2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

November 8, 2016 (2016-11-08)

All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Last election 5 3
Seats won 5 3
Seat change Steady Steady
Popular vote 1,434,590 1,334,686
Percentage 50.23% 46.73%
Swing Increase 0.03% Increase 0.20%

    The 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on November 8, 2016, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota, one from each of the state's eight congressional districts. The elections coincided with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on August 9.

    This is the last cycle where the Democrat candidate would win either the 1st or 8th district and the last cycle Republicans candidate would win either the 2nd or 3rd district.

    Overview

    Statewide

    United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2016[1]
    Party Votes Percentage Seats Before Seats After +/–
    Democratic (DFL) 1,434,559 50.20% 5 5 -
    Republican 1,334,679 46.70% 3 3 -
    Legal Marijuana Now 57,911 2.02% 0 0 -
    Independence 28,870 1.01% 0 0 -
    Others 4,370 0.15% 0 0 -
    Totals 2,860,389 100.00% 8 8

    District

    Results of the 2016 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota by district:

    District Democratic Republican Others Total Result
    Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
    District 1169,07450.34%166,52649.58%2770.08%335,600100.00%Democratic hold
    District 2167,31545.16%173,97046.95%29,2297.89%370,514100.00%Republican hold
    District 3169,24343.01%223,07756.70%1,1440.29%393,464100.00%Republican hold
    District 4203,29957.76%121,03234.39%27,6137.85%351,944100.00%Democratic hold
    District 5249,96469.07%80,66022.29%31,2588.64%361,882100.00%Democratic hold
    District 6123,00834.27%235,38065.58%5360.15%358,924100.00%Republican hold
    District 7173,58952.47%156,95247.44%3070.09%330,848100.00%Democratic hold
    District 8179,09850.17%177,08949.61%7920.22%356,979100.00%Democratic hold
    Total1,434,55950.15%1,334,67946.66%91,1513.19%2,860,389100.00%

    District 1

    2016 Minnesota's 1st congressional district election

     
    Nominee Tim Walz Jim Hagedorn
    Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
    Popular vote 169,074 166,526
    Percentage 50.4% 49.6%


    Walz:      50–60%
    Hagedorn:      50–60%      60–70%

    Walz:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
    Hagedorn:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Tie:      40–50%      50%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Tim Walz
    Democratic (DFL)

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Tim Walz
    Democratic (DFL)

    Incumbent Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+1.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee

    Results

    Democratic primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 13,538 100.0
    Total votes 13,538 100.0

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Eliminated in primary
    • Steve Williams

    Results

    Republican primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Jim Hagedorn 10,851 76.5
    Republican Steve Williams 3,330 23.5
    Total votes 14,181 100.0

    General election

    Endorsements

    Results

    Minnesota's 1st congressional district, 2016[6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 169,074 50.3
    Republican Jim Hagedorn 166,526 49.6
    Write-in 277 0.1
    Total votes 335,877 100.0
    Democratic (DFL) hold

    District 2

    2016 Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election

     
    Nominee Jason Lewis Angie Craig Paula Overby
    Party Republican Democratic (DFL) Independence
    Popular vote 173,970 167,315 28,869
    Percentage 46.9% 45.2% 7.8%

    Precinct results
    Lewis:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
    Craig:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Tie:      40–50%

    U.S. Representative before election

    John Kline
    Republican

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Jason Lewis
    Republican

    Incumbent Republican John Kline, who had represented the district since 2003, announced that he would not seek re-election.[7] He was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Eliminated in primary
    Withdrawn
    • David Benson-Staebler, political consultant, former Democratic congressional aide, and real estate agent[12][13]
    • David Gerson, engineer and candidate in 2012 and 2014[14][15]
    • Pam Myhra, former state representative and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2014[16]
    Declined

    Endorsements

    David Gerson (withdrawn)
    Organizations
    John Howe
    Jason Lewis
    State legislators
    Organizations
    Individuals
    Darlene Miller
    Organizations

    Results

    Republican primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Jason Lewis 11,641 48.9
    Republican Darlene Miller 7,305 30.7
    Republican John Howe 3,244 13.6
    Republican Matthew D. Erickson 1,612 6.8
    Total votes 23,802 100.0

    Democratic primary

    Democrat Angela Craig, who served as vice president of global human resources for St. Jude Medical, resigned from her position in January 2015 to challenge Lewis.[33] Mary Lawrence, a doctor, also ran as a Democrat[34] but dropped out before the primary.

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Withdrawn
    • Roger Kittelson, dairy marketing specialist, nominee for WI-06 in 2008 and candidate for Minnesota House of Representatives in 1982 and 2014[37][38]
    • Mary Lawrence, ophthalmologist[39][40][41]
    Declined

    Results

    Democratic primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Angie Craig 15,155 100.0
    Total votes 15,155 100.0

    Independence primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • Paula Overby, quality assurance analyst and nominee for this seat in 2014

    General election

    Campaign

    Commentators wrote that the election was "likely to be one of the most-watched congressional races in the country," (MinnPost[44]), "expected to be one of the most competitive in the country", according to Roll Call newspaper,[45] and "seen as a prime target for Democrats to flip" according to The Atlantic.[46]

    Area left-wing weekly City Pages described the campaign as resembling the 2016 presidential campaign, calling Lewis "an entrepreneur and media personality, whose blunt rhetoric is refreshingly honest to some, simply offensive to others", and describing Craig as "a tough female leader with moderate positions, ties to big business, and a penchant for pantsuits".[47]

    In May 2016, the Rothenberg and Gonzales Political Report changed its rating of the race from "pure tossup" to "tossup/tilt Democratic,"[48] with political analyst Nathan Gonzales writing that Craig "is probably to the left of the district in her ideology, but she has a good story to tell, is raising considerable money (she had $1.3 million in the bank at the end of March) and is solid as a candidate."[48] Other political prognosticators rated the race "Republican Toss-up" (Charlie Cook), and "pure" toss-up (Larry Sabato's "Crystal Ball"), according to MinnPost.[48]

    Endorsements

    Jason Lewis (R)
    State legislators
    Organizations
    Individuals
    Angie Craig (D)
    U.S. Senators
    U.S. Representatives
    State legislators
    Labor unions
    Organizations
    Local officials
    • Ann Counihan, South St. Paul School Board Member[54]
    • Mike Engel, Mayor of Kenyon[54]
    • Debbie Goettel, Mayor of Richfield[61]
    • Matt Klein, ISD 197 School Board Member[54]

    Debates

    Polling

    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Jason
    Lewis (R)
    Angie
    Craig (D)
    Paula
    Overby (I)
    Undecided
    SurveyUSA October 13–16, 2016 600 ± 4.1% 41% 46% 12%
    WPA Opinion Research (R-NRCC) October 9–10, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 36% 33% 26%
    Gerstein Bocian Agne Strategies (D-Craig) August 13–16, 2016 500 ± 4.4% 42% 43% 9% 6%
    WPA Opinion Research (R-Lewis/NRCC) August 14–15, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 39% 27% 7% 25%

    Predictions

    Source Ranking As of
    The Cook Political Report[63] Tossup November 7, 2016
    Daily Kos Elections[64] Tossup November 7, 2016
    Rothenberg[65] Tilt D (flip) November 3, 2016
    Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Lean D (flip) November 7, 2016
    RCP[67] Lean D (flip) October 31, 2016

    Results

    Lewis ended up defeating Craig by several thousand votes.[68]

    Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Jason Lewis 173,970 46.9
    Democratic (DFL) Angie Craig 167,315 45.2
    Independence Paula Overby 28,869 7.8
    Write-in 360 0.1
    Total votes 370,514 100.0
    Republican hold

    District 3

    2016 Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election

     
    Nominee Erik Paulsen Terri Bonoff
    Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
    Popular vote 223,077 169,243
    Percentage 56.7% 43.0%

    Precinct results
    Paulsen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
    Bonoff:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Erik Paulsen
    Republican

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Erik Paulsen
    Republican

    Incumbent Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+2.

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Withdrawn

    General election

    Endorsements

    Debates

    Polling

    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Erik
    Paulsen (R)
    Terri
    Bonoff (D)
    Undecided
    SurveyUSA October 10–13, 2016 579 ± 4.2% 49% 38% 13%
    Clarity Campaign Lab (D-House Majority PAC) September 11–13, 2016 353 ± 4.34% 45% 42% 13%
    DCCC (D) September 12, 2016 353 ± 5.2% 38% 40% 22%
    Newton Heath LLC (R-AAN) August 9–11, 2016 402 ± 4.9% 57% 31% 12%
    Victoria Research & Consulting (D-Bonoff) June 27–30, 2016 400 ± 4.9% 45% 45% 10%

    Predictions

    Source Ranking As of
    The Cook Political Report[63] Lean R November 7, 2016
    Daily Kos Elections[64] Lean R November 7, 2016
    Rothenberg[65] Likely R November 3, 2016
    Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Lean R November 7, 2016
    RCP[67] Lean R October 31, 2016

    Results

    Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Erik Paulsen (incumbent) 223,077 56.7
    Democratic (DFL) Terri Bonoff 169,243 43.0
    Write-in 1,144 0.3
    Total votes 393,464 100.0
    Republican hold

    District 4

    2016 Minnesota's 4th congressional district election

     
    Nominee Betty McCollum Greg Ryan Susan Pendergast Sindt
    Party Democratic (DFL) Republican Legal Marijuana Now
    Popular vote 203,299 121,032 27,152
    Percentage 57.8% 34.4% 7.7%

    Precinct results
    McCollum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
    Ryan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Betty McCollum
    Democratic (DFL)

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Betty McCollum
    Democratic (DFL)

    Incumbent Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented the district since 2001, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+11.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Eliminated in primary
    • Steve Carlson

    Results

    Democratic Primary Election [2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 33,336 94.0
    Democratic (DFL) Steve Carlson 2,128 6.0
    Total votes 35,464 100.0

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • Greg Ryan, businessman
    Eliminated in primary
    • Gene Rechtzigel
    • Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey

    Results

    Republican primary results [2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Greg Ryan 5,618 82.0
    Republican Gene Rechtzigel 845 12.3
    Republican Nikolay Nikolayevich Bey 390 5.7
    Total votes 6,853 100.0

    General election

    Endorsements

    Results

    Minnesota's 4th congressional district, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 203,299 57.8
    Republican Greg Ryan 121,032 34.4
    Legal Marijuana Now Susan Pendergast Sindt 27,152 7.7
    Write-in 461 0.1
    Total votes 351,944 100.0
    Democratic (DFL) hold

    District 5

    2016 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election

     
    Nominee Keith Ellison Frank Nelson Drake Dennis Schuller
    Party Democratic (DFL) Republican Legal Marijuana Now
    Popular vote 249,964 80,660 30,759
    Percentage 69.1% 22.3% 8.5%

    Precinct results
    Ellison:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Drake:      40–50%      50–60%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Keith Ellison
    Democratic (DFL)

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Keith Ellison
    Democratic (DFL)

    Incumbent Democrat Keith Ellison, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 71% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+71.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Eliminated in primary
    • Gregg Iverson, perennial candidate
    • Lee Bauer

    Results

    Democratic primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 40,380 91.7
    Democratic (DFL) Gregg Iverson 1,887 4.3
    Democratic (DFL) Lee Bauer 1,757 4.0
    Total votes 44,024 100.0

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • Frank Nelson Drake, real estate investor

    Results

    Republican primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Frank Nelson Drake 4,177 100.0
    Total votes 4,177 100.0

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • Dennis Schuller

    General election

    Endorsements

    Results

    Minnesota's 5th congressional district, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 249,964 69.1
    Republican Frank Nelson Drake 80,660 22.3
    Legal Marijuana Now Dennis Schuller 30,759 8.5
    Write-in 499 0.1
    Total votes 361,875 100.0
    Democratic (DFL) hold

    District 6

    2016 Minnesota's 6th congressional district election

     
    Nominee Tom Emmer David Snyder
    Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
    Popular vote 235,380 123,008
    Percentage 65.6% 34.3%

    Precinct results
    Emmer:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Snyder:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Tom Emmer
    Republican

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Tom Emmer
    Republican

    Incumbent Republican Tom Emmer, who had represented the district since 2015, ran for re-election. He was elected with 56% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+10.

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    Eliminated in primary
    • A.J. Kern
    • Patrick Munro

    Endorsements

    Tom Emmer

    Results

    Republican primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Tom Emmer (incumbent) 13,590 68.7
    Republican A. J. Kern 5,219 26.4
    Republican Patrick Munro 962 4.9
    Total votes 19,771 100.0

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • David Snyder, army veteran
    Eliminated in primary
    • Judy Evelyn Adams
    • Bob Helland, business process analyst and Independence nominee for secretary of state in 2014

    Results

    Democratic primary results [2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) David Snyder 4,402 46.0
    Democratic (DFL) Judy Evelyn Adams 3,569 37.3
    Democratic (DFL) Bob Helland 1,595 16.7
    Total votes 9,566 100.0

    General election

    Endorsements

    Results

    Minnesota's 6th congressional district election, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Tom Emmer (incumbent) 235,380 65.6
    Democratic (DFL) David Snyder 123,008 34.3
    Write-in 536 0.1
    Total votes 358,924 100.0
    Republican hold

    District 7

    2016 Minnesota's 7th congressional district election

     
    Nominee Collin Peterson David Hughes
    Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
    Popular vote 173,589 156,952
    Percentage 52.5% 47.4%


    Peterson:      50–60%      60–70%      70-80%
    Hughes:      50-60%      60–70%

    Peterson:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Hughes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Tie:      40–50%      50%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Collin Peterson
    Democratic (DFL)

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Collin Peterson
    Democratic (DFL)

    Incumbent Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented the district since 1991, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 54% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of R+6.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee

    Results

    Democratic primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Collin Peterson (incumbent) 16,253 100.0
    Total votes 16,253 100.0

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee
    • Dave Hughes, U.S. Air Force veteran
    Eliminated in primary
    • Amanda Lynn Hinson, entrepreneur, writer, and former pastor

    Results

    Republican primary results[2]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Republican Dave Hughes 8,769 59.0
    Republican Amanda Lynn Hinson 6,104 41.0
    Total votes 14,873 100.0

    General election

    Endorsements

    Results

    Minnesota's 7th congressional district, 2016 [6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Collin Peterson (incumbent) 173,589 52.5
    Republican Dave Hughes 156,952 47.4
    Write-in 307 0.1
    Total votes 330,848 100.0
    Democratic (DFL) hold

    District 8

    2016 Minnesota's 8th congressional district election

     
    Nominee Rick Nolan Stewart Mills
    Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
    Popular vote 179,098 177,089
    Percentage 50.2% 49.6%


    Nolan:      50–60%      60–70%

    Mills:      50-60%      60-70%

    Nolan:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Mills:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
    Tie:      40–50%      50%
         No votes

    U.S. Representative before election

    Rick Nolan
    Democratic (DFL)

    Elected U.S. Representative

    Rick Nolan
    Democratic (DFL)

    Incumbent Democrat Rick Nolan, who had represented the district since 2013, ran for re-election. He was re-elected with 49% of the vote in 2014. The district had a PVI of D+1.

    Democratic primary

    Candidates

    Nominee

    Republican primary

    Candidates

    Nominee

    General election

    Endorsements

    Stewart Mills (R)
    Organizations
    Newspapers

    Debates

    Polling

    Poll source Date(s)
    administered
    Sample
    size
    Margin of
    error
    Rick
    Nolan (D)
    Stewart
    Mills (R)
    Undecided
    SurveyUSA October 16–19, 2016 595 ± 4.1% 41% 45% 14%

    Predictions

    Source Ranking As of
    The Cook Political Report[63] Tossup November 7, 2016
    Daily Kos Elections[64] Tossup November 7, 2016
    Rothenberg[65] Lean D November 3, 2016
    Sabato's Crystal Ball[66] Lean D November 7, 2016
    RCP[67] Tossup D October 31, 2016

    Results

    Though Nolan's margin of victory (2,009 votes) was too large to trigger a publicly funded automatic recount, Mills, as of late November 2016, said that he plans to request and pay for a hand recount of all votes cast in the eighth district, as is his right under law. Mills plans to cover the cost of the recount—just over $100,000— himself. According to the Minneapolis Star Tribune, Minnesota has not seen a recount in a race for the House of Representatives since the year 2000, when election day totals in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district fell within the half percentage point threshold, thus triggering a state-funded recount. It is not known if Mills's request for a privately funded recount has precedent in Minnesota's electoral history, at least as it pertains to elections for the House of Representatives.[76]

    Minnesota's 8th congressional district, 2016[6]
    Party Candidate Votes %
    Democratic (DFL) Rick Nolan (incumbent) 179,098 50.2
    Republican Stewart Mills 177,089 49.6
    Write-in 792 0.2
    Total votes 356,979 100.0
    Democratic (DFL) hold

    References

    1. "Home - Election Results".
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    3. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 "2016 POLITICAL ENDORSEMENTS". mnaflcio.org. MN AFL-CIO. October 4, 2016. Archived from the original on October 8, 2016. Retrieved July 15, 2023.
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    6. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 "November 8, 2016 General Election Unofficial Results". Minnesota Secretary of State. November 8, 2016. Retrieved November 20, 2016.
    7. 1 2 "Rep. John Kline says he won't seek re-election in 2nd District - StarTribune.com". Star Tribune. Archived from the original on September 3, 2015. Retrieved September 3, 2015.
    8. Stassen-Berger, Rachel E. (October 12, 2015). ""Mr. Right" Jason Lewis is running for the Second District". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on October 13, 2015. Retrieved October 12, 2015.
    9. Montgomery, David H. (September 22, 2015). "Howe runs for Second District as 'conservative' but 'electable'". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on September 26, 2015. Retrieved September 24, 2015.
    10. Montgomery, David H. (January 6, 2016). "Darlene Miller enters GOP race for Second District seat". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on February 5, 2016. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
    11. Johnson, Tad (June 10, 2016). "Fourth candidate enters 2nd District race". Sun This Week. Archived from the original on August 20, 2016. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
    12. Brucato, Cyndy (December 2, 2015). "The odd congressional candidacy of David Benson-Staebler". MinnPost. Archived from the original on December 12, 2015. Retrieved January 7, 2016.
    13. Montgomery, David (February 25, 2016). "David Benson-Staebler drops out of Second District race". Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on February 27, 2016. Retrieved July 5, 2016.
    14. Alex Isenstadt (January 31, 2015). "They're back! The new tea party surge". Politico. Archived from the original on January 31, 2015. Retrieved February 1, 2015.
    15. Coolican, J. Patrick (September 4, 2015). "David Gerson jumps on Rep. John Kline announcement that he's not running". Star Tribune. Retrieved September 18, 2015.
    16. Montgomery, David H. (October 7, 2015). "Former lawmaker, LG candidate Pam Myhra enters Second District race". St. Paul Pioneer Press. Archived from the original on October 9, 2015. Retrieved October 7, 2015.
    17. "Albright to seek re-election in House, opts against Congress bid". Prior Lake American. October 12, 2015. Retrieved October 13, 2015.
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