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Chafee: 30–40% 40–50% 50–60% Robitaille: 30–40% 40–50% Caprio: 30–40% | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Elections in Rhode Island |
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The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican Governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report, The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up.[1][2][3]
With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, independent candidate and former U.S. senator Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36 percent of the vote to Republican John Robitaille's 34 percent.[4] As of 2023, this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Polling (D)
Poll source | Dates administered | Frank Caprio | Patrick C. Lynch | David Cicilline | Elizabeth H. Roberts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Quest Research | February 24–25, 2009 | 30% | 17.4% | 13% | 12.4% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Frank Caprio | 73,142 | 100.00 | |
Total votes | 73,142 | 100.00 |
Republican primary
Candidates
- Victor Moffitt, former State Representative
- John Robitaille, businessman
Polling (R)
Poll source | Dates administered | Steve Laffey | Joseph Trillo |
---|---|---|---|
Quest Research | February 24–25, 2009 | 29.3% | 6.9% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | John Robitaille | 13,204 | 70.17 | |
Republican | Victor Moffitt | 5,613 | 29.83 | |
Total votes | 18,817 | 100.00 |
General election
Candidates
Major
- Frank Caprio (D)
- Lincoln Chafee (I)
- John Robitaille (R)
Minor
Campaign
The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned."[9]
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report[10] | Tossup | October 14, 2010 |
Rothenberg[11] | Lean I | October 28, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics[12] | Tossup | November 1, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[13] | Lean I | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics[14] | Tossup | October 28, 2010 |
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered | Independent | Democratic nominee | Republican nominee | Moderate nominee |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lincoln Chafee | Frank Caprio | John Robitaille | Ken Block | ||
WJAR Channel 10 | October 23–26, 2010 | 35% | 25% | 28% | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 21, 2010 | 35% | 28% | 25% | — |
WJAR Channel 10 | October 4–6, 2010 | 33% | 37% | 22% | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 6, 2010 | 33% | 30% | 22% | 4% |
Brown University | September 27–29, 2010 | 23% | 30% | 14% | 2% |
WPRI-TV | September 22–26, 2010 | 30% | 33% | 19% | 4% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 16, 2010 | 33% | 30% | 23% | 5% |
Quest Research | September 15–17, 2010 | 24% | 36% | 13% | 2% |
Rasmussen Reports | August 17, 2010 | 32% | 38% | 20% | — |
Brown University | July 27–30, 2010 | 26% | 28% | 7% | 3% |
Rasmussen Reports | July 21, 2010 | 37% | 30% | 23% | — |
Rasmussen Reports | June 1, 2010 | 35% | 32% | 25% | |
Rasmussen Reports | April 21, 2010 | 33% | 34% | 21% | |
Rasmussen Reports | February 25, 2010 | 37% | 27% | 19% | |
Brown University | February 9–12, 2010 | 34% | 28% | 12% |
Results
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Independent | Lincoln Chafee | 123,571 | 36.10% | +36.10% | |
Republican | John Robitaille | 114,911 | 33.57% | -17.44% | |
Democratic | Frank Caprio | 78,896 | 23.05% | -25.94% | |
Moderate | Ken Block | 22,146 | 6.47% | ||
Independent | Joeseph Lusi | 1,091 | 0.32% | ||
Independent | Todd Giroux | 882 | 0.26% | ||
Independent | Ronald Algieri | 793 | 0.23% | ||
Plurality | 8,660 | 2.53% | +0.51% | ||
Turnout | 342,290 | ||||
Independent gain from Republican | Swing | ||||
Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
- Bristol (largest municipality: Bristol)
- Washington (largest municipality: South Kingstown)
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent
- Providence (largest municipality: Providence)
See also
References
- ↑ "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ↑ "CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ↑ "Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ↑ "Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
- ↑ Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau (November 10, 2009). "R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- 1 2 "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on April 30, 2014. Retrieved March 7, 2014.
- ↑ "Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org. Archived from the original on March 8, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ↑ "The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
- ↑ Condon, Stephanie (October 25, 2010). "Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"". CBS News.
- ↑ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
- ↑ "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on November 18, 2010. Retrieved November 25, 2010.
External links
- Rhode Island Board of Elections
- Rhode Island Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 RI Governor from Follow the Money
- Rhode Island Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Rhode Island Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Rhode Island Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Rhode Island Governor Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Rhode Island Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Campaign 2010: RI Governor Race coverage by WPRI
- 2010 Governor's Race coverage by WRNI-FM
- Debate
- Rhode Island Gubernatorial Debate on C-SPAN, June 10, 2010
- Official campaign sites (Archived)