China-Zambian relations
Map indicating locations of China and Zambia

China
Zambia

People's Republic of China – Zambia relations refers to the current and historical relationship between the People's Republic of China (PRC) and Zambia.

Historical and political relationship

The relationship between Zambia and China was established after the independence of Zambia on October 29, 1964.[1] : 346 China supported the political emancipation struggle of Zambia in this era through financial and material support.

The first phase of the relationship emphasises the acquisition of political freedom from occupying colonial forces and promoting diplomatic relationships with China. Zambia, after getting political freedom in 1964 was supported by China through economic support and infrastructural buildout. The Zambian government began to invest in transportation infrastructure, to help the economic growth of the country and support political freedom movements in the region of the Southern African Development Community. China considered the infrastructural development of the railway link as an opportunity to strengthen ties with Zambia. In this regard, the former president of Zambia (Kenneth Kaunda) visited China in 1967 for the finalisation of the railway project and with the approval of the parties involved.[2] This reflects a wider interest of China during this period, in which it began its planning to aid African countries with infrastructural development and political support.

The second phase of the Zambian-Sino relationship from 1979 to 1999 saw significant economic and political changes in the African continent. Zambia in the early 1990s, implemented a multiparty democratic system whereas in China there was a recovery period from economic and social challenges due to the Cultural Revolution, followed by the Open-Door Policies of Deng Xiaoping.[3] In 1991, China introduced a change in policy called “Going Out” which impacted its relations with several African countries. China at this stage emphasised significant economic transformation from the old, planned economy towards a more open market economy. Although the association between China and Zambia during this period remained primarily political, the trend of increasing investment could already be seen.

The third phase of the Chinese and Zambian relationship, (1999–present day), is characterised by strengthening policy of promoting sustainable economic development. The government of Zambia has focused on key social policy areas such as promoting regional peace and poverty alleviation. In 2000, the China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC) forum was created to promote a new relationship between China and Zambia. This forum aimed to facilitate and promote cultural exchange, economic cooperation, joint trust, and political equivalence to drive the relationship. This has worked to deepen diplomatic ties between the two nations.

Economic relations

The Chinese investors had complaints, as a Zambian newspaper reported: “the Zambian government’s rigid control over expatriate staff, high transportation costs due to its landlocked position and poor infrastructure, discriminatory incentives, complicated labour relations laws, frequent strikes by workers, and poor local industries were not helping investors.”[4]: 5 

Sino-Zambian trade relations

Embassy of Zambia in China

After recognising the People's Republic of China (PRC) just after 5 days following its establishment in 1949, Zambia has been one of China's oldest diplomatic partners.[5] This is particularly visible in the extensive trade relations between the two countries. Zambia is rich in primary resources, with exports to China consisting mostly of raw materials, key to the upkeep of China's growing economic ambitions.[5]

As of August 2022, Chinese exports to Zambia amounted to $92.6M, while Zambian exports to the PRC reached $513M. This meant a negative trade balance of $421M from China's perspective.[6]

The top Chinese export products were delivery trucks ($7.68M), while tractors, steel bars and semiconductor devices were among the most popular Chinese exports towards Zambia. On the other hand, China imported mostly raw materials from Zambia, mainly raw copper ($419M), and additional primary resources such as refined copper, nickel ore, raw tobacco, or copper ore.[6]

In the one-year period between August 2021 and August 2022, Zambian imports from China increased by $31.5M, amounting to a 51.6% rise, while Zambian exports increased by $206M, or a 67.2% growth.[6]

Main Chinese export regions to Zambia include the Shandong, Jiangsu, Beijing, Guangdong, and Zhejiang Provinces, while the main import destinations of Zambian products are Jiangxi, Shandong, Guangdong, Fujian and Anhui Provinces.[6]

As of 2022, the export of services is absent between the two countries.[6]

After being key trading partners for decades, the bilateral relationship culminated on 28 September 2022, at the first China-Zambia Investment Forum. The forum concluded with parties agreeing on deepening both trade and investment relations and tightening practical cooperation.[7] Further discussions included Zambia's inclusion in the China-led Belt and Road Initiative and the duty-free treatment of Zambian products.[7]

In 1998 China Non-Ferrous Metals Corporation (CNMC) bought a controlling 85 percent stake in Zambia's Chambishi copper mine for US$20 million ($27 million in adjusted for inflation in 2011[8]) and invested a further US$130 million in rehabilitating the mine. Less than ten years later by the end of 2005, roughly 160 Chinese companies had invested in Zambia.

Trade between China and Zambia in 2022 is US$5.884 billion.[9] Chinese investments in Zambia range from mining interests in Zambia's copper belt to investments in agriculture, manufacturing, and tourism.

Chinese development finance to Zambia

China's Belt and Road initiative has financed hundreds of infrastructure projects in dozens of countries, including Zambia. Chinese project loans often come in the form of build-operate-transfer (BOT), resulting in Chinese or joint management of specific projects, although there is usually never a complete take-over of institutions. In Zambia, this is the case for the hydropower projects with ZESCO, the digitalisation of the broadcasting service ZNBC, and two airports.[10]

Chinese capital investments and loans have faced claims of lacking substantial assessment and affordability guidelines.  It has been claimed that the repayment capabilities and the credible social benefits of some projects to the Zambian public have failed to be evaluated by Chinese financiers, ultimately contributing to Zambian debt accumulation.[11] As a result of the BOT model and a lack of thorough assessments on Zambia's debt repayment capabilities, Zambia is suffering a sovereign-debt crisis, with China as its largest creditor at $6 billion.[11]

From 2000 to 2011, there are approximately 64 Chinese official development finance projects identified in Zambia through various media reports.[12] These projects range from a loan to fund Kafue Gorge Lower power project,[13] to a loan for expanding the Kariba North bank power station near Siavonga,[14] or US$211 million for debt relief in 2006.[15]

Sino-Zambian infrastructure projects

Zambian domestic policy

The Zambian government has entered into several joint-infrastructure ventures with China in a bid to bolster the country's power supply. This is required to meet President Hakainde Hichilema's goal of spurring economic growth by tripling national copper production to three million tonnes per year.[16] As hydropower accounts for 85% of Zambia's electricity, ZESCO, Zambia's state-owned power utility, has partnered with SinoHydro, a state-run hydropower company in China, to expand Zambia's power grid.[17]

The Kafue Gorge Lower Power Station

The largest venture between ZESCO and SinoHydro is the Kafue Gorge Lower Power Station (KGL), a hydroelectric dam along the Zambezi River near Zambia's southern border with Zimbabwe. The KGL is projected to generate 750 megawatts of power in addition to the 900 megawatts generated by the ageing Kafue Gorge Upper Station (KGU).[18] The KGL is estimated to cost US$2 billion, 85% ($1.7 billion) of which is being funded by China's Export-Import and Industrial and Commercial Banks (EximBank & ICBC). The Zambian government agreed to cover the remaining 15% (US$300 million).[16]

The KGL was considered a flagship project between Zambia and China, with many hoping it would kickstart the former's infrastructure development. The KGL would be the first major hydroelectric project in Zambia since the construction of the KGU in 1973 with the potential to turn Zambia into a net exporter of electricity.[18]

The KGL has faced several delays in its construction. Originally planned to be operational by 2020, the project stalled amidst concerns about Zambia and ZESCO's ability to fulfil their debt obligations to China's EximBank and ICBC.[19] Consequently, SinoHydro refused to hand over full control of the facility to ZESCO as planned in 2021 and Sinosure, the Chinese state-owned insurer of the project, refused to provide further loans for the KGL.[19]

The U.S. and IMF have also criticised the KGL for its uneven distribution of debt. One-third of the company's US$9.7 billion in debt is held in Chinese banks, raising concerns Zambia will have to yield control of ZESCO to China.[20] Amos Chanda, a spokesman for the Zambian President, refuted such claims by U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton in 2018, stating ZESCO is by no means collateral for Zambia's debt to China.[20] Nonetheless, many remain critical of ZESCO's borrowing practices, citing associated debt as a potential risk to Zambian sovereignty.[17]

Controversies

Sino-Zambian social relations

High numbers of Chinese immigrants, with more than 3,000 in the late 1990s to 20,000 in 2017,[21] have been accompanied by increasing interest and investments from China into Zambia since the turn of the century. This has created increasing tensions between the two groups in Zambia, leading to several violent incidents in the past couple of decades.

The People's Republic of China have been criticised heavily by much of the Zambian population for their involvement. They see this continued engagement has been mostly negative for Zambia, and has caused aid dependency, fuelled corruption, and caused economic disparities[22]

The 2006 presidential election showed a good representation of the anti-Chinese sentiment in Zambia, with political figure Sata (who then became president later in 2011) gaining a lot of popularity using his anti-PRC rhetoric as his main approach.[22] This led to the politicisation of Chinese immigrants and the Chinese population became a target for locals who were not satisfied with their growing presence.

Zambian debt crisis

Zambia's external public debt has risen dramatically in recent years, particularly since 2012, and is now above 100% of GDP. Currently, China owns $5.5 billion of Zambia's $17.3 billion debt, while the rest is owed to other rich countries and Western-dominated international institutions, including the development banks and the commercial Eurobond market. Zambia has borrowed from China to build infrastructure (roads, energy, railways, telecommunications) and two state-of-the-art international airports post-2000.[23]

Due to the centralization of economic decision-making in the presidency, there is an absence of publicly available information on the loans from Beijing as well as the absence of adequate management systems. This has raised concerns that Zambian officials may inflate project costs and receive bribes.[24]

Between 2002 and 2008, the value of Zambia's mineral exports grew 500%. However, this did not increase Zambia's tax revenue due to international tax laws permitting offshore tax breaks for Western and Indian commodity giants under IMF recommendation. Therefore, despite the rising prices of copper, the Zambian government has ceased to tax its mining companies due to privatization and trade liberalization policies of state-owned companies attached to the IMF debt relief package in the late 1990s.[11]

Collum and Combishi Mines

In February 2010 a Chinese supervisor, Zhong Tinghui, was killed at the privately owned Collum Coal Mine. In October that year, two Chinese managers opened fire on African mine workers during a riot at the mine and injured 11. In early August 2012 Chinese mine manager, Wu Shengzai, was killed following a pay dispute.[25]

Fifty-one employees at a Chinese-owned explosives plant were killed in an explosion in April 2005. The following year a riot broke out at the Chambishi mine. The next day a Zambian worker was shot and wounded leading to the storming of the Chinese residential compound and another five workers were shot and wounded by a panicked Chinese manager. The explosion at the explosives plant and the events at Chambishi mine became one of biggest issues in the 2006 Zambian presidential elections. With opposition candidate Michael Sata taking an anti-PRC stance, stating that were he to win the election, he would renounce Zambia's recognition of the PRC and recognize the Republic of China in Taiwan.[4]: 5–6  Sata lost the election to then-incumbent president Levy Mwanawasa.

In February 2007 the Chinese government sought to mitigate anti-PRC feeling in Chambishi by promising to invest US$800 million into the creation of a China-Zambian economic zone and help the country to industrialize.[4]: 5 

Human rights

In June 2020, Zambia was one of 53 countries that backed the Hong Kong national security law at the United Nations.[26]

Bibliography

  • Cardenal, Juan Pablo; Araújo, Heriberto (2011). La silenciosa conquista china (in Spanish). Barcelona: Crítica. pp. 194–201. ISBN 9788498922578.

References

  1. ↑ Shinn, David H.; Eisenman, Joshua (2023). China's Relations with Africa: a New Era of Strategic Engagement. New York: Columbia University Press. ISBN 978-0-231-21001-0.
  2. ↑ Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the People’s Republic of China (2000). "China's assistance in the construction of the Tanzania-Zambia Railway".
  3. ↑ Mwanawina, I (2008). jspui/bitstream/123456789/32072/1/Zambia.pdf?1 "China-Africa economic relations: the case of Zambia" (PDF). {{cite journal}}: Check |url= value (help); Cite journal requires |journal= (help)
  4. 1 2 3 Brautigam, Deborah (2009). The Dragon's Gift:The Real Story of China in Africa. New York: Oxford University Press. pp. 397. ISBN 978-0-19-955022-7.
  5. 1 2 Girard, B (2019). "Zambia Debates Chinese 'Economic Slavery". Retrieved 30 October 2022.
  6. 1 2 3 4 5 The Observatory of Economic Complexity (2022). "China and Zambia".
  7. 1 2 Ministry of Commerce, Trade & Industry. "The Chine-Zambia Investment Forum Officially Opens". Retrieved 8 November 2022.
  8. ↑ Measuring Worth, Relative Value of a U.S. Dollar Amount - unskilled wage, retrieved on the 26/01/2011
  9. ↑ zambiamonitor. "China-Zambia trade grows 36.9 percent, hits $5.884 billion in 2022". Retrieved 29 March 2023.
  10. ↑ "Zambia's looming debt crisis – is China to blame?". CMI - Chr. Michelsen Institute. Retrieved 2022-11-11.
  11. 1 2 3 Gbadamosi, Nosmot. "Is China Responsible for Zambia's Debt Crisis?". Foreign Policy. Retrieved 2022-11-11.
  12. ↑ Austin Strange, Bradley C. Parks, Michael J. Tierney, Andreas Fuchs, Axel Dreher, and Vijaya Ramachandran. 2013. China's Development Finance to Africa: A Media-Based Approach to Data Collection. CGD Working Paper 323. Washington DC: Center for Global Development.
  13. ↑ Strange, Parks, Tierney, Fuchs, Dreher, and Ramachandran, China's Development Finance to Africa: A Media-Based Approach to Data Collection.http://aiddatachina.org/projects/2244
  14. ↑ Strange, Parks, Tierney, Fuchs, Dreher, and Ramachandran, China's Development Finance to Africa: A Media-Based Approach to Data Collection.http://aiddatachina.org/projects/354
  15. ↑ Strange, Parks, Tierney, Fuchs, Dreher, and Ramachandran, China's Development Finance to Africa: A Media-Based Approach to Data Collection.http://aiddatachina.org/projects/2272
  16. 1 2 Vandome, Christopher (May 24, 2022). "Reforming Zambia's Mines Needs More Change and Support". Chatham House.
  17. 1 2 Mafa, Charles; Mathiason, Nick (June 26, 2022). "Zambia's Sovereign Debt Crisis: How Foreign Creditors Have All the Power over Country's Economic Recovery". Finance Uncovered.
  18. 1 2 Sinyangwe, Chiwayu (April 28, 2022). "African Debt: China to 'Co-Chair' Debt Restructuring Talks with Zambia". The Africa Report.
  19. 1 2 "Zambia : Africa Confidential Reports That Construction of Kafue Gorge Lower Hydropower Station in Limbo as China Halts Funding". Lusaka Times. January 21, 2020.
  20. 1 2 "Zambia Denies White House Claim China Taking over Power Utility". Reuters. December 15, 2018.
  21. ↑ Postel, Hannah (August 2017). "Moving beyond "China in Africa": Insights from Zambian Immigration Data". Journal of Current Chinese Affairs. 46 (2): 155–174. doi:10.1177/186810261704600207. ISSN 1868-1026. PMC 5687839. PMID 29151983. S2CID 3071762.
  22. 1 2 Matambo, Emmanuel (January 1, 2020). "Policy Recommendations for Addressing Subnational Tension in Relations between Zambian Citizens and Chinese Migrants" (PDF). Wilson Centre. Retrieved November 11, 2022.
  23. ↑ World Bank/African Development Bank (2018). "Infrastructure Financing Trends in Africa – 2017" (PDF). The Infrastructure Consortium for Africa.
  24. ↑ Bräutigam, Deborah (2019). "Crony capitalism. Misdiagnosing the Chinese infrastructure push".
  25. ↑ Zhang Boling and He Xin (August 20, 2012). "The Killing of a Miner in Zambia". Caixin. Retrieved August 22, 2012.
  26. ↑ Lawler, Dave (2 July 2020). "The 53 countries supporting China's crackdown on Hong Kong". Axios. Retrieved 3 July 2020.
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