2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
All 9 Arizona seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic Republican
Last election 3 5
Seats won 5 4
Seat change Increase 2 Decrease 1
Popular vote 946,994 1,131,663
Percentage 43.57% 52.07%
Swing Increase 1.7% Decrease 1.0%

The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the nine U.S. representatives from the state, one from each of the state's nine congressional districts, including the newly created 9th district following the 2010 United States census. The elections coincided with other federal and state elections, including a quadrennial presidential election, and a U.S. Senate election. Primary elections were held on August 28, 2012.[1]

Arizona was one of five states (along with Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina) where the party that won the most seats did not win the most votes in the state.

Overview

The table shows the number and percentage of votes, as well as the number of seats gained and lost, by each political party in the 2012 elections for the United States House of Representatives in Arizona.[2]

Statewide

Party Candidates Votes Seats
No.  % No. +/–  %
Republican 8 1,131,663 52.07 4 Decrease 1 44.44
Democratic 9 946,994 43.57 5 Increase 2 55.56
Libertarian 7 82,282 3.79 0 Steady 0.0
Americans Elect 2 6,740 0.31 0 Steady 0.0
Green 1 5,637 0.26 0 Steady 0.0
Write-in 1 1 0.00 0 Steady 0.0
Total 28 2,173,317 100.0 9 Increase 1 100.0
Popular vote
Republican
 
 52.07%
Democratic
 
 43.57%
Libertarian
 
 3.79%
Americans Elect
 
 0.31%
Green
 
 0.26%
Other
 
 0.00%
House seats
Democratic
 
 55.56%
Republican
 
 44.44%

By district

Results of the 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona by district:

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes%Votes%Votes%Votes%
District 1113,59445.15%122,77448.80%15,2276.05%251,595100.0%Democratic gain
District 2144,88449.57%147,33850.41%570.02%292,279100.0%Democratic hold
District 362,66337.15%98,46858.37%7,5674.49%168,698100.0%Democratic hold
District 4162,90766.83%69,15428.37%11,6994.80%243,760100.0%Republican win
District 5183,47067.19%89,58932.81%00.00%273,059100.0%Republican hold
District 6179,70661.30%97,66633.31%15,8055.39%293,177100.0%Republican hold
District 700.00%104,48981.74%23,33818.26%127,827100.0%Democratic hold
District 8172,80963.35%95,63535.06%4,3471.59%272,791100.0%Republican hold
District 9111,63044.63%121,88148.73%16,6206.64%250,131100.0%Democratic gain
Total1,131,66352.07%946,99443.57%94,6604.36%2,173,317100.0%

Redistricting

Due to population gains reflected in the 2010 United States census, Arizona's congressional delegation increased from eight members to nine in 2012. In accordance with the Arizona Constitution, the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission produced new congressional district maps for use in the 2012 and subsequent elections. In October, 2011, the commission released a draft map and by November 5 that year had completed a round of public hearings for input on the draft map.[3] The map became final after being cleared for compliance with the Voting Rights Act by the United States Department of Justice, and established the official district boundaries for the 2012 elections.

On November 1, 2011, Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, with the approval of the Arizona Senate, removed Colleen Mathis, the commission's chair, charging Mathis was guilty of "failure to apply the Arizona Constitution's redistricting provisions in an honest, independent and impartial fashion."[4] On November 17, the Arizona Supreme Court overturned Brewer's decision and reinstated Mathis.[5] On November 21, Brewer asked the Supreme Court to reconsider its decision and to temporarily reverse Mathis' reinstatement.[6] The Supreme Court refused.[7] The map was pre-cleared by the U.S. Department of Justice on April 9, 2012, and was effect for the 2012 elections.

District 1

2012 Arizona's 1st congressional district election
 
Nominee Ann Kirkpatrick Jonathan Paton Kim Allen
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 122,774 113,594 15,227
Percentage 48.8% 45.2% 6.1%
County results
Paton:      40–50%     50-60%
Kirkpatrick:      50–60%      60–70%     70–80%
U.S. Representative before election

Paul Gosar
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ann Kirkpatrick
Democratic

Based upon the new map, the 1st district is slightly friendlier to Democrats than its predecessor.[8] Incumbent Republican Paul Gosar, first elected in 2010, ran for election in the more conservative 4th district.[9]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Patrick Gatti
  • Gaither Martin, former State Department official
  • Douglas Wade, contractor
Withdrawn
  • Doug McKee, contractor
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jonathan Paton 28,644 60.9
Republican Gaither Martin 8,958 19.0
Republican Douglas Wade 6,758 14.4
Republican Patrick Gatti 2,707 5.7
Total votes 47,067 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Miguel Olivas, government consultant and former staffer for former U.S. Representative Rick Renzi[14]

Endorsements

Wenona Benally
Labor unions
Organizations

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 33,831 63.7
Democratic Wenona Benally Baldenegro 19,247 36.3
Total votes 53,078 100.0

Baldenegro would have been the first Native American woman to serve in Congress had she had won the seat.[13]

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Kim Allen

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Kim Allen (write-in) 97 100.0
Total votes 97 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Jonathan Paton (R)
U.S. Senators
U.S. Representatives
State officials
State legislators
Organizations
Newspapers
Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Did not endorse
Newspapers

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jonathan
Paton (R)		 Ann
Kirkpatrick (D)		 Undecided
NRCC (R) October 4, 2012 501 ±5.6% 50% 45% 5%
North Star Opinion Research (R) July 25–26, 2012 400 ±4.9% 43% 46% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[34] Tossup November 2, 2012
Roll Call[35] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Lean R November 5, 2012
NY Times[37] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[38] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[39] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

Arizona's 1st congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ann Kirkpatrick 122,774 48.8
Republican Jonathan Paton 113,594 45.1
Libertarian Kim Allen 15,227 6.1
Majority 9,180 3.7
Total votes 251,595 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

District 2

2012 Arizona's 2nd congressional district election
 
Nominee Ron Barber Martha McSally
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 147,338 144,884
Percentage 50.4% 49.6%
U.S. Representative before election

Ron Barber (8th)
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ron Barber
Democratic

After redistricting, most of the 2nd district was composed of land previously located in the 8th district and was thus more favorable to Democrats.[8] Democrat Gabby Giffords, who had represented the 8th district since 2007, was seriously wounded in a mass shooting in January 2011 and resigned her congressional seat in January 2012.[40] A special election was held in June 2012 under the boundaries of the then current 8th district, with a primary election held in April 2012; in November 2012 another election took place under the new boundaries of the 2nd district, with a primary scheduled for August 2012.[41]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Barber (incumbent) 51,206 82.0
Democratic Matt Heinz 11,213 18.0
Democratic Charlie Manolakis (write-in) 4 0.0
Total votes 62,423 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Mark Koskiniemi
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Martha McSally 52,809 81.7
Republican Mark Koskiniemi 11,828 18.3
Total votes 64,637 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Endorsements

Ron Barber (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Individuals
Martha McSally (R)
U.S. Representatives
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Ron
Barber (D)		 Martha
McSally (R)		 Undecided
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally) September 30–October 1, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 48% 47% 5%
Grove Insight (D-DCCC) September 27–30, 2012 400 ± ?% 54% 40% 6%
OnMessage Inc (R-McSally) August 7–8, 2012 400 ± 4.9% 50% 45% 5%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (D-Barber) July 17–22, 2012 503 ± 4.4% 53% 40% 7%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[34] Tilts D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[35] Lean D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Likely D November 5, 2012
NY Times[37] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[38] Lean D November 4, 2012
The Hill[39] Lean D November 4, 2012

Results

Arizona's 2nd congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ron Barber (incumbent) 147,338 50.4
Republican Martha McSally 144,884 49.6
Libertarian Anthony Powell (write-in) 57 0.0
Majority 2,454 0.8
Total votes 292,279 100.0
Democratic hold

District 3

2012 Arizona's 3rd congressional district election
 
Nominee Raúl Grijalva Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 98,468 62,663
Percentage 58.4% 37.2%
U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva (7th)
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

In the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 7th district became the 3rd district and was more favorable to Democrats.[8] Incumbent Democrat Raúl M. Grijalva, first elected in 2002, said in February 2011 that he had no plans to run for the U.S. Senate.[60]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • David Crowe Robles, defense contractor[62]

Endorsements

Amanda Aguirre
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raul Grijalva (incumbent) 24,044 65.6
Democratic Amanda Aguirre 9,484 25.9
Democratic Manny Arreguin 3,105 8.5
Total votes 36,633 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gabriela Saucedo Mercer, conservative activist[64]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jaime Vasquez, businessman,[65]
Declined
  • Ruth McClung, nominee for the 7th district in 2010[11]

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Gabriela Saucedo Mercer 12,474 65.3
Republican Jaime Vasquez 6,622 34.7
Total votes 19,096 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Blanca Guerra

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Blanca Guerra 116 100.0
Total votes 116 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Raul Grijalva (D)
Labor unions
Organizations
Newspapers
Gabriella Saucedo (R)
State officials
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 3rd congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Raúl M. Grijalva (incumbent) 98,468 58.4
Republican Gabriella Saucedo Mercer 62,663 37.1
Libertarian Bianca Guerra 7,567 4.5
Total votes 168,698 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2012 Arizona's 4th congressional district election
 
Nominee Paul Gosar Johnnie Robinson
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 162,907 69,154
Percentage 66.8% 28.4%
U.S. Representative before election

None
(New district)

 Elected U.S. Representative

Paul Gosar
Republican

The new 4th congressional district encompasses most of the rural areas in the old 2nd district, as well as significant portions of the old 1st, 5th, and 6th districts, according to the final maps Archived 2012-10-12 at the Wayback Machine of the Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. The district is heavily Republican.[8]

Paul Gosar, who had represented the 1st district since 2011 moved to Prescott in order to run in this district.

Republican primary

Campaign

Babeu dropped his congressional bid on May 11, 2012, instead seeking re-election as sheriff.[73] This came after he was accused of being lovers with an undocumented immigrant who he threatened with deportation to guarantee his silence. The Arizona solicitor general would later exonerate Babeu after an investigation.[74]

Candidates

Nominee
  • Paul Gosar, incumbent U.S. Representative for the 1st District
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 40,033 51.3
Republican Ron Gould 24,617 31.6
Republican Rick Murphy 13,315 17.1
Total votes 77,965 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Johnnie Robinson
Eliminated in primary
  • Mikel Weisser, author and political activist

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Johnnie Robinson 10,185 50.1
Democratic Mikel Weisser 10,166 49.9
Total votes 20,351 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Pamelia, aerospace and defense professional

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Joe Pamelia 189 100.0
Total votes 189 100.0

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Americans Elect primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Americans Elect Richard Grayson (write-in) 11 100.0
Total votes 11 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Paul Gosar (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 4th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Paul Gosar (incumbent) 162,907 66.8
Democratic Johnnie Robinson 69,154 28.4
Libertarian Joe Pamelia 9,306 3.8
Americans Elect Richard Grayson 2,393 1.0
Total votes 243,760 100.0
Republican win (new seat)

District 5

2012 Arizona's 5th congressional district election
 
Nominee Matt Salmon Spencer Morgan
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 183,470 89,589
Percentage 67.2% 32.8%
U.S. Representative before election

Jeff Flake (6th)
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Matt Salmon
Republican

With the October 2011 redistricting, most of the 6th district became the 5th district and continued to favor Republicans.[8] Incumbent Republican Jeff Flake, who had represented this district since 2001, sought the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate.[75]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Salmon 41,078 51.8
Republican Kirk Adams 38,152 48.2
Total votes 79,230 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Spencer Morgan 19,659 100.0
Total votes 19,659 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Matt Salmon (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 5th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Matt Salmon 183,470 67.2
Democratic Spencer Morgan 89,589 32.8
Total votes 273,059 100.0
Republican hold

District 6

2012 Arizona's 6th congressional district election
 
Nominee David Schweikert Matt Jette
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 179,706 97,666
Percentage 61.3% 33.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Ben Quayle (3rd)
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

David Schweikert
Republican

After redistricting, the bulk of David Schweikert's 5th district became the 9th district,[81] while his home in Fountain Hills was drawn into the newly created 4th district.[82] However, as soon as the maps were released, Schweikert announced he would run in the 6th district. That district had previously been the 3rd, represented by fellow Republican freshman Ben Quayle. However, in a statement announcing his re-election plans, Schweikert pointed out that he'd grown up in Scottsdale—most of which had been drawn into the 6th as well—had represented it in both the state house and in Congress, and owned a second home there.[8] A revised map, however, placed Schweikert's home in Fountain Hills into the reconfigured 6th.[83][84] Quayle, whose home in Phoenix had been drawn into the 9th but was just outside the boundaries of the 6th, opted to seek re-election in the 6th as well.

Republican primary

Campaign

During the bitter primary campaign, Schweikert was widely criticised for a mailer that accused Quayle of "going both ways", suggesting that he was bisexual. On the reverse, the mailer listed issues on which it claimed Quayle had taken both liberal and conservative positions. Senator Jon Kyl said that "such campaign tactics insult the voters, degrade politics and expose those who stoop to them as unworthy of high office" and Senator John McCain said the mailer was one of the "worst that I have seen" and that it "crosses the boundary of decent political dialogue and discourse". Quayle's spokeswoman called the mailer "utterly false" and "a sleazy smear tactic". Schweikert's spokesman responded that people "should get their minds out of the gutter" because the mailer was "obviously" referring to "'both ways' – as in liberal and conservative". The Arizona Republic asked two political scientists to review the mailer, who both said that they had "never seen anybody accuse someone of flip-flopping [on political issues] that way" and said that it was "difficult to believe" that the sexual suggestion was unintentional.[85][86][87][88]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Ben Quayle, incumbent U.S. Representative from the 3rd District

Primary results

Although the 6th contained almost two-thirds of Quayle's constituents, Schweikert defeated Quayle in the Republican primary—the real contest in this heavily Republican district—by 51.5 percent to Quayle's 48.5 percent.[89]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 41,821 51.5
Republican Ben Quayle (incumbent) 39,414 48.5
Total votes 81,235 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • W. John Williamson

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Matt Jette 12,383 51.9
Democratic W. John Williamson 11,471 48.1
Total votes 23,854 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Jack Anderson

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Jack Anderson 287 100.0
Total votes 287 100.0

Green primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mark Salazar

Primary results

Green primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Mark Salazar (write-in) 2 100.0
Total votes 2 100.0

General election

Endorsements

David Schweikert (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 6th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David Schweikert (incumbent) 179,706 61.3
Democratic Matt Jette 97,666 33.3
Libertarian Jack Anderson 10,167 3.5
Green Mark Salazar 5,637 1.9
None James Ketover (write-in) 1 0.0
Total votes 293,177 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2012 Arizona's 7th congressional district election
 
Nominee Ed Pastor Joe Cobb
Party Democratic Libertarian
Popular vote 104,489 23,338
Percentage 81.7% 18.3%
U.S. Representative before election

Ed Pastor (4th)
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Ed Pastor
Democratic

In accordance with the redrawn boundaries, most of the 4th district became the 7th district and remained the most Democratic district in Arizona.[8] Incumbent Democrat Ed Pastor considered a run for the U.S. Senate but decided against it.[93]

State senator Kyrsten Sinema, who considered a bid for Congress and lived in the former 4th district, opted to run in the 9th district.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Rebecca DeWitt
Declined

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Pastor (incumbent) 22,664 79.0
Democratic Rebecca DeWitt 6,013 21.0
Total votes 28,677 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Eliminated in primary
Declined
  • José Peñalosa, attorney and candidate for 4th district in 2010[96]

Primary results

Fistler did not receive enough write-in votes to appear on the general election ballot as a Republican.[97]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Fistler (write-in) 116 100.0
Total votes 116 100.0

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Joe Cobb

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Joe Cobb 162 100.0
Total votes 162 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Ed Pastor (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 7th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Ed Pastor (incumbent) 104,489 81.7
Libertarian Joe Cobb 23,338 18.3
Total votes 127,827 100.0
Democratic hold

District 8

2012 Arizona's 8th congressional district election
 
Nominee Trent Franks Gene Scharer
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 172,809 95,635
Percentage 63.4% 35.1%
U.S. Representative before election

Trent Franks (2nd)
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Trent Franks
Republican

With the new map, most of the Maricopa County portion of the old 2nd district was renumbered as the 8th district and made more favorable to Republicans.[8] Incumbent Republican Trent Franks, who had considered running for the U.S. Senate, instead ran for re-election.[99]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Tony Passalacqua, Navy veteran

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trent Franks (incumbent) 57,257 83.2
Republican Tony Passalacqua 11,572 16.8
Republican Helmuth Hack (write-in) 18 0.0
Total votes 68,847 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Gene Scharer, educator, nominee for this seat in 2000 and candidate in 2006

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gene Scharer 24,510 100.0
Total votes 24,510 100.0

Americans Elect primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Stephen Dolgos

Primary results

Americans Elect primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Americans Elect Stephen Dolgos 34 100.0
Total votes 34 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Trent Franks (R)
Organizations

Results

Arizona's 8th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Trent Franks (incumbent) 172,809 63.3
Democratic Gene Scharer 95,635 35.1
Americans Elect Stephen Dolgos 4,347 1.6
Total votes 272,791 100.0
Republican hold

District 9

2014 Arizona's 9th congressional district election
 
Nominee Kyrsten Sinema Vernon Parker Powell Gammill
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 121,881 111,630 16,620
Percentage 48.7% 44.6% 6.6%
U.S. Representative before election

David Schweikert (5th)
Republican

 Elected U.S. Representative

Kyrsten Sinema
Democratic

With the new map, most of the old 5th district became the 9th district.[100] It now encompassed portions of southern Phoenix, as well as all of Tempe and parts of Scottsdale, Mesa, Chandler and Paradise Valley. It was not considered safe for either party.[8]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
Declined

Primary results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Vernon B. Parker 11,184 22.5
Republican Wendy Rogers 10,479 21.0
Republican Martin Sepulveda 10,165 20.4
Republican Travis Grantham 9,179 18.4
Republican Jeff Thompson 3,358 6.7
Republican Lisa Borowsky 3,281 6.6
Republican Leah Campos Schandlbauer 2,139 4.3
Total votes 49,785 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Endorsements

Kyrsten Sinema
Labor unions

Primary results

Democratic primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 15,536 40.8
Democratic David Schapira 11,419 30.0
Democratic Andrei Cherny 11,146 29.2
Total votes 38,101 100.0

Libertarian primary

Primary results

Libertarian primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Powell Gammill (write-in) 90 100.0
Total votes 90 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Vernon Parker (R)
Organizations
Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Labor unions
Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Vernon
Parker (R)		 Kyrsten
Sinema (D)		 Undecided
Summit (R-Parker) October 15, 2012 600 ±4.2% 44% 42% 14%
Anzalone-Liszt (D-DCCC) September 9–11, 2012 400 ±4.9% 45% 48% 7%
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC) September 8–9, 2012 400 ±4.9% 41% 45% 14%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[34] Tilts D (flip) November 2, 2012
Roll Call[35] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[37] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
RCP[38] Lean D (flip) November 4, 2012
The Hill[39] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

Kyrsten Sinema was officially declared the winner on November 12, 2012.[115][116]

Arizona's 9th congressional district, 2012
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Kyrsten Sinema 121,881 48.7
Republican Vernon Parker 111,630 44.6
Libertarian Powell E. Gammill 16,620 6.6
Majority 10,251 4.1
Total votes 250,131 100.0
Democratic gain from Republican

References

  1. ↑ "2011/2012 Election Important Dates". Office of the Secretary of State. Archived from the original on September 26, 2011. Retrieved August 16, 2011.
  2. ↑ "State Of Arizona Official Canvass" (PDF). azsos.gov. Arizona Secretary of State. December 3, 2012. Retrieved January 20, 2019.
  3. ↑ "Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission notice of public meeting" (PDF). Arizona Independent Redistricting Commission. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 1, 2011. Retrieved November 6, 2011.
  4. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (November 3, 2011). "Brewer, GOP blasted over Arizona redistrict panel ouster". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 6, 2011.
  5. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (November 18, 2011). "Court orders reinstatement of redistricting official". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 28, 2011.
  6. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (November 22, 2011). "Arizona redistricting reinstatement delay requested by Brewer". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved November 28, 2011.
  7. ↑ Pitzl, Mary Jo (April 20, 2012). "Arizona map-panel ruling unanimous". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved July 25, 2012.
  8. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Taylor, Jessica (October 5, 2011). "House Democrats Gain With New Arizona Map". National Journal. Archived from the original on October 6, 2011. Retrieved October 7, 2011.
  9. 1 2 Nowicki, Dan; Hansen, Ronald J. (January 7, 2012). "Gosar to run for Congress in new district". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved January 9, 2012.
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