% 3,009 63.43% 5,616 2.59% 229 −29.45% −2,607 8,854
Kent 54.32% 162,899 44.08% 132,172 1.60% 4,801 10.24% 30,727 299,872
Keweenaw 47.91% 666 50.43% 701 1.65% 23 −2.52% −35 1,390
Lake 39.56% 2,081 58.08% 3,055 2.36% 124 −18.52% −974 5,260
Lapeer 36.49% 15,983 61.50% 26,940 2.01% 879 −25.01% −10,957 43,802
Leelanau 55.19% 8,540 43.63% 6,752 1.18% 182 11.56% 1,788 15,474
Lenawee 42.58% 18,248 55.52% 23,796 1.90% 813 −12.94% −5,548 42,857
Livingston 42.75% 46,524 55.58% 60,494 1.67% 1,821 −12.83% −13,970 108,839
Luce 33.22% 786 64.24% 1,520 2.54% 60 −31.02% −734 2,366
Mackinac 42.79% 2,567 55.43% 3,325 1.78% 107 −12.64% −758 5,999
Macomb 51.82% 199,277 46.62% 179,258 1.56% 6,009 5.20% 20,019 384,544
Manistee 47.65% 6,026 50.32% 6,364 2.02% 256 −2.67% −338 12,646
Marquette 60.19% 18,880 38.15% 11,967 1.66% 522 22.04% 6,913 31,369
Mason 43.49% 6,419 54.32% 8,018 2.19% 324 −10.83% −1,599 14,761
Mecosta 39.22% 6,867 58.61% 10,262 2.18% 381 −19.39% −3,395 17,510
Menominee 34.59% 3,347 63.34% 6,129 2.07% 200 −28.75% −2,782 9,676
Midland 47.30% 19,497 50.85% 20,964 1.85% 763 −3.55% −1,467 41,224
Missaukee 26.79% 1,995 71.24% 5,306 1.97% 147 −44.45% −3,311 7,448
Monroe 42.73% 29,482 55.53% 38,312 1.74% 1,203 −12.80% −8,830 68,997
Montcalm 36.45% 9,622 61.24% 16,165 2.30% 608 −24.79% −6,543 26,395
Montmorency 33.23% 1,701 64.49% 3,301 2.29% 117 −31.26% −1,600 5,119
Muskegon 53.19% 39,269 44.86% 33,121 1.95% 1,443 8.33% 6,148 73,833
Newaygo 32.59% 7,417 65.37% 14,879 2.04% 465 −32.78% −7,462 22,761
Oakland 60.92% 383,895 37.84% 238,448 1.25% 7,862 23.08% 145,447 630,205
Oceana 39.88% 4,820 58.02% 7,012 2.10% 254 −18.14% −2,192 12,086
Ogemaw 35.71% 3,532 62.18% 6,151 2.11% 209 −26.47% −2,619 9,892
Ontonagon 40.47% 1,319 57.13% 1,862 2.39% 78 −16.66% −543 3,259
Osceola 30.58% 3,174 67.00% 6,954 2.43% 251 −36.42% −3,780 10,379
Oscoda 33.77% 1,355 63.63% 2,553 2.59% 104 −29.86% −1,198 4,012
Otsego 38.53% 4,818 59.35% 7,422 2.12% 265 −20.82% −2,604 12,505
Ottawa 40.26% 58,952 58.29% 85,361 1.45% 2,119 −18.03% −26,409 146,432
Presque Isle 40.85% 2,981 57.07% 4,165 2.08% 152 −16.22% −1,184 7,298
Roscommon 40.80% 5,284 57.07% 7,391 2.13% 276 −16.27% −2,107 12,951
Saginaw 53.00% 43,219 45.37% 37,002 1.63% 1,329 7.63% 6,217 81,550
Sanilac 31.73% 5,967 66.33% 12,473 1.94% 364 −34.60% −6,506 18,804
Schoolcraft 39.27% 1,527 58.23% 2,264 2.49% 97 −18.96% −737 3,888
Shiawassee 45.46% 14,730 52.37% 16,969 2.17% 703 −6.91% −2,239 32,402
St. Clair 40.49% 30,170 57.35% 42,731 2.15% 1,604 −16.86% −12,561 74,505
St. Joseph 38.35% 8,402 59.60% 13,059 2.05% 449 −21.25% −4,657 21,910
Tuscola 35.06% 8,418 62.81% 15,078 2.13% 511 −27.75% −6,660 24,007
Van Buren 48.08% 15,347 50.04% 15,974 1.88% 601 −1.96% −627 31,922
Washtenaw 75.15% 135,904 23.67% 42,804 1.18% 2,140 51.48% 93,100 180,848
Wayne 70.86% 457,601 27.95% 180,487 1.18% 7,651 42.91% 277,114 645,739
Wexford 37.37% 5,645 60.45% 9,131 2.18% 329 −23.08% −3,486 15,105
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic

Analysis

Whitmer led Dixon in most of the polls. Most Republican donors chose not to fund campaign ads for Dixon, causing the TV airwaves to be dominated by ads for Whitmer, which included negative ads against Dixon.[145][154] Whitmer also spent a lot more in digital advertising compared to Dixon.[155] Abortion rights, which were on the ballot in the same election, were the subject of negative ads against Dixon, who opposed abortion rights.[156] Although aggregate polling had Whitmer up by about 3%, and a last minute poll by Trafalgar Group had Dixon ahead by 1%, the election was not close. Whitmer defeated Dixon at the same time Michigan voters approved a ballot measure that would guarantee abortion rights in the Michigan constitution.[157] Democrats swept the other statewide partisan races and won control of both the state House and state Senate.[158] This marked the first time Democrats took control of both houses of the Michigan legislature since 1984.[159]

Whitmer's victory was attributed to her strong performance in Michigan's most populous counties, which include Wayne (Detroit and Dearborn), Oakland (Pontiac and Troy), Kent (Grand Rapids), Macomb (Warren plus other northern Detroit suburbs), Genesee (Flint), Washtenaw (Ann Arbor and the University of Michigan), Ingham (home to the state capital of Lansing), Kalamazoo, Saginaw, and Muskegon. She also performed well in some more moderately populous places, including Marquette County in the Upper Peninsula and the Traverse City area in the northwestern tip of the Lower Peninsula. Whitmer's wider victory margin was attributed to her increased leads from her previous election in places such as Kent County (4.15% to 10.38%), Oakland County (16.96% to 23.08%), and Washtenaw County (46.14% to 51.48%), solidifying the latter's status as the bluest county in Michigan. Voting by college students also went up, causing long lines at polling places which led to continued voting long after the polls closed at 8 p.m.[160]

Dixon, on the other hand, did well in Michigan's outer suburbs and rural counties. While she improved on 2018 Republican nominee Bill Schuette's performance in moderately populated Monroe and St. Clair counties on the outskirts of Metro Detroit, she saw her leads drop in Livingston County (home to Howell and other Detroit suburbs) from 17.07% to 12.83% and Ottawa County (home to Grand Haven, Holland, and other Grand Rapids suburbs) from 23.57% to 18.04%, further continuing the trend of moderate white suburban voters shifting away from the Republicans and toward the Democrats.

Through Proposal 3, voters simultaneously enshrined reproductive rights to the State Constitution. Key to Whitmer's win were Macomb County and Oakland County, the former of those being won by Republicans in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. Voters in Oakland County cemented the shift from suburban Republican stronghold into a Democratic stronghold, by giving Whitmer a 150,000 voter margin over Dixon, signaling Oakland County's shift as part of a core Democratic constituency. As Republicans became more politically conservative, the moderate Oakland County has shifted from its Republican roots to a key Democratic county in Michigan elections. Whitmer outperformed Biden by nearly 9 points in her election, and the race somewhat mirrored Proposal 3, which Michigan voters enshrined into their Constitution by a 57%-43% margin. Oakland County's shift from Republican stronghold to a new Democratic stronghold reflects a nationwide shift amongst suburban voters.

Despite Dixon's loss, she managed to flip Gogebic County in the Upper Peninsula (which had voted for Whitmer in 2018), making this the first election since 1932 where a Democrat won the Michigan Governor's Mansion without carrying Gogebic County.[161] Conversely, Whitmer flipped the counties of Benzie and Grand Traverse; the last time the Democratic candidate won these counties were 2006 and 1986, respectively.[162]

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. 1 2 3 Rebandt with 2%
  4. ↑ "Someone else" with 7%, Rebandt with 3%
  5. 1 2 Rebandt with 3%
  6. 1 2 3 4 Rebandt with 1%
  7. ↑ Write-ins (volunteered response) with 7%, Rebandt with 1%
  8. ↑ Brandenburg with 2%, Rebandt with 1%, Markey with 0%
  9. ↑ Chenge with 2%
  10. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  11. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%; "Other" with 1%
  12. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  13. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  14. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  15. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 1%
  16. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  17. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%
  18. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  19. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  20. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  21. ↑ "Other/Refused" with 5%
  22. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 2%
  23. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  24. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  25. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  26. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 2%; "Other" with <1%
  27. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  28. ↑ "Another candidate" with 1%
  29. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 3%
  30. ↑ "Neither" with 3%; "Other with 1%
  31. ↑ "Neither" with 2%
  32. ↑ Brandenburg (UTP) with 2%; Buzuma (L) with 1%; Hogan (G) with 0%
  33. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 4%
  34. ↑ "Someone else" with 2%
  35. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 2%; "Another candidate" with 1%
  36. ↑ Buzuma (L) with 3%; Hogan (G) with 1%; Brandenburg (UTP) with <1%; Simpson (NL) with <1%
  37. ↑ Buzuma with 4%; "Refused to answer" with 3%; Hogan, Brandenburg, and Simpson with 1%
  38. ↑ Buzuma with 3%; "Other" with 1%
  39. ↑ "Third party candidate" with 7%
  40. ↑ Buzuma with 2%; "Other" with 1%
  41. ↑ Includes Undecided
  42. ↑ "Elect someone new" as opposed to "re-elect Whitmer" with 41%
  43. ↑ "It depends" with 14%; Undecided with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ This poll was sponsored by Rinke's campaign
  2. 1 2 3 4 Poll sponsored by Craig's campaign
  3. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by American Greatness, a conservative news outlet
  4. ↑ Poll conducted for Citizens United, a conservative non-profit organization.
  5. ↑ This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Association of Broadcasters
  6. ↑ Poll conducted for WJRT-TV and the Detroit Free Press.
  7. ↑ Poll conducted for MIRS, Governmental Consultant Services Inc., and the Life Insurance Association of Michigan.
  8. 1 2 This poll was sponsored by the Michigan Republican Party
  9. ↑ Poll sponsored by DePerno's campaign for Attorney General

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  105. ↑ "'Car guy' Biden touts electric vehicles at Detroit auto show". AP. September 14, 2022. Retrieved September 17, 2022.
  106. ↑ "Pete Buttigieg 1-on-1 talks about his support for Gov Whitmer on campaign trial". November 4, 2022.
  107. ↑ "VP Kamala Harris to visit Michigan for Whitmer fundraiser, student event".
  108. ↑ Scribner, Herb (October 15, 2022). "Obama to campaign for Dems in key states as midterms race tighten". Axios. Retrieved October 15, 2022.
  109. ↑ "Cory Booker makes a healthy pit stop at Breadless during Detroit visit".
  110. 1 2 3 4 "Obama stumps for Whitmer in Detroit: 'Tuning out is not an option'". October 29, 2022.
  111. ↑ "Sanders to barnstorm across 8 states before Election Day". October 19, 2022.
  112. ↑ "Obama urges unity as he stumps for Democrats in tight Michigan races". MSN.
  113. ↑ "'Republicans for Whitmer' launches in Michigan". September 12, 2022.
  114. ↑ Kapos, Shia (October 3, 2022). "Pritzker, Bailey, liars and debates". Politico. Retrieved October 3, 2022.
  115. 1 2 3 4 5 "'Republicans for Whitmer' return to support Democratic governor in re-election bid". September 12, 2022. Retrieved September 29, 2022.
  116. ↑ "Magic Johnson Reveals His Endorsement for Governor". June 24, 2023.
  117. ↑ "Actress Kerry Washington: It can't be 'harder for me to vote than it was for my grandparents' ⋆ Michigan Advance". November 6, 2022.
  118. ↑ "Here are all Detroit Free Press endorsements for 2022 general election". Detroit Free Press. October 19, 2022. Archived from the original on October 19, 2022. Retrieved October 20, 2022.
  119. ↑ "From the Daily: Endorsements for the 2022 Michigan midterms". November 2022.
  120. ↑ "Endorsements – AAPAC". Archived from the original on March 22, 2023.
  121. 1 2 "Whitmer, Gilchrist Turn In Nominating Petitions In Re-Election Bid".
  122. ↑ "Detroit Chamber endorses Whitmer, Benson but skips AG race".
  123. 1 2 "End Citizens United // Let America Vote Endorses Governors Tony Evers and Gretchen Whitmer for Re-Election". June 23, 2022.
  124. ↑ "Human Rights Campaign Endorses Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Lt. Governor Garlin Gilchrist of Michigan for Reelection". June 8, 2022.
  125. ↑ "Michigan LCV endorses climate and clean water champion Gretchen Whitmer for governor". July 27, 2022.
  126. ↑ "Michigan AFL-CIO Endorses Gretchen Whitmer for Governor, Garlin Gilchrist for Lt. Governor, Dana Nessel for Attorney General, and Jocelyn Benson for Sec. of State". March 17, 2022.
  127. ↑ "Whitmer gains major police endorsement despite Dixon's tough-on-crime rhetoric".
  128. ↑ "NARAL Pro-Choice America Endorses Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer for Reelection". June 22, 2022.
  129. ↑ Saccone, Mike (July 12, 2022). "National Wildlife Federation Action Fund Endorses Whitmer, Nessel, Benson for Re-Election". National Wildlife Federation.
  130. ↑ "Leading Environmental Organizations Endorse Gretchen Whitmer for Governor". March 2022.
  131. 1 2 "Donald Trump Jr., Kellyanne Conway to campaign for Tudor Dixon in Michigan on Friday".
  132. ↑ "Mike Pence sidesteps question on election security, knocks Whitmer for vetoes".
  133. ↑ "'Expect more TV ads' on Tudor Dixon's behalf, key GOP group leader says".
  134. ↑ Newsroom, Mid-Michigan NOW (September 14, 2022). "Tudor Dixon gets endorsement from 22 county sheriffs". NBC 25 FOX 66. Retrieved September 18, 2022.
  135. ↑ Minock, Nick (August 16, 2022). "Youngkin headed to Michigan to campaign for GOP governor candidate Tudor Dixon". WJLA. Retrieved August 16, 2022.
  136. ↑ Burr, Alyssa (October 29, 2022). "Former Democratic congresswoman joins Dixon, courting independent voters as midterms loom". mLive. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
  137. ↑ "Many Michigan Republicans Don't Seem Very into Their Nominee for Governor". October 2, 2022.
  138. ↑ Mauger, Craig (September 20, 2022). "Mellissa Carone, U.S. Taxpayers nominee for lieutenant gov., endorses GOP's Dixon for gov". The Detroit News. Archived from the original on October 16, 2022. Retrieved September 20, 2022.
  139. ↑ "Brian Kilmeade and Tulsi Gabbard Stump for Tudor Dixon on the Air".
  140. ↑ "Kari Lake lends MAGA star power to two GOP governor hopefuls". Politico. October 28, 2022.
  141. ↑ "The Detroit News".
  142. ↑ "Michigan Farm Bureau endorses Tudor Dixon for governor". September 19, 2022.
  143. ↑ "Endorsement Generator".
  144. ↑ "Small Business Owners Back Tudor Dixon for Michigan Governor". National Federation of Independent Business. September 20, 2022. Retrieved October 30, 2022.
  145. 1 2 3 4 "Big money donors shunning Tudor Dixon, Michigan Republican ticket | Bridge Michigan".
  146. ↑ Robinson, Samuel (August 23, 2022). "Craig says he won't support Dixon". Axios. Retrieved November 6, 2023.
  147. ↑ "Submit your questions for the WXYZ gubernatorial debate". October 18, 2022.
  148. ↑ "Michigan governor debate: Fact checking Whitmer-Dixon showdown | Bridge Michigan".
  149. ↑ "Many jabs but little blood drawn: Takeaways from the first gubernatorial debate". Mlive. October 14, 2022.
  150. ↑ "How to watch the Tudor Dixon, Gretchen Whitmer second debate on Oct. 25 | Bridge Michigan".
  151. ↑ "The gloves come off in second Whitmer-Dixon debate". Mlive. October 26, 2022.
  152. ↑ "2022 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/08/2022".
  153. ↑ "2022 Michigan Official General Election Results - 11/08/2022". mielections.us. Retrieved May 29, 2023.
  154. ↑ "Michigan GOP memo delivers scathing election post-mortem on Trump-backed candidates".
  155. ↑ "Records: Whitmer amped up Facebook and YouTube ads in 2022 campaign". Detroit Free Press. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
  156. ↑ "In Michigan, a Swing State, Gubernatorial Race Looks Like Lost Cause for GOP". September 23, 2022.
  157. ↑ "Whitmer, Nessel, Benson winning re-election in Oakland County and statewide". November 9, 2022.
  158. ↑ "Michigan Senate goes dem for first time in 4 decades with the aid of redistricting, abortion". November 9, 2022.
  159. ↑ "Michigan sees Democratic domination after party sweeps state, legislative and federal contests". November 11, 2022.
  160. ↑ "Fact check: Late-night voting lines in Michigan were legal".
  161. ↑ "Nov. 11, 2022 | This Week in Government: Whitmer Wins Reelection; Dixon Concedes". November 11, 2022.
  162. ↑ "Gretchen Whitmer's path to victory: Expanding support in Michigan suburbs | Bridge Michigan". www.bridgemi.com. Retrieved March 11, 2023.
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