Cumberland—Colchester
Nova Scotia electoral district
Cumberland–Colchester–Musquodoboit Valley in relation to the other Nova Scotia federal electoral districts
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 		 
Stephen Ellis
Conservative
District created1966
First contested2004
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2016)[1]80,590
Electors (2021)67,675
Area (km²)[1]7,906
Pop. density (per km²)10.2
Census division(s)Colchester, Cumberland, Halifax
Census subdivision(s)Halifax, Truro, Amherst, Springhill

Cumberland—Colchester (formerly Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley and North Nova) is a federal electoral district in Nova Scotia, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 2004.

Cumberland—Colchester North and Cumberland—Colchester were ridings that covered roughly the same geographic area and were represented in the House of Commons from 1968 to 1979 and 1979 to 2004, respectively.

Demographics

Historical population
YearPop.±%
200187,149—    
200687,895+0.9%
2011 (2003 redist.)87,982+0.1%
2011 (2015 redist.)82,321−6.4%
201680,590−2.1%

From the 2006 census [2]

Ethnic groups:

Languages:

Religions:

Education:

  • No certificate, diploma or degree: 31.0%
  • High school certificate: 24.6%
  • Apprenticeship or trade certificate or diploma: 12.3%
  • Community college, CEGEP or other non-university certificate or diploma: 17.7%
  • University certificate or diploma: 14.3%

Median Age:

  • 43.4

Median total income:

  • $20,756

Average total income:

  • $26,779

Median household income:

  • $41,550

Average household income:

  • $50,122

Median family income:

  • $50,353

Average family income:

  • $58,555

Unemployment:

  • 9.0%

Geography

The district includes the counties of Cumberland, and Colchester. Communities include the towns of Amherst, Oxford, Parrsboro, Springhill, Stewiacke and Truro, as well as the villages of Bible Hill, Pugwash and Tatamagouche.

History

This riding was created as "Cumberland—Colchester North" in 1966 from Cumberland and Colchester—Hants ridings. It consisted of the county of Cumberland and the northern part of the county of Colchester, including the town of Truro. It was abolished in 1976 when it was merged with the remainder of Colchester County into "Cumberland—Colchester" riding.

Cumberland–Colchester was abolished in 2003. The territory was combined with the largely rural Musquodoboit Valley portion of the Halifax Regional Municipality in a new riding called "North Nova". After the election in 2004, the name was changed to "Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley".

2009 By-election

In early 2009, Incumbent Bill Casey announced he would not be re-offering in the next Federal Election. He subsequently announced his resignation from Parliament to become the Senior Inter-Governmental Affairs Representative for Nova Scotia in Ottawa.

In April 2009 Scott Armstrong was confirmed as the next Conservative Party candidate in the riding. At the time, he was the president of the provincial Progressive Conservative Party.

In September 2009, Jim Burrows was selected as the next Liberal Party candidate in the riding having defeated 2008 candidate, Tracy Parsons. He received 175 of 206 votes cast. He is a dairy farmer from Green Oaks and Chair of the Board of Directors for Scotsburn Co-operative Services.[3]

Mark Austin was selected to run for the New Democratic Party.

Christian Heritage Party ran Jim Hnatiuk, a retired military officer and the owner of Nova Scotia's largest hunting and fishing store, in Lantz. Hnatiuk was chosen party leader in November 2008.

Green Party leader Elizabeth May had said she was interested in running in the by-election, but subsequently announced she would run in the riding of Saanich-Gulf Islands. The party instead ran Jason Blanch.

As per the 2012 federal electoral redistribution, this riding was largely dissolved into the new riding 'Cumberland—Colchester', with small portions going to Central Nova and Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook.

Member of Parliament

These ridings have elected the following Members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Cumberland—Colchester North
Riding created from Cumberland and Colchester—Hants
28th  1968–1972     Robert Coates Progressive Conservative
29th  1972–1974
30th  1974–1979
Cumberland—Colchester
31st  1979–1980     Robert Coates Progressive Conservative
32nd  1980–1984
33rd  1984–1988
34th  1988–1993 Bill Casey
35th  1993–1997     Dianne Brushett Liberal
36th  1997–2000     Bill Casey Progressive Conservative
37th  2000–2003
 2003–2004     Conservative
North Nova
38th  2004–2006     Bill Casey Conservative
Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley
39th  2006–2007     Bill Casey Conservative
 2007–2008     Independent
40th  2008–2009
 2009–2011     Scott Armstrong Conservative
41st  2011–2015
Cumberland—Colchester
42nd  2015–2019     Bill Casey Liberal
43rd  2019–2021 Lenore Zann
44th  2021–present     Stephen Ellis Conservative

Election results

Graph of election results in Cumberland–Colchester North, Cumberland—Colchester(1976-2003, 2012-present), North Nova, and Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

Cumberland—Colchester

Graph of election results in Cumberland—Colchester from 2012-present (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2021 general election

2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeStephen Ellis18,60146.02+10.34$74,420.53
LiberalLenore Zann13,82234.20-2.49$83,751.17
New DemocraticDaniel Osborne4,98412.33+0.34$3,375.10
People'sBill Archer1,6874.17+2.83$1,941.16
GreenJillian Foster1,0452.58-10.66$813.26
IndependentJody O'Blenis2780.69+0.37none listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 40,41799.31+0.28$109,531.81
Total rejected ballots 2790.69-0.28
Turnout 40,69660.13-8.40
Registered voters 67,675
Conservative gain from Liberal Swing +6.45
Source: Elections Canada[4][5]

2019 general election

2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalLenore Zann16,67236.68−27.05$91,456.57
ConservativeScott Armstrong16,21935.69+9.23none listed
GreenJason Blanch6,01513.23+9.67$9,366.06
New DemocraticLarry Duchesne5,45111.99+6.28$3,860.15
People'sWilliam Archer6081.34Newnone listed
IndependentMatthew V. Rushton2320.51Newnone listed
Veterans CoalitionJody O'Blenis1440.32Newnone listed
National Citizens AllianceStephen J. Garvey1090.24Newnone listed
Total valid votes/expense limit 45,45099.03 $104,050.86
Total rejected ballots 4470.97+0.59
Turnout 45,89768.54−2.51
Eligible voters 66,967
Liberal hold Swing −18.14
Source: Elections Canada[6]

2015 general election

2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
LiberalBill Casey29,52763.73+45.35$94,835.51
ConservativeScott Armstrong12,25726.45–26.48$155,677.03
New DemocraticWendy Robinson2,6475.71–16.76$21,393.25
GreenJason Matthew Blanch1,6503.56–1.81$8,721.38
IndependentKenneth Jackson1810.39––
IndependentRichard Trueman Plett700.15––
Total valid votes/Expense limit 46,33299.62 $207,024.53
Total rejected ballots 1780.38
Turnout 46,51071.64
Eligible voters 64,923
Liberal gain from Conservative Swing +35.91
Source: Elections Canada[7][8]
2011 federal election redistributed results[9]
Party Vote  %
  Conservative19,87552.93
  New Democratic8,43922.48
  Liberal6,90218.38
  Green2,0155.37
  Others3140.84

Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley

Graph of election results in Cumberland—Colchester—Musquodoboit Valley (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2011 general election

2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeScott Armstrong21,04152.46+6.62$84,480.51
New DemocraticWendy Robinson9,32223.24-2.49$10,734.51
LiberalJim Burrows7,26418.11-3.21$34,804.26
GreenJason Blanch2,1095.26+1.95$5,762.34
Christian HeritageJim Hnatiuk3750.93-2.26$5,478.83
Total valid votes/Expense limit 40,111100.00 $87,350.74
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2560.63+0.23
Turnout 40,36758.34+22.53
Eligible voters 69,188
Conservative hold Swing +4.56
Changes based on 2009 by-election results.
Sources:[10][11]

2009 by-election

Canadian federal by-election, November 9, 2009
On the resignation of Bill Casey, 11 September 2009
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeScott Armstrong11,16745.84+37.01$85,124.62
New DemocraticMark Austin6,26725.73+13.41$70,020.79
LiberalJim Burrows5,19321.32+12.87$59,031.48
GreenJason Blanch8073.31–$3,338.63
Christian HeritageJim Hnatiuk7783.19–$61,482.45
IndependentKate Graves1490.61–$1,108.02
Total valid votes/Expense limit 24,361100.0   $86,242
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 970.40-0.11
Turnout 24,45835.81-21.96
Eligible voters 68,304
Conservative gain from Independent Swing +11.80

2008 general election

Incumbent MP Bill Casey, re-elected in 2006 as a member of the Conservative Party, was expelled from the Conservative caucus in 2007 after voting against the 2007 budget, which he objected to on the grounds of alleged violations of the Atlantic Accord. He attempted to run for the Conservative nomination for the next federal election but was refused. Casey therefore ran for re-election as an independent. The Green Party endorsed Casey and did not nominate a candidate opposing his reelection.

2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
IndependentBill Casey27,30369.01+16.97$68,549.58
New DemocraticKaren Olsson4,87412.32-8.42$6,944.11
ConservativeJoel Bernard3,4938.83-43.21$35,846.73
LiberalTracy Parsons3,3448.45-15.44$28,266.26
IndependentRick Simpson5501.39+0.17none listed
Total valid votes/Expense limit 39,564100.0    $84,518
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2010.51+0.04
Turnout 39,76557.77-4.08
Eligible voters 68,831
Independent gain from Conservative Swing +12.68

2006 general election

2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeBill Casey22,43952.04+1.55$50,744.39
LiberalGary Richard10,29923.89-2.60$30,783.20
New DemocraticMargaret Sagar8,94420.74+1.83$15,901.38
GreenBruce Farrell9102.11-1.00$118.51
IndependentRick Simpson5241.22–$253.00
Total valid votes/Expense limit 43,116100.0   $79,110
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 2030.47-0.01
Turnout 43,31961.85
Eligible voters 70,036
Conservative hold Swing +2.08

North Nova

Graph of election results in North Nova (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2004 general election

2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%Expenditures
ConservativeBill Casey20,18850.49-9.99$63,528.46
LiberalDianne Brushett10,59126.49+0.13$40,391.55
New DemocraticMargaret Sagar7,56018.91+5.87$14,509.58
GreenSheila Richardson1,2453.11–$1,050.38
Progressive CanadianJack Moors3991.00–$553.10
Total valid votes/Expense limit 39,983100.0   $76,024
Total rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 1920.48
Turnout 40,17560.46-0.32
Eligible voters 66,451
Conservative notional gain from Progressive Conservative Swing -5.06
Changes from 2000 are based on redistributed results. Conservative Party change is based on the combination of Canadian Alliance and Progressive Conservative Party totals.
2000 federal election redistributed results
Party Vote  %
  Progressive Conservative18,98447.38
  Liberal10,56326.36
  Alliance5,24713.10
  New Democratic5,22613.04
  Others480.12

Cumberland—Colchester

Graph of election results in Cumberland—Colchester from 1976-2003 (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

2000 general election

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBill Casey18,71648.49+4.86
LiberalDianne Brushett10,27126.61+0.82
AllianceBryden Ryan4,98112.91-1.08
New DemocraticJames Harpell4,62911.99-2.21
Total valid votes 38,597100.00
Changes for the Canadian Alliance from 1997 are based on its predecessor, the Reform Party.

1997 general election

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBill Casey18,61043.63+7.15
LiberalDianne Brushett11,00225.79-16.80
New DemocraticPeter Stewart6,05814.20+8.64
ReformBob Peterson5,97013.99+0.80
IndependentRay Merriam8261.94
Natural LawPhyllis Hall1930.45-0.28
Total valid votes 42,659 100.00

1993 general election

1993 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
LiberalDianne Brushett18,19542.59+1.03
Progressive ConservativeBill Casey15,58236.48-9.71
ReformAudrey Staples5,63613.19
New DemocraticBarbara Jack2,3745.56-3.76
Christian HeritageSteve McLean6181.45-1.02
Natural LawPhyllis Hall3120.73
Total valid votes 42,717100.00

1988 general election

1988 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeBill Casey20,38446.19-11.10
LiberalDennis James18,34041.56+11.96
New DemocraticBarbara Jack4,1129.32-3.78
Christian HeritageNorman W. Pearce1,0882.47
IndependentBob Kirk2100.48
Total valid votes 44,134100.00

1984 general election

1984 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates24,18057.30+11.00
LiberalRon Creighton12,48929.60-4.90
New DemocraticJessie Mae McCarron5,52713.10-4.76
Total valid votes 42,196100.00

1980 general election

1980 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates18,43646.30-9.46
LiberalWalter Purdy13,73734.50+4.81
New DemocraticHayden Trenholm7,11117.86+4.03
IndependentBob Kirk3370.85+0.12
IndependentDean Whalen1940.49
Total valid votes 39,815100.00

1979 general election

1979 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates22,82755.76+2.97
LiberalSam Brushett12,15429.69-10.22
New DemocraticHayden Trenholm5,66213.83+6.91
IndependentBob Kirk2970.73–
Total valid votes 40,940100.00

Cumberland–Colchester North

Graph of election results in Cumberland–Colchester North (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)

1974 general election

1974 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates18,07852.79-5.29
LiberalSam Brushett13,66639.91+9.57
New DemocraticAllan Marchbank2,3696.92-3.93
Social CreditBeatrice Holmes1330.39
Total valid votes 34,246100.00

1972 general election

1972 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%±%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates19,45558.08-2.84
LiberalDick van Snick10,16330.34-3.14
New DemocraticAllan Marchbank3,63510.85+5.25
IndependentRobert Kirk2450.73
Total valid votes 33,498100.00

1968 general election

1968 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes%
Progressive ConservativeRobert Coates18,44660.92
LiberalHarry Flemming10,13933.48
New DemocraticGordon Schurman1,6965.60
Total valid votes 30,281100.00

See also

References

  • "Cumberland—Colchester (Code 12007) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.

Notes

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