Michael S. Lewis-Beck
Born
Michael Steven Lewis

(1943-10-29) October 29, 1943
NationalityAmerican
Alma materBall State University
University of Michigan
Known forComparative politics
Political forecasting
Political methodology
Scientific career
FieldsPolitical science
InstitutionsUniversity of Iowa
ThesisOrganizational innovation in a third world nation: hospitals in Peru (1973)
Doctoral advisorLawrence Mohr

Michael Steven Lewis-Beck (born October 29, 1943)[1] is an American political scientist and the F. Wendell Miller Distinguished Professor of Political Science at the University of Iowa. His research focuses on comparative politics, political forecasting, and political methodology. He was formerly the editor-in-chief of the American Journal of Political Science from 1993 to 1994.[2][3] He has received media attention for his predictions of the results of United States presidential elections based on economic factors.[4][5][6] He predicted that George H. W. Bush would win the 1992 presidential election, that Bill Clinton would win in 1996, and that Al Gore would win easily in 2000, telling the Washington Post that May that "It's not even going to be close."[7][8] After Gore lost the 2000 election, Lewis-Beck modified his model to take job growth during the incumbent president's previous four-year term into account. He predicted in August 2004 that George W. Bush would receive 51% of the vote in that November's election, making it too close to call.[5]

References

  1. ↑ "Lewis-Beck, Michael S." Library of Congress Name Authority File. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  2. ↑ "Lewis-Beck, Michael". SAGE Publications Inc (in Hindi). 15 February 2019. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  3. ↑ "Past Editors". American Journal of Political Science. 21 May 2018. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  4. ↑ Rosenbaum, David E. (1 April 1996). "POLITICS: THE ECONOMY; Can the President Capitalize On the Economy's Strength?". The New York Times. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  5. 1 2 "Economic models predict Bush win - Aug. 23, 2004". CNN. 23 August 2004. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  6. ↑ Gerstenzang, James (23 November 2007). "The president's economic challenge". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  7. ↑ Eisenhower, Karl (31 May 2000). "The Phony Science of Predicting Elections". Slate Magazine. Retrieved 19 February 2019.
  8. ↑ Kettle, Martin (1 September 2000). "It's President Gore, agree statisticians". The Guardian. Retrieved 19 February 2019.


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