An upset occurs in a competition, frequently in electoral politics or sports, when the party popularly expected to win (the "favorite") is defeated by (or, in the case of sports, ties with) an underdog whom the majority expects to lose, defying the conventional wisdom. It is often used in reference to beating the betting odds in sports, or beating the opinion polls in electoral politics.

Origin

The meaning of the word "upset" has long included "an overthrowing or overturn of ideas, plans, etc." (see OED definition 6b), from which the sports definition almost surely derived. "Upset" also once referred to "a curved part of a bridle-bit, fitting over the tongue of the horse", (now the port of a curb bit), but even though the modern sports meaning of "upset" was first used far more for horse races than for any other competition, there is no evidence of a connection.

In 2002, George Thompson, a lexicographic researcher, used the full-text online search capabilities of The New York Times databases to trace the usage of the verb to upset and the noun upset. The latter was seen in usage as early as 1877.[1]

Thompson's research debunked one popular theory of the term's origin, namely that it was first used after the surprising defeat of the horse Man o' War by the racehorse Upset in 1919 (the loss was the only one in Man o' War's career). The term pre-dates that 1919 Thoroughbred race by at least several decades. In its sports coverage immediately following Upset's victory, the Washington Post wrote, "One might make all sorts of puns about it being an upset." The name of the horse "Upset" came from the "trouble" or "distress" meaning of the word (as shown by the parallelism of the name of Upset's stablemate, Regret).

Sports

Below is a selection of major upsets from a variety of popular sports around the world. It is not meant to be comprehensive, merely representative.

American football

  • Heading into the 2007 college football season, the Michigan Wolverines were ranked as the pre-season Number 5 team, and among the favorites for that year's BCS National Championship. As an early season tune-up game, Michigan had booked the lower division Appalachian State Mountaineers for their first game of the season. The Mountaineers surprised the football world by leading 28–17 at the half. Though Michigan clawed their way back to lead 32–31 late into the fourth quarter, the Mountaineers kicked a field goal with 26 seconds left in the game to take the lead 34–32. Michigan managed to use only 20 seconds of game time to drive the ball down to the App State 27-yard line, and as time was expiring the Mountaineers Corey Lynch blocked a Michigan field goal attempt to secure the upset for App State. The game marked only the second time, to that point, that a lower-division school had beaten a top-division AP-ranked team.[2]
  • In Super Bowl III, the senior National Football League was playing their third interleague championship game against the upstart American Football League. The NFL had won the prior two matchups without much difficulty, and it looked poised to do so again, as the Baltimore Colts, with a 13–1 record, behind quarterback Earl Morrall, who led the league in touchdown passes that season and was named NFL Most Valuable Player. The team also had several future Hall of Fame players on the roster, including quarterback Johnny Unitas, relegated to a back-up role following an early-season injury, tight end John Mackey, as well as a defense led by perennial all-pro Bubba Smith. The New York Jets were led by Joe Namath at quarterback, who earlier in the week had "guaranteed" victory against the Colts. Namath's top target, future Hall of Fame wide receiver Don Maynard, was hobbled by an injury, but Namath led the Jets on a run-focused attack that leaned heavily on fullback Matt Snell, who ran for 121 yards and scored the Jets' only touchdown. The Jets defense confounded Morrall, who had only six completions on 17 attempts, with three interceptions in the first half, including an interception to the Jets' Jim Hudson while Colts' star receiver Jimmy Orr, uncovered in the end zone, waved his hands to no avail. Colts' head coach Don Shula put the hobbled Unitas in the game in the second half, and despite a late game touchdown, lost the game 16–7.[3]

Association football

Baseball

  • The 1906 World Series looked to be one of the most lopsided matchups in World Series history, as the National League powerhouse Chicago Cubs, with a record of 116–36 represented the best winning percentage in modern Major League Baseball history. They faced off against their cross-town rivals, the Chicago White Sox, who finished with the American League pennant having a record of 93–58. The White Sox were dubbed the "hitless wonders" as their .230 team batting average was not only the worst batting average by a team to win their league pennant, it was the worst overall batting average in all of Major League Baseball that season. Buoyed by a pitching staff that held the Cubs to a below .200 batting average for the series, the White Sox showed an uncharacteristic surge of batting prowess in games 5 and 6 with 16 runs on 26 hits over the two games to claim the World Series crown four games to two in what has been called the biggest upset in MLB history.[9]

Basketball

  • In the 1985 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament, the Georgetown Hoyas had won the previous national championship, and looked poised to win their second straight, as they entered the 1985 national championship as the defending national champion with the Number 1 overall seed, as well as the Number 1 seed in the East Region, posting a record of 35–2, including a Big East tournament title. Their opponent and Big East rival, the Number 8 seed Villanova Wildcats, entered the national championship with a 24–10 record. Villanova defeated Georgetown, 66–64, in what has been considered one of the biggest upsets in NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament history. As of 2022, this is the only time an 8th-seeded team has won the NCAA tournament and the 1984–85 Villanova team remains the lowest-seeded team to win the NCAA tournament.
  • The Stanford Cardinal entered the 1998 NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament with the Number 1 seed in the West Region, posting a record of 21–5, including a Pac-10 regular season title. Their opponent, the Number 16 seed Harvard Crimson, entered the tournament with a 22–4 record and an Ivy League regular season title. Before this match, no Number 1 seed had ever fallen to a Number 16 seed since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1994. Harvard defeated Stanford, 71–67, in what has been considered the biggest upset in NCAA Division I women's basketball tournament history. 20 years later, a Number 16 seed had beaten a Number 1 seed in men's tournament (see below).
  • The Virginia Cavaliers entered the 2018 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament with the Number 1 overall seed, as well as the Number 1 seed in the South Region, posting a record of 31–2, including both an ACC regular season title and ACC tournament title. Their opponent, Number 16 seed UMBC, entered the tournament with a 24–10 record and an America East tournament title. Before this match, no Number 1 seed had ever fallen to a Number 16 seed since the field expanded to 64 teams in 1985. UMBC defeated Virginia, 74–54, in what has been considered the biggest upset in NCAA Tournament history.[10] This is the only time a Number 16 seed has beaten a Number 1 seed in NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament until 2023 (see below).
  • The Purdue Boilermakers entered the 2023 NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament with the Number 1 seed in the East Region, posting a record of 29–5, including both a Big Ten regular season and tournament title. Their opponent, Number 16 seed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, entered the tournament with a 20–15 record after an 84–61 win over Texas Southern in the First Four. Despite a 67–66 loss in the Northeast Conference tournament championship game to the NEC regular season champion Merrimack Warriors, Fairleigh Dickinson received an automatic bid to the NCAA tournament as the NEC tournament runners-up, while the NEC tournament champion Merrimack was ineligible for the NCAA tournament due to a 4-year transition from Division II. Closed as 23.5-point underdogs, Fairleigh Dickinson shocked Purdue 63–58 to become the second Number 16 seed to beat a Number 1 seed in NCAA Division I men's basketball tournament history.
  • Entering the first round of the 2007 NBA Playoffs, the Dallas Mavericks had the best record in all of NBA at 67–15, six games up on second place, while their first round opponent, the Golden State Warriors, had a 42–40 record and had only qualified for the tournament on the last day of the regular season, having needed to win all of their last five games just to qualify. Dallas was captained by power forward Dirk Nowitzki, who was in the midst of a Hall-of-Fame career that would feature 14 all star appearances, and supported by other star players such as Jason Terry, Jerry Stackhouse, Devin Harris, and Josh Howard. Golden State had completely revamped their team mid-season, including two starters (Stephen Jackson and Al Harrington), who arrived in January in a blockbuster 8-player deal with the Indiana Pacers. Baron Davis was the unquestioned star of the playoff run, as he dominated the Mavericks, averaging 25.3 points, 6.5 assists, and 2.9 steals per game, as the Warriors would knock off the Mavericks four games to two.[11]
  • Entering the second round of the 2020 NBA Playoffs, The Los Angeles Clippers, under the guidance by championship head coach Doc Rivers, were widely regarded as frontrunners for the championship. Armed with star talents like Kawhi Leonard, who came off a championship win with the Toronto Raptors, and Paul George, a previous MVP candidate and first-team All-Defensive player, and defensive guard Patrick Beverley, the Clippers had high expectations. Their deep bench, featuring Montrezl Harrell and Lou Williams, added to their championship aspirations, while their strong defensive prowess further solidified their position. However, the Denver Nuggets, guided by the dynamic duo of Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic, emerged as formidable challengers. Murray's explosive scoring prowess, highlighted by a remarkable 40-point performance in Game 7, combined with Jokic's extraordinary playmaking and versatility as a center, were instrumental in fueling the Nuggets' remarkable comeback. This unforeseen development showcased the Nuggets' remarkable resilience and their strategic acumen in exploiting the Clippers' defensive weaknesses. In contrast, the Clippers' star players faltered significantly in the crucial Game 7, with Leonard managing only 14 points and a 6-of-22 shooting performance, and George contributing a mere 10 points at a shooting efficiency of 25%, including a notable miss that hit the side of the backboard during a 3-point attempt. Notably, both stars were unable to score in the 4th quarter. This series of events culminated in a stunning reversal, as the Clippers lost their dominant 3–1 series lead, becoming the 12th team in NBA history to do so. The Nuggets, driven by the exceptional performances of Murray and Jokic, clinched a victory in what became one of the most unexpected and memorable upsets in recent NBA playoff history.[12]
  • Entering the first round of the 2023 NBA playoffs, the Milwaukee Bucks earned the inaugural Maurice Podoloff Trophy as the NBA's best regular season team with a 58–24 record, while their first round opponent, the Miami Heat, had a 44–38 record, had won their second straight Southeast Division, had qualified for the playoffs for the fourth straight year, and earned the eighth spot in the Eastern Conference. Despite losing to the Atlanta Hawks 116–105 in the first play-in tournament game, Miami bounced back and defeated the Chicago Bulls 102–91 in the final play-in tournament game. Miwaukee was coached by Mike Budenholzer, who is a two-time NBA Coach of the Year and won the NBA championship in 2021. The Miami Heat knocked off the Milwaukee Bucks in five games, in what has been considered one of the biggest upsets in NBA playoffs history. This made the Heat the first number 8 seed to win a playoff series after qualifying for the play-in tournament. This also made the Bucks the sixth number 1 seed to lose a playoff series in the opening round (the others being the 1994 SuperSonics, 1999 Heat, 2007 Mavericks, 2011 Spurs, and 2012 Bulls).

Cricket

  • In the 1983 Cricket World Cup, the third edition of the tournament, the West Indies cricket team had won both of the previous two World Cups and looked poised to win their third. Their opponent in the finals, India, had never made it out of the group stage before 1983. India went to bat first, and managed 183 before being dismissed with five overs left. West Indies star batsman, Viv Richards, hit a hook towards the leg-side boundary, where Indian captain Kapil Dev made a running catch to get out the West Indies best batsman. Among the remaining batsman, only Jeff Dujon managed more than 20 runs, and West Indies were bowled out at 140, giving India their first World Cup.[13]

Ice hockey

  • Entering the first round of the 2019 Stanley Cup playoffs, the Tampa Bay Lightning earned the Presidents' Trophy as the NHL's best regular season team with a 62–16–4 record (128 points), while their first round opponent, the Columbus Blue Jackets, had a 47–31–4 record (98 points), had qualified for the playoffs for the third straight year and earned the second wild card spot in the Eastern Conference. The Blue Jackets swept the Lightning in four games and won the playoff series for the first time in franchise history, in what has been considered the biggest upset in Stanley Cup playoffs history. This marks the first time in Stanley Cup playoffs history that the Presidents' Trophy winners were swept in the opening round.
  • Entering the 2023 Stanley Cup playoffs, the Boston Bruins had set new NHL records for single-season wins and points, finishing with a 65–12–5 record (135 points), and earning the President's Trophy. By contrast, their first round opponent, the Florida Panthers, had narrowly qualified for the playoffs, finishing with a 42–32–8 record (92 points), and clinching an Eastern Conference wild card berth one day after their penultimate regular-season game. The Panthers defeated the Bruins in seven games, rallying from a 3–1 series deficit and winning three straight games to eliminate Boston; additionally, the team advanced to the second round of the playoffs for just the third time in franchise history. The 43-point difference between the two teams represented the largest upset by standings position of any best-of-seven playoff series in NHL history.[14]

Skiing

Politics

Below is a list of elections which have extensively been described as upsets by a number of major media sources. It is not meant to be comprehensive, merely representative.

Argentina

Australia

Croatia

Czech Republic

Ecuador

France

The Gambia

Israel

Malaysia

Netherlands

Poland

  • 2015 presidential election: The incumbent Bronisław Komorowski was leading nearly all opinion polls taken before the first round of the election, with some polls taken in late 2014 and early 2015 suggesting he was on track for an outright win that would avoid a runoff election.[48][49] Andrzej Duda eventually took a narrow first-place finish over Komorowski and went on to win the election in runoff.[48][50][51][52]

Serbia

Slovakia

Slovenia

Sri Lanka

Turkey

United Kingdom

United States

See also

References

  1. ↑ "Upset" Archived 2012-06-24 at the Wayback Machine at Wordorigins.org. Retrieved April 17, 2013.
  2. ↑ Thomas, Ethan. "The Greatest Upsets in College Football History". Sports Illustrated. Retrieved 14 June 2021.
  3. ↑ "Top 10 Upsets in NFL History". NFL.com. Retrieved 14 June 2021.
  4. ↑ "Burnley 0-1 Lincoln City". BBC Sport. Retrieved 4 July 2022.
  5. ↑ BBC Sport, 26 January 2013
  6. ↑ Johnson, Michael (7 January 2021). "What's the biggest FA Cup third-round giant killing?". Coral. Archived from the original on 8 January 2021. Retrieved 15 March 2021.
  7. ↑ Alcorconazo, El País.com (in Spanish), October 27, 2009
  8. ↑ Pellegrini y Guti discutieron en el descanso y el jugador mandó al técnico a tomar por el c*** MARCA.com (in Spanish), October 28, 2009
  9. ↑ Kelly, Matt (25 April 2020). "These are the biggest upsets in baseball history". MLB.com. Retrieved 11 June 2021.
  10. ↑ Wolken, Dan. "UMBC stuns Virginia to make NCAA tournament history as first No. 16 seed beat No. 1 seed". usatoday.com. Retrieved 11 June 2021.
  11. ↑ Ungar, David. "10 Biggest Upsets in NBA Playoff History". Bleacher Report. Retrieved 14 June 2021.
  12. ↑ https://www.tsn.ca/denver-nuggets-complete-historic-comeback-to-beat-los-angeles-clippers-1.1524947
  13. ↑ Lancaster, Rob. "20 Biggest Shocks in Cricket World Cup History". Bleacher Report. Retrieved 14 June 2021.
  14. ↑ Sportsnet Stats [@SNstats] (1 May 2023). "The 43-point difference between the Panthers and Bruins represents the largest upset in Stanley Cup Playoffs history for a best-of-7 series" (Tweet). Retrieved 1 May 2023 – via Twitter.
  15. ↑ Olympics Prime Time. National Broadcasting Company (USA). 16 February 2018. NBC.
  16. ↑ Olympics Prime Time. Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. 16 February 2018. CBC.
  17. ↑ Chappell, Bill (17 February 2018). "'This Must Be Some Mistake,' Says Snowboarder After Winning Olympic Gold In Skiing". NPR.org. NPR. Retrieved 18 February 2018.
  18. ↑ Misculin, Nicolás; Raszewski, Eliana; Grimberg, Candelaria (14 August 2023). "Argentine far-right outsider Javier Milei posts shock win in primary election". Reuters. Retrieved 14 August 2023.
  19. ↑ "Resultados de las PASO 2023: cómo quedó el mapa político de Argentina tras el sorpresivo triunfo de Javier Milei". Infobae (in Spanish). 14 August 2023. Retrieved 16 August 2023.
  20. ↑ "Who is Javier Milei, Argentina's far-right populist politician?". Al Jazeera. 14 August 2023. Retrieved 14 August 2023.
  21. ↑ "ELECTION UPSET DOWN UNDER". The Washington Post. 14 March 1993.
  22. ↑ "Queensland: why the pollsters (and most pundits) were wrong". Swinburne University of Technology. 5 February 2015.
  23. ↑ "Australia's ruling Coalition claims election victory in major upset". TheGuardian.com. 18 May 2019.
  24. ↑ "Australia election: Morrison claims victory in 'miracle' upset". 18 May 2019.
  25. ↑ A. Odysseus Patrick (18 May 2019). "'Complete shock': Australia's prime minister holds onto power, defying election predictions". The Washington Post. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
  26. ↑ "Croatian parliamentary elections 2016: voters reject the centre-left's tilt to the right". EUROPP. 12 September 2016. Retrieved 16 September 2016.
  27. ↑ "Die Welt: "Kníže" ohromil ČR, je překvapivým vítězem prvního kola - Novinky". www.novinky.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  28. ↑ "Czech president in hospital after shock election defeat for PM". the Guardian. 10 October 2021. Retrieved 10 November 2021.
  29. ↑ "Nečekaný triumf koalice Spolu. V posledním momentu přeskočila ANO a vyhrála sněmovní volby". iROZHLAS (in Czech). 9 October 2021. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
  30. ↑ "Proč nikdo neřekl, že vyhraje Fiala? Průzkumy nestihly volební finiš". Seznam Zprávy. Retrieved 13 October 2021.
  31. ↑ "Czech election: Opposition wins surprise majority – DW – 10/09/2021". dw.com. Retrieved 23 August 2023.
  32. ↑ "A presidential runoff is likely in Ecuador between an ally of ex-president and a banana tycoon's son". The Washington Post. Retrieved 21 August 2023.
  33. ↑ "Daniel Noboa, presidente electo de Ecuador con el 87% de actas escrutadas". Metro Ecuador. 15 October 2023. Retrieved 15 October 2023.
  34. ↑ "Le Pen upset causes major shock". CNN. 21 April 2002. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
  35. ↑ "Le Pen vote shocks France". TheGuardian.com. 22 April 2002.
  36. ↑ "France undecided". The Economist.
  37. ↑ "Chirac landslide against Le Pen". CNN. 6 May 2002. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
  38. ↑ "Le Pen defeated but defiant". TheGuardian.com. 6 May 2002.
  39. ↑ "Gambia set for smooth transition after election upset". Financial Times. 4 December 2016.
  40. ↑ Barry, Jaime Yaya; Searcey, Dionne (2 December 2016). "Gambia's President, in Power 22 Years, Loses Election". The New York Times.
  41. ↑ "Jammeh Concedes Defeat in Gambia Election Upset".
  42. ↑ "Gambia's president backtracks and rejects election defeat | DW | 10.12.2016". Deutsche Welle.
  43. ↑ "In Election Upset, Malaysia's Mahathir Returns to Power After 15 Years". NPR.org.
  44. ↑ Paddock, Richard C. (9 May 2018). "Malaysia Opposition, Led by 92-Year-Old, Wins Upset Victory". The New York Times.
  45. ↑ "Malaysia's election upset sends shockwaves through bond market". CNBC. 10 May 2018.
  46. ↑ "Malaysia's Mahathir Mohamad to Become World's Oldest Leader".
  47. ↑ Corder, Mike; Casert, Raf (22 November 2023). "Anti-Islam populist Wilders heading for a massive win in Netherlands in a shock for Europe". Associated Press. The Hague. Archived from the original on 22 November 2023. Retrieved 22 November 2023.
  48. 1 2 Cienski, Jan (10 May 2015). "A Polish stunner". Politico. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  49. ↑ "Poland election: President Komorowski loses to rival Duda". BBC News. 25 May 2015. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  50. ↑ "Komorowski vs. Duda in unpredictable Poland runoff poll". Deutsche Welle. 24 May 2015. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  51. ↑ "Polish president suffers shock reverse in first round vote: exit poll". Reuters. 10 May 2015. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  52. ↑ "Poles Hand President Komorowski Shock Defeat in First-Round". Bloomberg. 10 May 2015. Retrieved 28 May 2015.
  53. ↑ "Serb nationalist claims upset presidential win". ABC News. 21 May 2012.
  54. ↑ "Jutarnji list – POLITIČKI POTRES U SRBIJI Bivši radikal Nikolić novi predsjednik: Nemam genetske predispozicije mrziti Hrvatsku". 21 May 2012.
  55. ↑ "Nikolic wins Serbia presidency".
  56. ↑ Wagstyl, Stefan (20 May 2012). "Serbia: shock defeat for pro-EU Tadic". Financial Times. London.
  57. ↑ "Surprise in Serbia | DW | 21.05.2012". Deutsche Welle.
  58. ↑ "Směle ber značku Směr". Euro.cz (in Czech). Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  59. ↑ "Voľby 2004: Gašparovič doma spal, úspech nečakal". domov.sme.sk (in Slovak). Retrieved 24 August 2023.
  60. ↑ "STA: Presidential Election: Pahor Surprise Winner, Enters Run-Off with Türk". english.sta.si. Retrieved 30 August 2023.
  61. ↑ "Sri Lanka's Rajapaksa suffers shock election defeat". BBC News. 9 January 2015.
  62. ↑ "Sri Lanka's Election Upset: Causes and Effects".
  63. ↑ Barry, Ellen; Bastians, Dharisha (8 January 2015). "Sri Lankan President Concedes Defeat After Startling Upset". The New York Times.
  64. ↑ "Sri Lanka's Strongman President Concedes Defeat". Time.
  65. ↑ "Sri Lankan Poll Upset a Blow to China's Indian Ocean Plans". Bloomberg.com. 9 January 2015.
  66. ↑ Ahmad, Talmiz (29 May 2023). "The Erdogan victory, a triumph for Ottoman glory". The Hindu. ISSN 0971-751X. Retrieved 20 November 2023.
  67. ↑ "Turkish Presidential Elections Bring Stability". Energy Intelligence. 20 June 2023. Retrieved 20 November 2023.
  68. ↑ Sullivan, Jack (29 May 2023). "Why Did Erdogan Win?". Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Retrieved 20 November 2023.
  69. ↑ "1945: Churchill loses general election". BBC News. 26 July 1945. Retrieved 7 July 2022.
  70. ↑ Richard Rose (1970). "Voting Trends Surveyed". The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1970. London: Times Newspapers Limited. p. 31.
  71. ↑ George Clark (1970). "The General Election Campaign, 1970". The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1970. London: Times Newspapers Limited. p. 26.
  72. ↑ "Exclusive: How did Labour lose in '92?: The most authoritative study". Independent.co.uk. 28 May 1994.
  73. ↑ "A Happy Political Precedent for Cameron". Bloomberg.com. 12 May 2015.
  74. ↑ "From 1992 … Why the UK pollsters got it wrong". Reuters. 8 May 2015.
  75. ↑ "Election 2015: How the opinion polls got it wrong". bbc.co.uk. 17 May 2015.
  76. ↑ "How did Theresa May's election gamble fail?". TheGuardian.com.
  77. ↑ "UK election 2017: Conservatives lose majority". BBC News. 9 June 2017.
  78. ↑ "Truman defeats Dewey in historic upset, Nov. 2, 1948". Politico.
  79. ↑ "Dewey defeats Truman: The most famous wrong call in electoral history". Chicago Tribune.
  80. ↑ "How Truman defied the odds in 1948". NBC News.
  81. ↑ "Maryland Governor's race has turned unexpectedly tight". The Washington Post. Retrieved 15 November 2014.
  82. ↑ John Wagner and Jenna Johnson (5 November 2014). "Republican Larry Hogan wins Md. governor's race in stunning upset". The Washington Post.
  83. ↑ Johnson, Carrie (9 November 2016). "Donald Trump Clinches the Presidency in Major Upset". NPR.
  84. ↑ "Donald Trump has been elected the 45th president of the United States". NBC News.
  85. ↑ "Trump pulls off biggest upset in U.S. History". Politico.
  86. ↑ "Donald Trump Captures Presidency in Historic and Stunning Upset of Hillary Clinton". ABC News.
  87. ↑ "Donald Trump wins the presidency in stunning upset over Clinton". The Washington Post. 9 November 2016. Retrieved 10 June 2022.
  88. ↑ Silver, Nate (2 November 2021). "Who's ahead in the Virginia governor's race?". FiveThirtyEight. Archived from the original on 17 July 2021. Retrieved 3 November 2021.
  89. ↑ Weissert, Will; Rankin, Sarah (3 November 2021). "Murphy ekes out win in NJ, GOP's Youngkin upsets in Virginia". APNews. Retrieved 31 May 2023.
  90. ↑ Gedeon, Joseph (31 August 2022). "Democrat Peltola beats Palin in Alaska special election upset". POLITICO. Retrieved 28 May 2023.
  91. ↑ Hounshell, Blake (1 September 2022). "Mary Peltola, a Democrat, Defeats Sarah Palin in Alaska's Special House Election". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 28 May 2023.
  92. ↑ Goldberg, Michelle (15 November 2022). "Opinion | Four Stark Lessons From a Democratic Upset". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved 28 May 2023.
  93. ↑ "Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez defeats Republican Joe Kent in WA House race". The Seattle Times. 12 November 2022. Retrieved 28 May 2023.
  94. ↑ Video: Democrat Gluesenkamp Perez beats Trump-backed opponent in rural red district | CNN Politics, 22 December 2022, retrieved 28 May 2023
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