Polonnaruwa
Location of Polonnaruwa
Coordinates: 7°57′00″N 81°07′09″E / 7.950131°N 81.119102°E / 7.950131; 81.119102
CountrySri Lanka
ProvinceNorth Central Province, Sri Lanka
Electoral DistrictPolonnaruwa Electoral District
Area
  Total1,503.12 km2 (580.36 sq mi)
Population
 (2012)[1]
  Total195,857
  Density130/km2 (300/sq mi)
ISO 3166 codeEC-18C

The Polonnaruwa Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Polonnaruwa Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Polonnaruwa Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[2] % Sri Lanka MAE[3] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.63% SLPP 1.63%
2015 NDF NDF 5.02% NDF 11.35%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.73% UPFA 4.00%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.96% UPFA 0.27%
1999 PA PA 0.23% PA 0.32%
1994 PA PA 0.67% PA 3.91%
1988 UNP UNP 2.06% UNP 1.82%
1982 UNP UNP 1.43% UNP 4.64%
Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 8/8 2.09% 8/8 3.49%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[4] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 62,882 50.33% 147,340 53.01% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 54,238 43.41% 112,473 40.47% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 5,045 4.04% 12,284 4.42% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,785 2.23% 5,827 2.10% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 124,950 98.94% 277,924 99.09% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,334 1.06% 2,563 0.91% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 126,284 85.10% 280,487 85.92% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 148,401 326,443 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[5] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 72,875 62.86% 147,974 57.80% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 41,961 36.19% 105,640 41.27% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,099 0.95% 2,382 0.93% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 115,935 99.27% 255,996 99.31% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 850 0.73% 1,790 0.69% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 116,785 79.87% 257,786 80.22% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 146,225 321,338 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[6] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,718 62.10% 144,889 64.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 35,473 36.28% 75,026 33.62% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,577 1.61% 3,260 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 97,768 99.28% 223,175 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 710 0.72% 1,472 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 98,478 75.26% 224,647 76.26% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 130,851 294,583 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[7] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 47,188 50.64% 110,499 52.61% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 44,951 48.24% 97,142 46.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,044 1.12% 2,389 1.14% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 93,183 99.01% 210,030 99.06% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 936 0.99% 2,002 0.94% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 94,119 77.18% 212,032 78.07% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 121,949 271,609 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[8] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 39,372 51.64% 88,663 51.55% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 32,472 42.59% 72,598 42.21% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,165 4.15% 8,020 4.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,240 1.63% 2,726 1.58% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 76,249 98.10% 172,007 98.20% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,473 1.90% 3,151 1.80% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 77,722 78.56% 175,158 78.11% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 98,929 224,239 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[9] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 36,865 58.39% 88,907 59.08% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 25,284 40.05% 59,287 39.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 987 1.56% 2,281 1.52% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 63,136 97.35% 150,475 97.43% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,716 2.65% 3,966 2.57% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 64,852 74.09% 154,441 75.73% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 87,535 203,940 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[10] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 17,179 53.43% 26,392 55.54% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 14,320 44.54% 20,173 42.45% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 651 2.02% 957 2.01% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 32,150 98.07% 47,522 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 634 1.93% 1,157 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 32,784 50.53% 48,679 29.64% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 64,885 164,213 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Polonnaruwa[11] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,616 58.21% 59,414 56.26% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 12,286 34.69% 37,243 35.26% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,161 6.10% 8,138 7.71% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 353 1.00% 820 0.78% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 35,416 98.81% 105,615 99.00% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 426 1.19% 1,064 1.00% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 35,842 81.36% 106,679 82.81% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 44,055 128,822 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Polonnaruwa has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Polonnaruwa is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Polonnaruwa Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAE[12] % Sri Lanka MAE[13] %
2020 SLPFA SLPFA SLPFA
2015 UNP UNP 2.46% UNP 3.86%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.20% UPFA 5.14%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.87% UPFA 6.64%
2001 UNP UNP 0.81% UNP 2.89%
2000 UNP UNP 0.49% PA 2.38%
1994 PA PA 1.15% PA 2.65%
1989 UNP UNP 1.21% UNP 6.96%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.31% 7/7 4.36%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[14] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPFA 79,724 72.65% 180,847 73.66% 6,853,693 59.09%
SJB 22,989 20.95% 47,281 19.46% 2,771,984 23.09%
UNP 2,826 2.58% 6,525 2.66% 249,435 2.15%
JJB 2,416 2.2% 6,792 2.77% 445,958 3.84%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,380 1.62% 3,574 1.45% 1,227,859 11.02%
Valid Votes 109,735 73.42% 245,519 93.87% 11,598,929 93.97%
Rejected Votes 7,603 5.09% 16,020 6.13% 744,373 6.03%
Total Polled 117,338 78.5% 261,539 78.99% 12,343,302 75.89%
Registered Electors 149,466 331,109 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[15] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 56,387 53.14% 118,845 50.30% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 43,900 41.37% 103,172 43.67% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 5,502 5.19% 13,497 5.71% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 320 0.30% 765 0.32% 44,633 0.40%
Valid Votes 106,109 96.26% 236,279 96.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 4,017 3.64% 8,654 3.53% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 110,227 75.38% 245,116 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 146,225 307,125 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[16] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,998 68.17% 118,694 69.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 21,579 28.29% 45,732 26.68% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,453 3.22% 6,457 3.77% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.33% 515 0.30% 53,515 0.67%
Valid Votes 76,280 91.78% 171,398 92.02% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 6,804 8.19% 14,798 7.94% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 83,116 63.52% 186,269 63.10% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 130,851 295,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[17] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,936 55.45% 106,243 57.36% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 35,420 42.76% 75,664 40.85% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,067 1.29% 2,413 1.30% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 413 0.50% 890 0.48% 54,340 0.59%
Valid Votes 82,836 93.57% 185,210 93.57% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 5,683 6.42% 12,673 6.40% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 88,533 75.57% 197,934 77.91% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 117,148 254,061 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[18] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 39,349 48.53% 86,786 47.82% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 33,531 41.36% 73,679 40.60% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,280 8.98% 18,956 10.44% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 916 1.13% 2,076 1.14% 118,404 1.32%
Valid Votes 81,076 93.11% 181,497 93.87% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 5,995 6.89% 11,854 6.13% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 87,071 78.95% 193,351 80.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 110,281 240,444 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[19] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 35,197 45.77% 82,399 46.33% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 34,979 45.48% 80,023 44.99% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 4,691 6.10% 11,161 6.27% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,152 1.50% 2,311 1.30% 239,322 2.78%
NUA 886 1.15% 1,977 1.11% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 76,905 N/A 177,871 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[20] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 33,381 50.05% 82,438 51.18% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 32,562 48.82% 76,706 47.62% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 750 1.12% 1,934 1.20% 90,078 1.13%
Valid Votes 66,693 95.72% 161,078 96.16% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,984 4.28% 6,434 3.84% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 69,677 79.60% 167,512 82.06% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 87,535 204,138 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Polonnaruwa[21] Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,469 63.87% 43,473 62.33% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 11,973 32.58% 23,221 33.29% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 1,052 2.86% 1,933 2.77% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 250 0.68% 1,117 1.60% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 36,744 93.93% 69,744 92.98% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,376 6.07% 5,266 7.02% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 39,120 60.97% 75,010 45.81% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 64,163 163,745 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.1%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%) [1]

Ethnicity in Polonnaruwa[1]

  Sinhalese (87.1%)
  Moor (9.2%)
  Sri Lankan Tamil (3.5%)
  Other (0.2%)

Religion

The Polonnaruwa Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (86.0%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Polonnaruwa Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%) [1]

Religion in Polonnaruwa[1]

  Buddhist (86.0%)
  Muslim (9.3%)
  Hindu (3.4%)
  Other (1.3%)

References

  1. 1 2 3 4 5 "Census of Population and Housing 2012". statistics.gov.lk. Department of Census and Statistics, Sri Lanka. 2012.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  4. "2019 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2019.
  5. "2015 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  6. "2010 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  7. "2005 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2005.
  8. "1999 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1999.
  9. "1994 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  10. "1988 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1988.
  11. "1982 Sri Lankan presidential election Results". elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1982.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Polonnaruwa and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  14. "2020 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2020.
  15. "2015 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2015.
  16. "2010 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2010.
  17. "2004 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2004.
  18. "2001 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2001.
  19. "2000 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 2000.
  20. "1994 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1994.
  21. "1989 Sri Lankan parliamentary election Results" (PDF). elections.gov.lk. Election Commission of Sri Lanka. 1989.
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