2016 Manitoba general election

April 19, 2016 (2016-04-19)
57 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba 29 seats needed for a majority
Turnout	57.43%
First party Second party   Leader Brian Pallister Greg Selinger Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since July 30, 2012 October 17, 2009 Leader's seat Fort Whyte St. Boniface Last election 19 seats, 43.71% 37 seats, 46.16% Seats before 19 35 Seats won 40 14 Seat change 21 21 Popular vote 232,215 112,748 Percentage 53.10% 25.78% Swing 9.39% 20.38%   Third party Fourth party   Leader Rana Bokhari James Beddome Party Liberal Green Leader since October 26, 2013 November 15, 2014 Leader's seat ran in Fort Rouge (lost) ran in Fort Garry-Riverview (lost) Last election 1 seat, 7.52% 0 seats, 2.52% Seats before 1 0 Seats won 3 0 Seat change 2 Popular vote 62,973 22,188 Percentage 14.40% 5.07% Swing 6.88% 2.62%
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead via results by each riding.
Premier before election Greg Selinger New Democratic Premier after election Brian Pallister Progressive Conservative

The 2016 Manitoba general election was held on April 19, 2016, to elect members to the Legislative Assembly of Manitoba, Canada.^[1] The New Democratic Party of Manitoba, led by Greg Selinger, were defeated by the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba led by Brian Pallister, ending nearly 17 years of NDP government. The Tories won 40 seats, one of the largest majority governments in Manitoba history, the other one was in 1915 when Liberals also won 40 seats.^[2]

The election also removed one of the two New Democratic governments in the country, the other being formed by the Alberta New Democratic Party.

Date

Under the Manitoba Elections Act, the general election is to be held on the first Tuesday of October in the fourth calendar year, following the previous election.^[3] As the last election was held in 2011, that date would be October 6, 2015. However, the act also provides that if, as of January 1 of the election year, the election period would overlap with a federal election period, the provincial election is to be postponed until the third Tuesday of the following April.^[4] Under the federal fixed-term act, on January 1, 2015, the next federal election was tentatively scheduled for October 19, 2015, overlapping election periods by approximately three weeks. Thus the next Manitoba election was scheduled for April 19, 2016. The Lieutenant Governor retains the power to dissolve the Legislative Assembly early.^[5] The legislature was dissolved and writs or the election were dropped on March 16, 2016.^[6]

Campaign

The election was relatively unique within Canadian politics, in that opinion polling indicated that most voters were basing their decision on the local candidate in their riding or the party platform, not the performance of the leader. In most Canadian elections, such as the 2016 Saskatchewan election, the behaviour of the party leader was a stronger motivator for constituents when voting;^[7] in the context of the Manitoba election, however, polling found that none of the three main party leaders was particularly well-liked or trusted by the electorate.^[8] Although Pallister fared best with 33 per cent support in public opinion polling on the question of preferred premier, even he finished only one point ahead of "none of the above" at 32 per cent.^[8]

The campaigns of all three parties were based on themes of change, with even Selinger suggesting the incumbent NDP government would be able to respond to constituent concerns and change problematic policies in the leaders' debate.^[7] Opinion polling during the campaign suggested a lack of enthusiasm for all party leaders, and a general desire for change.^[9]

Election summary

The Tories went into the election as heavy favourites, having led opinion polls for almost four years. They scored a near-sweep of rural southern and central Manitoba, and also made significant inroads in Winnipeg, taking every seat in the southern and western portions of the capital. In many cases, previously safe NDP seats either fell to the Tories or saw the NDP margins cut by more than half.

Incumbents not contesting their seats

Opinion polls

NDP   Progressive Conservative   Liberal   Green

Candidates by riding

• Note that names in bold type represent Cabinet members, while italics represent party leaders.

Notes

References

Further reading

• Levasseur, Karine; Rounce, Andrea; Ferguson, Barry; Koop, Royce, eds. (2019). Understanding the Manitoba Election 2016: Campaigns, Participation, Issues, Place. Winnipeg: University of Manitoba Press. ISBN 978-0-88755-548-0.

External links

• Elections Manitoba