2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary

March 1, 2016 (2016-03-01)
 
Candidate Bernie Sanders Hillary Clinton
Home state Vermont New York
Delegate count 22 18
Popular vote 174,228 139,443
Percentage 51.88% 41.52%

Results by county
Sanders:      40-50%      50-60%      60-70%
Clinton:      40-50%      50-60%

The 2016 Oklahoma Democratic presidential primary took place on March 1 in the U.S. state of Oklahoma as one of the Democratic Party's primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

On the same day, dubbed "Super Tuesday," Democratic primaries were held in ten other states plus American Samoa, while the Republican Party held primaries in eleven states including their own Oklahoma primary.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Official Primary results March 1, 2016 Bernie Sanders
51.9%
Hillary Clinton
41.5%
Others
6.6%
Monmouth[1]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

February 25–28, 2016 Bernie Sanders
48%
Hillary Clinton
43%
Others / Undecided
9%
Sooner Poll/News 9/News on 6[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 510

February 23–25, 2016 Hillary Clinton
40%
Bernie Sanders
31%
Others / Undecided
29%
Public Policy Polling[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 542

February 14–16,
2016
Hillary Clinton
46%
Bernie Sanders
44%
Undecided 9%
Sooner Poll[4]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 360

February 6–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton
43.9%
Bernie Sanders
28%
Undecided 28.1%
Sooner Poll[5]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 369

November 12–15, 2015 Hillary Clinton
46.6%
Bernie Sanders
12.2%
Martin O'Malley
2.2%
Undecided 39.1%
The Oklahoman/Cole Hargrave Snodgrass & Associates[6]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 550

October 19–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
30%
Bernie Sanders
21%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Undecided 46%

Results

Primary date: March 1, 2016
National delegates: 91

Oklahoma Democratic primary, March 1, 2016
Candidate Popular vote Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 174,228 51.88% 21 1 22
Hillary Clinton 139,443 41.52% 17 1 18
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn) 7,672 2.28%
Keith Judd 4,386 1.31%
Michael Steinberg 4,171 1.24%
Star Locke (withdrawn) 3,458 1.03%
Rocky De La Fuente 2,485 0.74%
Uncommitted 0 2 2
Total 335,843 100% 38 4 42
Source: The Green Papers, Oklahoma State Election Board

Results by county

County[7] Clinton Votes Sanders Votes
Adair33.4%58255.8%971
Alfalfa28.0%9258.1%191
Atoka28.4%37055.4%723
Beaver28.9%5252.2%94
Beckham31.2%46455.4%824
Blaine37.3%31351.8%435
Bryan31.2%1,05056.8%1,913
Caddo36.4%1,06053.0%1,543
Canadian38.4%3,35756.3%4,922
Carter32.3%1,24055.0%2,113
Cherokee38.7%2,02355.4%2,897
Choctaw29.0%38456.4%745
Cimarron17.5%2254.0%68
Cleveland37.6%10,43359.3%16,428
Coal19.0%13663.6%456
Comanche44.9%3,52348.5%3,804
Cotton29.7%20456.4%388
Craig35.8%60954.5%926
Creek35.8%60950.9%926
Custer33.6%75057.1%1,273
Delaware41.2%1,44750.5%1,773
Dewey27.5%13455.4%270
Ellis23.3%7064.1%193
Garfield41.3%1,40352.2%1,771
Garvin32.7%90954.1%1,505
Grady34.2%1,62956.2%2,677
Grant31.9%12557.1%224
Greer27.6%16455.8%332
Harmon37.2%12250.9%167
Harper26.1%6857.9%151
Haskell32.8%47551.9%752
Hughes33.0%53753.7%873
Jackson38.6%50549.8%652
Jefferson29.4%19751.7%347
Johnston24.8%26057.8%606
Kay38.5%1,28853.5%1,791
Kingfisher33.2%26858.5%472
Kiowa34.8%33154.0%514
Latimer31.2%49953.3%852
Le Flore33.1%1,49850.5%2,283
Lincoln38.5%1,16153.8%1,623
Logan42.1%1,31452.7%1,645
Love32.0%31451.1%502
Major34.7%14053.2%215
Marshall30.3%40056.0%738
Mayes40.0%1,65951.7%2,144
McClain35.4%1,15757.1%1,865
McCurtain28.3%71252.3%1,314
McIntosh40.2%1,02249.6%1,261
Murray32.7%54454.6%909
Muskogee44.8%3,38146.6%3,515
Noble35.3%36254.8%562
Nowata38.2%40649.9%530
Okfuskee36.9%42152.3%1,261
Oklahoma50.1%34,25547.4%32,368
Okmulgee45.7%1,86746.1%1,882
Osage47.5%2,39046.2%2,327
Ottawa39.3%97250.1%1,238
Pawnee40.5%60351.1%762
Payne38.9%2,62256.7%3,829
Pittsburg31.6%1,71755.8%3,026
Pontotoc29.6%1,18659.8%2,392
Pottawatomie37.5%2,30055.5%3,400
Pushmataha26.7%31756.1%667
Roger Mills21.6%10058.0%268
Rogers39.6%2,81052.9%3,757
Seminole36.0%93250.1%1,194
Sequoyah36.0%1,35949.6%1,872
Stephens31.2%1,17456.1%2,108
Texas31.7%26746.7%393
Tillman33.2%21453.7%346
Tulsa47.4%25,37249.6%26,525
Wagoner43.5%2,49349.1%2,813
Washington42.4%1,64951.6%2,006
Washita25.1%29260.1%700
Woods33.8%21756.5%363
Woodward30.8%34362.4%694
Total41.5%139,33851.9%174,054

Analysis

As he had managed in other primarily white Great Plains states including neighboring Kansas, Bernie Sanders won a convincing ten-point victory in Oklahoma. This marked a clear difference from 2008 when Hillary Clinton had won the state by 21 points against Barack Obama, winning 76 of the state's 77 counties. According to exit polls, Sanders won men 60-33, younger voters 76-23, white voters 56-36, and Independent voters 69-21. Clinton, for her part, won women 48-46, older voters 50-41, non-white voters 56-40, and Democrats 52-43. A majority of voters in the primary said they thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, 51-47.[7]

Sanders swept 75 of Oklahoma's 77 counties. He performed strongly in the major cities of Norman, Stillwater, Enid, and Moore. He narrowly edged out Clinton in Tulsa County by a margin of 2.28%. Clinton narrowly won in Oklahoma County (the only county to vote for Obama in the 2008 primary), home to Oklahoma City, and Osage County, home of the Osage Native American tribe.

Sanders won most of the rural, majority white and deeply conservative counties of the state, including those in the Oklahoma Panhandle, Little Dixie, and Southwestern Oklahoma which are among the most radically conservative areas of the nation. The Little Dixie region in particular was the base of President Bill Clinton's support in the 1992 and 1996 elections, as this area consists of socially conservative but economically liberal Democrats, many of whom were drawn to Sanders's opposition to trade deals like NAFTA.

References

  1. "Monmouth University Poll" (PDF).
  2. "News9/Newson6: Sanders Closes Gap, But Still Trails Clinton In OK".
  3. Silas Allen. "Poll shows Democratic primary race tightening in Oklahoma".
  4. Madison Grady. "SoonerPoll: Clinton remains frontrunner, but Sanders continues to rise".
  5. "EXCLUSIVE POLL: Trump, Clinton Remain Front-runners in Oklahoma". November 20, 2015.
  6. "Poll: Ben Carson leads Republican presidential field in Oklahoma". Retrieved October 29, 2015.
  7. 1 2 "2016 Election Center". CNN. Retrieved June 4, 2018.
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