Bolton North East
Borough constituency
for the House of Commons
Outline map
Boundary of Bolton North East in Greater Manchester
Outline map
Location of Greater Manchester within England
CountyGreater Manchester
Population95,288 (2011 census)[1]
Electorate66,600 (December 2010)[2]
Major settlementsBromley Cross
Current constituency
Created1983
Member of ParliamentMark Logan (Conservative)
SeatsOne
Created fromBolton West
Bolton East
Darwen[3]

Bolton North East is a constituency[n 1] represented in the House of Commons of the UK Parliament since 2019 by Mark Logan, a Conservative.[n 2]

Constituency profile

The seat covers the north part of Bolton town and extends into the West Pennine Moors.

Bolton North East has more often than not to date been a marginal seat[n 3] between Labour and Conservative candidates. In 1992, Labour's David Crausby came tantalisingly close to gaining the seat, but did not, as his party were expecting to. It would not be until 1997 that Labour gained the seat, with a huge 12,000 majority, holding it for the next 22 years. Altogether, the national statistics collected reflect a socially diverse seat in terms of income; this has been a highly marginal seat when national polls are close, with lower than average social housing, and less deprivation than the average for the metropolitan county.[4]

Boundaries

1983–1997: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, and Tonge.

1997–2010: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Central, Halliwell, and Tonge.

2010–present: The Metropolitan Borough of Bolton wards of Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Breightmet, Bromley Cross, Crompton, Halliwell, and Tonge with the Haulgh.

Bolton North East was created for the 1983 general election from parts of the constituencies of Bolton West and the former Bolton East. It covers Bolton's town centre, and the districts in close proximity (Breightmet, Crompton, Halliwell, Tonge with the Haulgh) are Labour-voting areas, whereas the outer suburbs (Astley Bridge, Bradshaw, Bromley Cross) are much more Conservative inclined. Labour comfortably held the seat in 2010, with very little swing from the previous election.

Proposed

Further to the 2023 Periodic Review of Westminster constituencies, enacted by the Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023, the composition of the constituency from the next general election, due by January 2025, will be expanded to bring the electorate within the permitted range. This will be achieved by adding the Bolton Borough ward of Little Lever and Darcy Lever, to be transferred from Bolton South East.[5]

Members of Parliament

ElectionMember[6]Party
1983 Peter Thurnham Conservative
Feb 1996 Independent
Oct 1996 Liberal Democrats
1997 Sir David Crausby Labour
2019 Mark Logan Conservative

Elections

Bolton North East election results 1997–2017

Elections in the 2010s

General election 2019: Bolton North East[7]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Mark Logan 19,759 45.4 +3.2
Labour David Crausby 19,381 44.5 −6.1
Brexit Party Trevor Jones 1,880 4.3 New
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox 1,847 4.2 +1.3
Green Liz Spencer 689 1.6 +0.8
Majority 378 0.9 N/A
Turnout 43,556 64.5 -2.7
Conservative gain from Labour Swing +4.7
General election 2017: Bolton North East[8]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 22,870 50.6 +7.6
Conservative James Daly 19,073 42.2 +9.4
UKIP Harry Lamb 1,567 3.5 −15.3
Liberal Democrats Warren Fox 1,316 2.9 0.0
Green Liz Spencer 357 0.8 −1.8
Majority 3,797 8.4 −1.8
Turnout 45,183 67.2 +3.6
Labour hold Swing −0.8
General election 2015: Bolton North East[9][10]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 18,541 43.0 −3.1
Conservative James Daly 14,164 32.8 −3.7
UKIP Harry Lamb 8,117 18.8 +14.6
Liberal Democrats Stephen Rock 1,236 2.9 −10.1
Green Laura Diggle 1,103 2.6 New
Majority 4,377 10.2 +0.8
Turnout 43,161 63.6 −0.7
Labour hold Swing
General election 2010: Bolton North East[11][12]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 19,870 45.9 −0.4
Conservative Deborah Dunleavy 15,786 36.5 +2.2
Liberal Democrats Paul Ankers 5,624 13.0 −3.1
UKIP Neil Johnson 1,815 4.2 +2.4
You Party Norma Armston 182 0.4 New
Majority 4,084 9.4 −2.5
Turnout 43,277 64.3 +9.8
Labour hold Swing −1.3

Elections in the 2000s

General election 2005: Bolton North East[13]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 16,874 45.7 −8.6
Conservative Paul Brierley 12,771 34.6 +1.9
Liberal Democrats Adam Killeya 6,044 16.4 +6.1
UKIP Kevin Epsom 640 1.7 New
Veritas Alan Ainscow 375 1.0 New
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe 207 0.6 −0.4
Majority 4,103 11.1 -10.5
Turnout 36,911 54.8 −1.2
Labour hold Swing −5.2
General election 2001: Bolton North East[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 21,166 54.3 −1.8
Conservative Michael Winstanley 12,744 32.7 +2.3
Liberal Democrats Tim Perkins 4,004 10.3 +0.4
Green Kenneth McIvor 629 1.6 New
Socialist Labour Lynne Lowe 407 1.0 −0.4
Majority 8,422 21.6 -4.1
Turnout 38,950 56.0 −16.4
Labour hold Swing

Elections in the 1990s

General election 1997: Bolton North East[15][16][17]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Labour David Crausby 27,621 56.13
Conservative Rob Wilson 14,952 30.39
Liberal Democrats Edmund Critchley 4,862 9.88
Referendum David Staniforth 1,096 2.23 New
Socialist Labour William Kelly 676 1.37 New
Majority 12,669 25.74 N/A
Turnout 49,207 72.37
Labour hold Swing 10.2[18]

For the 1997 general election the boundaries of the seat were significantly redrawn. The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997 estimated that had the new boundaries been used for the previous general election rather than being narrowly held by the Conservatives, the seat would have been won by the Labour candidate with a majority of 3,017 over the Conservatives. Thus technically the seat was notionally a Labour hold at this election rather than a gain for the party. The swing above is based on this notional result.[18]

General election 1992: Bolton North East[19][20]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 21,644 44.9 +0.5
Labour David Crausby 21,459 44.5 +1.8
Liberal Democrats Brian Dunning 4,971 10.3 −2.7
Natural Law Peter Tong 181 0.4 New
Majority 185 0.4 −1.3
Turnout 48,255 82.3 +3.6
Conservative hold Swing −0.7

Elections in the 1980s

General election 1987: Bolton North East[21][22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 20,742 44.4 +1.2
Labour Frank White[23] 19,929 42.7 +4.9
SDP John Alcock 6,060 13.0 −5.3
Majority 813 1.7 -3.7
Turnout 46,731 78.7 +1.6
Conservative hold Swing
General election 1983: Bolton North East[24][25]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Peter Thurnham 19,632 43.2
Labour Ann Taylor 17,189 37.8
SDP John Alcock 8,311 18.3
BNP David P. Ball 186 0.4
Independent Thomas Keen 104 0.2
Majority 2,443 5.4
Turnout 45,318 77.1
Conservative win (new seat)

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ A borough constituency (for the purposes of election expenses and type of returning officer)
  2. ↑ As with all constituencies, the constituency elects one Member of Parliament (MP) by the first past the post system of election at least every five years.
  3. ↑ As it has more often than not given marginal majorities of less than 10%

References

  1. ↑ "Bolton North East: Usual Resident Population, 2011". Neighbourhood Statistics. Office for National Statistics. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
  2. ↑ "Electorate Figures – Boundary Commission for England". 2011 Electorate Figures. Boundary Commission for England. 4 March 2011. Archived from the original on 6 November 2010. Retrieved 13 March 2011.
  3. ↑ "'Bolton North East', June 1983 up to May 1997". ElectionWeb Project. Cognitive Computing Limited. Archived from the original on 11 March 2016. Retrieved 10 March 2016.
  4. ↑ "Local statistics - Office for National Statistics". neighbourhood.statistics.gov.uk. Archived from the original on 11 February 2003. Retrieved 24 December 2012.
  5. ↑ "The Parliamentary Constituencies Order 2023". Schedule 1 Part 5 North West region.
  6. ↑ Leigh Rayment's Historical List of MPs – Constituencies beginning with "B" (part 4)
  7. ↑ Sansome, Jessica; Otter, Saffron (14 November 2019). "All the Greater Manchester General Election 2019 candidates". men. Retrieved 15 November 2019.
  8. ↑ "Bolton North East parliamentary constituency". BBC News.
  9. ↑ "Election Data 2015". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 17 October 2015. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  10. ↑ "Bolton North East". BBC News. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
  11. ↑ "Election Data 2010". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 26 July 2013. Retrieved 17 October 2015.
  12. ↑ "Election 2010 - Constituency - Bolton North East". BBC News -.
  13. ↑ "Election Data 2005". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  14. ↑ "Election Data 2001". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  15. ↑ "Election Data 1997". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  16. ↑ General Election Results 1997 and 2001: Bolton North East Archived 3 March 2016 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
  17. ↑ General Election 1997: Bolton North East. BBC. Retrieved 17 May 2010.
  18. 1 2 The Times Guide to the House of Commons 1997. London: Times Books. 1997. p. 79. ISBN 0-7230-0956-2.
  19. ↑ "Election Data 1992". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  20. ↑ "UK General Election results April 1992". Richard Kimber's Political Science Resources. Politics Resources. 9 April 1992. Archived from the original on 11 August 2011. Retrieved 6 December 2010.
  21. ↑ "Election Data 1987". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  22. ↑ General Election 11 June 1987: Bolton North East Archived 11 August 2011 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
  23. ↑ Frank Richard White. Links in a Chain. Retrieved 14 May 2010.
  24. ↑ "Election Data 1983". Electoral Calculus. Archived from the original on 15 October 2011. Retrieved 18 October 2015.
  25. ↑ General Election 9 June 1983: Bolton North East Archived 28 June 2017 at the Wayback Machine. Political Science Resources. Retrieved 14 May 2010.

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