2018 Arizona Secretary of State election
November 6, 2018
Turnout62.77% Increase [1]
 
Nominee Katie Hobbs Steve Gaynor
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,176,384 1,156,132
Percentage 50.4% 49.6%
County results
Hobbs:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Gaynor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
     No data
Tie:      50%
Secretary of State before election

Michele Reagan
Republican

 Elected Secretary of State

Katie Hobbs
Democratic

The 2018 Arizona Secretary of State election took place on November 6, 2018, to elect the Secretary of State of Arizona, concurrently with the election of Arizona's Class I U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Michele Reagan was first elected in 2014 and ran for re-election. She was defeated in the Republican primary by Steve Gaynor. State senator Katie Hobbs defeated Gaynor in the general election by a small margin, becoming the first Democratic Secretary of State since Richard Mahoney was elected in 1990.

The race was rated "Likely Republican" by Governing.com,[2] but this did not come to fruition as Katie Hobbs pulled off an upset win which, alongside Democrats' victory in the concurrent Senate election, established Arizona's role as a key battleground state.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Results

Results by county:
  Gaynor—50–60%
  Gaynor—60–70%
  Gaynor—70–80%
Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Steve Gaynor 414,332 66.69%
Republican Michele Reagan (incumbent) 206,988 33.31%
Total votes 621,320 100.0%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Not on the ballot

Withdrew

Results

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Katie Hobbs 465,668 100.0%
Total votes 465,668 100.0%

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Governing[17] Likely R June 4, 2018

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error		 Steve
Gaynor (R)		 Katie
Hobbs (D)		 Other Undecided
Data Orbital (R) October 1–3, 2018 550 (LV) ± 4.2% 41% 31% 3% 24%
OH Predictive Insights October 1–2, 2018 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 50% 36% – 14%
Gravis Marketing September 5–7, 2018 882 (LV) ± 3.3% 45% 40% – 15%
OH Predictive Insights September 5–6, 2018 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 42% 39% – 19%

Results

Arizona Secretary of State election, 2018[1]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Katie Hobbs 1,176,384 50.43% +2.65%
Republican Steve Gaynor 1,156,132 49.56% -2.66%
Write-in 169 0.01% N/A
Total votes 2,332,685 100.0%
Democratic gain from Republican

By county

County[1] Katie Hobbs
Democratic		 Steve Gaynor
Republican		 Others Margin Total
#  % #  % #  % #  %
Apache 17,029 68.33 7,889 31.65 4 0.02 9,140 36.68 24,922
Cochise 18,721 41.66 26,204 58.31 17 0.04 -7,483 -16.65 44,942
Coconino 34,120 63.21 19,851 36.78 8 0.01 14,269 26.43 53,979
Gila 7,524 37.01 12,804 62.98 2 0.01 -5,280 -25.97 20,330
Graham 3,476 32.99 7,061 67.01 0 0.00 -3,585 -34.02 10,537
Greenlee 1,084 43.00 1,437 57.00 0 0.00 -353 -14.00 2,531
La Paz 1,608 32.06 3,408 67.94 0 0.00 -1,800 -35.88 5,016
Maricopa 713,045 50.72 692,690 49.27 85 0.01 20,355 1.45 1,405,735
Mohave 18,775 26.56 51,900 73.43 5 0.01 -33,125 -46.87 70,675
Navajo 16,930 47.06 19,040 52.93 3 0.01 -2,110 -5.87 35,970
Pima 226,034 59.24 155,501 40.75 23 0.01 70,533 18.49 381,535
Pinal 49,756 42.90 66,211 57.09 7 0.01 -16,455 -14.19 115,967
Santa Cruz 9,497 71.81 3,729 28.19 0 0.00 5,768 43.62 13,226
Yavapai 38,259 36.66 66,088 63.33 13 0.01 -27,829 -26.67 104,347
Yuma 20,526 47.91 22,319 52.09 2 0.00 -1,793 -4.18 42,845

References

  1. 1 2 3 "2018 General Election" (PDF). results.arizona.vote. November 6, 2018. Retrieved March 30, 2021.
  2. ↑ "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". June 2018.
  3. ↑ "Millionaire jumps into race to challenge Michele Reagan for Arizona secretary of state".
  4. ↑ "Could dark-horse candidate be Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan's biggest threat? - Rose Law Group Reporter". December 25, 2017.
  5. ↑ "Arizona Election Information". apps.arizona.vote.
  6. ↑ "Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan to see 2018 primary challenge". Archived from the original on March 31, 2017. Retrieved March 31, 2017.
  7. ↑ "Sen. Steve Montenegro jumps into race for Arizona secretary of state".
  8. ↑ "Crowded race to replace Rep. Trent Franks reshapes state's political landscape".
  9. 1 2 "2018 Primary Election - August 28, 2018 - Official Canvass of Results" (PDF). Arizona Secretary of State.
  10. ↑ "Democratic state Sen. Katie Hobbs will seek to unseat Arizona Secretary of State Michele Reagan".
  11. ↑ "Hobbs Announces She'll Run for Arizona Secretary of State | Arizona News | US News". Archived from the original on December 13, 2017. Retrieved March 11, 2017.
  12. ↑ "Leslie Pico for AZ Secretary of State 2018 - Take Action". electleslie.com. Archived from the original on August 16, 2018. Retrieved April 26, 2019.
  13. ↑ "Primary candidates drop off ballot following petition challenges". Glendale Star. Archived from the original on July 2, 2018. Retrieved June 29, 2018.
  14. ↑ "Mark Robert Gordon for Secretary of State". www.facebook.com.
  15. ↑ "Arizona native, lawyer Mark Robert Gordon to run for secretary of state". September 29, 2017.
  16. ↑ "Unity, For The Greater Good". June 19, 2018.
  17. ↑ Jacobson, Louis (June 4, 2018). "Secretary of State Races Are More Competitive and Important Than Ever". Governing. Retrieved September 22, 2019.
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