2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary
February 24, 2024
50 Republican National Convention delegates
 
Candidate Ron DeSantis Nikki Haley Donald Trump
Home state Florida South Carolina Florida

The 2024 South Carolina Republican presidential primary will be held on February 24, 2024,[1] as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. 50 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention will be allocated on a selection basis.[2]

Held following the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, the South Carolina primary will be the third in the cycle, and will be held on the same day as the Nevada caucuses.[3] South Carolina holds the "first in the South" presidential primary for both major parties.[4]

Nikki Haley, who served as governor of South Carolina from 2011 to 2017, announced her presidential candidacy in February 2023. Tim Scott, who has represented South Carolina in the U.S. Senate since 2013, entered the race with a a campaign announcement in May 2023.[5] He has since withdrawn from the race, with the announcement of his campaign suspension being made on November 12, 2023, during a Fox News interview with Trey Gowdy.[6]

Background

The Republican electorate in South Carolina is noted for having a high proportion of evangelical voters.[7] Socially conservative candidates have performed well in the South Carolina primary in past contests. In the 2012 Republican primary, Newt Gingrich beat eventual nominee Mitt Romney in the state with support from evangelical voters.[8]

In the 2016 South Carolina Republican primary, Donald Trump won with 32.51% of the vote, with the nearest opponent Marco Rubio taking 22.48%. Trump reportedly won 34% of the evangelical vote in the primary, with Ted Cruz taking 26%, and Rubio taking 21%.[9]

Procedure

29 at-large delegates are awarded to the candidate with the highest statewide vote total. Each of the state's seven congressional districts are awarded three delegates. The candidate with the highest vote total in each congressional district are awarded that district's delegates.

Candidates

The following 10 candidates had filed by the end of the filing period on October 31, 2023, and will be on the ballot, unless they withdraw by January 2, 2024:[10]

Endorsements

Ron DeSantis
Former federal executive official
State senators
State representatives
Nikki Haley
U.S. Representatives
State senators
State representatives
Mayor
Mayor-elect
Former party official
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Former U.S. Representative
Former governor
State senators
State representatives
Mayor
Donald Trump
Former federal executive officials
U.S. Senator
U.S. Representatives
Governor
State executive officials
State senator
State representatives
Notable individuals
Declined to endorse
U.S. Representative

Maps

Endorsements by incumbent Republicans in the South Carolina House of Representatives.
  Endorsed Ron DeSantis (11)
  Endorsed Tim Scott (11)
  Endorsed Donald Trump (9)
  Endorsed Nikki Haley (3)
  No endorsement (54)

Polling

Aggregate polls
Source of poll
aggregation		 Dates
administered		 Dates
updated		 Chris
Christie		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Donald
Trump		 Other/
Undecided[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
270toWin November 15 – December 10, 2023 December 10, 2023 3.5% 13.0% 20.0% 0.5% 4.5% 50.5% 8.0% Trump +30.5
FiveThirtyEight through January 3, 2024 January 3, 2024 – 12.5% 24.6% 0.5% 3.3% 52.3% 6.8% Trump +27.7
RealClearPolling October 18, 2023 – January 3, 2024 January 3, 2024 3.5% 11.0% 21.8% 0.3% 3.3% 52.0% 8.1% Trump +30.2
Average 3.5% 12.2% 22.1% 0.4% 3.7% 51.6% 6.5% Trump +29.5
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]		 Margin
of error		 Doug
Burgum		 Chris
Christie		 Ron
DeSantis		 Nikki
Haley		 Asa
Hutchinson		 Mike
Pence		 Vivek
Ramaswamy		 Tim
Scott		 Donald
Trump		 Other Undecided
Emerson College Jan 2–3, 2024 584 (LV) ± 4.0% – 4.8% 6.6% 25.1% 0.2% – 3.1% – 54.4% – 1.9%
Trafalgar Group Dec 6–8, 2023 1,087 (LV) ± 2.9% – 5.8% 14.4% 22.8% 0.3% – 6.1% – 48.7% – 1.9%
Morning Consult Nov 1–30, 2023 856 (LV) – 0% 2% 13% 19% – – 3% 7% 57% – –
Winthrop University Center for Public Opinion & Policy Research Nov 4–12, 2023 780 (RV) ± 3.51% 0.3% 1.6% 12.5% 18.7% 0.4% – 3.4% 10.6% 47.6% 2.1%[lower-alpha 3] 2.7%
Morning Consult Oct 1–31, 2023 927 (LV) – 0% 1% 11% 15% 0% 3% 6% 7% 58% – –
CNN/SSRS Oct 18–25, 2023 738 (LV) ± 4.8% 0% 2% 11% 22% 0%[lower-alpha 4] 2% 1% 6% 53% 0%[lower-alpha 5] 1%
Morning Consult Sep 1–30, 2023 854 (LV) – – 1% 10% 13% 0% 3% 6% 7% 59% 0%[lower-alpha 6] 1%
Fox Business Sep 14–18, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 4% 10% 18% 1% 4% 5% 9% 46% 1%[lower-alpha 7] 3%
Washington Post/Monmouth University Sep 6–11, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.6% 0% 5% 9% 18% 2% 3% 3% 10% 46% 1%[lower-alpha 8] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 1–31, 2023 910 (LV) – – 1% 14% 11% 0% 4% 8% 7% 55% 0%[lower-alpha 6] –
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 17–19, 2023 1,054 (LV) ± 2.9% 0% 2% 14% 8% 0% 2% 6% 14% 48% 0%[lower-alpha 9] 1%
Morning Consult July 1–31, 2023 907 (LV) – 0% 1% 15% 12% 1% 3% 6% 7% 54% 0%[lower-alpha 10] 1%
Fox Business Jul 15–19, 2023 809 (LV) ± 3.5% <0.5% 2% 13% 14% 1% 4% 3% 10% 48% –[lower-alpha 11] 4%
Morning Consult June 1–30, 2023 907 (LV) – 0% 1% 20% 12% 0% 4% 3% 10% 48% 1%[lower-alpha 12] 1%
National Public Affairs Jun 20–21, 2023 809 (LV) – 1% 5% 18% 12% 2% 2% 2% 10% 41% – 6%
Morning Consult May 1–31, 2023 875 (LV) – – – 19% 13% 0% 4% 3% 7% 52% 1%[lower-alpha 13] 1%
National Research[upper-alpha 1] May 24–25, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.38% – – 18% 10% 1% 1% 1% 12% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 14] 13%
National Public Affairs May 15–17, 2023 590 (LV) ± 4.0% – – 23% 15% 3% 2% 2% 10% 38% – 8%
Morning Consult Apr 1–30, 2023 810 (LV) – – – 17% 17% 0% 5% 1% 4% 52% 3%[lower-alpha 15] 1%
National Public Affairs Apr 11–14, 2023 588 (LV) ± 4.2% – – 21% 19% 1% 2% 1% 7% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 16] 6%
Winthrop University Mar 25 – April 1, 2023 485 (RV) ± 4.6% – – 20% 18% 0% 5% – 7% 41% 5%[lower-alpha 17] 4%
Morning Consult Mar 1–31, 2023 806 (LV) – – – 22% 15% – 5% 0% 4% 49% 3%[lower-alpha 18] 2%
Morning Consult Feb 1–28, 2023 689 (LV) – – – 24% 18% – 5% – 7% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 19] –
Neighbourhood Research and Media[upper-alpha 2] Feb 7–14, 2023 300 (LV) ± 5.9% – – 22% 16% – 2% – 2% 35% – 23%
Morning Consult Jan 1–31, 2023 974 (LV) – – – 31% 14% – 2% – 5% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 20] 1%
Trafalgar Group Jan 24–26, 2023 1,078 (LV) ± 2.9% – – – 33% – 6% – – 52% 9%[lower-alpha 21] –
– – – 21% – 3% – 23% 48% 5%[lower-alpha 22] –
– – 29% 22% – 4% – – 43% 2%[lower-alpha 23] –
– – 28% 12% – 2% – 14% 43% 1%[lower-alpha 24] –
Moore Information Jan 18–24, 2023 450 (LV) ± 5.0% – – 31% 12% – 4% – 5% 41% – 7%
– – – 29% – – – – 62% – 9%
– – 42% – – – – – 49% – 15%
Spry Strategies Jan 17–19, 2023 386 (LV) – – – 52% – – – – – 33% – 15%
Morning Consult Dec 1–31, 2022 530 (LV) – – – 28% 13% – 4% – 5% 44% 6%[lower-alpha 25] –
Winthrop University Oct 22 – November 5, 2022 1,298 (A) ± 2.8% – – – 37% – – – – 45% – 19%
Echelon Insights Aug 31 – September 7, 2022 294 (LV) ± 5.1% – – 33% – – – – – 58% – 9%
Trafalgar Group Mar 25–29, 2021 1,014 (LV) ± 3.0% – – – – – – – – 64% 11%[lower-alpha 26] 25%[lower-alpha 27]

Results

South Carolina Republican primary, February 24, 2024
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump
Ron DeSantis
Nikki Haley
Vivek Ramaswamy
Chris Christie (withdrawn)
Tim Scott (withdrawn)
Doug Burgum (withdrawn)
John Anthony Castro
Ryan Binkley
David Stuckenberg
Unprojected delegates: 0 0 0
Total: 100.00% 50 0 50
Source: "10 Republicans will be on SC's presidential primary — but not Asa Hutchinson". The Post and Courier. Retrieved December 6, 2023.

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ↑ Someone Else with 1.5%; Refused with 0.6%
  4. ↑ No voters
  5. ↑ Perry Johnson & Someone Else with 0%; Larry Elder with no voters
  6. 1 2 Will Hurd with 0%
  7. ↑ Will Hurd with 1%; Larry Elder & Perry Johnson with less than 0.5%
  8. ↑ "Someone else" with 1%
  9. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Pery Johnson, Francis Suarez and Ryan Binkley with 0%
  10. ↑ Francis Suarez with 0%
  11. ↑ Larry Elder, Will Hurd, Francis Suarez, "Other" and "None of the above" with <0.5%
  12. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Will Hurd, and Kristi Noem with 0%
  13. ↑ Liz Cheney with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  14. ↑ Chris Sununu with 1%
  15. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 0%
  16. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  17. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%, Chris Sununu with 1% Glenn Youngkin with 0%; "Someone else" with 2%
  18. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Mike Pompeo with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  19. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem and Mike Pompeo with 1%; Ted Cruz with 1%
  20. ↑ Liz Cheney and Ted Cruz with 1%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, and Glenn Youngkin with 0%
  21. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 9%
  22. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 5%
  23. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 2%
  24. ↑ Mike Pompeo with 1%
  25. ↑ Liz Cheney with 2%; Greg Abbott, Ted Cruz, Kristi Noem, and Mike Pompeo with 1%
  26. ↑ "Would vote for anyone other than Trump" with 9%; would not vote with 2%
  27. ↑ "Would consider voting for Trump" with 20%; Undecided with 6%
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored by American Greatness, which supports Trump
  2. ↑ Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC

References

  1. ↑ McDuffie, Will; Murray, Isabella (June 17, 2023). "South Carolina GOP votes to move back their 2024 primary". abcnews.com. Retrieved June 18, 2023.
  2. ↑ "South Carolina Republican Presidential Nominating Process". thegreenpapers.com. March 5, 2023. Retrieved February 6, 2023.
  3. ↑ Birenbaum, Gabby (February 25, 2023). "One year out, Republicans preview how Nevadans will land on presidential nomination". The Nevada Independent. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  4. ↑ "5 Things to Watch in South Carolina's Republican Primary". ABC News. February 20, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  5. ↑ Kraushaar, Josh (February 19, 2023). "South Carolina's Nikki Haley and Tim Scott on collision course in 2024 presidential race". Axios. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  6. ↑ Kinnard, Meg (November 14, 2023). "South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott abruptly ends 2024 presidential bid, shocking even his campaign staff". AP News. Retrieved November 18, 2023.
  7. ↑ "South Carolina's Key Role in the Presidential Race". U.S. News & World Report. February 17, 2016. Retrieved February 21, 2016.
  8. ↑ Rutenberg, Jim (January 22, 2012). "Gingrich Wins South Carolina Primary, Upending G.O.P. Race". The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved March 3, 2023.
  9. ↑ Lipka, Michael (February 25, 2016). "A closer look at religion in the Super Tuesday states". Pew Research Center. Retrieved June 18, 2022.
  10. ↑ Byrd, Caitlin (October 31, 2023). "10 Republicans will be on SC's presidential primary — but not Asa Hutchinson". The Post and Courier. Retrieved November 4, 2023.
  11. ↑ Vakil, Caroline (November 12, 2023). "Tim Scott suspends 2024 GOP primary bid". The Hill. Retrieved November 13, 2023.
  12. ↑ Manchester, Julia (December 4, 2023). "Burgum suspends 2024 GOP presidential campaign". The Hill. Retrieved December 4, 2023.
  13. ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa; McGraw, Meridith (January 10, 2024). "Christie ends his anti-Trump crusade". Politico. Retrieved January 10, 2024.
  14. ↑ Isenstadt, Alex (February 25, 2023). "Longtime Trump backers flock to DeSantis event". Politico. Retrieved May 25, 2023.
  15. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Nerozzi, Timothy (June 22, 2023). "DeSantis Endorsed by 15 South Carolina Lawmakers". Fox News. Retrieved June 22, 2023.
  16. ↑ "DeSantis Is the 'Only' Candidate That Combatted the Weaponization of Government: Sen. Josh Kimbrell". Fox News. June 10, 2023. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  17. ↑ Christian, Matthew (June 8, 2023). "North Augusta's Rep. Bill Hixon Endorses Ron DeSantis". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 8, 2023.
  18. ↑ Schorsch, Peter (November 17, 2023). "Hand me downs: Ron DeSantis lands 10 former Tim Scott endorsers". Florida Politics.
  19. ↑ Laird, Skyler; Kukulich, Tony (June 2, 2023). "DeSantis Positions Himself to Wage War on 'Wokeness' During First SC Stop as Candidate". The Post and Courier. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  20. 1 2 Reagan, Nick (June 2, 2023). "Florida Gov. DeSantis Makes Presidential Campaign Stop in Bluffton". WCSC-TV. Retrieved June 14, 2023.
  21. ↑ Laco, Kelly (February 15, 2023). "Nikki Haley endorsed by top Trump ally Ralph Norman who says GOP needs 'new leadership'". Fox News. Retrieved February 15, 2023.
  22. 1 2 3 4 5 Brams, Sophie (December 14, 2023). "Nikki Haley secures endorsements from several former Tim Scott backers in South Carolina". WCBD News 2. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  23. 1 2 3 4 Bustos, Joseph (April 6, 2023). "SC's Haley returns to Lexington County for presidential campaign rally". The State. Retrieved April 10, 2023.
  24. ↑ Davis, Tom (July 6, 2023). "Commentary: Nikki Haley is the outsider America needs". The Post and Courier. Retrieved July 6, 2023.
  25. ↑ Christian, Matthew (December 19, 2023). "'She's the best choice': Aiken County Rep. Bart Blackwell endorses Nikki Haley". Aiken Standard. Retrieved December 20, 2023.
  26. ↑ Duncan, Chase (March 13, 2023). "2024 presidential candidate Nikki Haley visits Myrtle Beach, talks solutions". MyHorryNews. Retrieved March 29, 2023.
  27. ↑ Morris, Kyle (February 11, 2023). "Nikki Haley not to be 'underestimated' in bid for president, former South Carolina GOP officials say". Fox News. Retrieved February 23, 2023.
  28. 1 2 3 4 Kinnard, Meg (June 12, 2023). "Scott rolls out dozens of South Carolina lawmakers and local leaders endorsing his presidential bid". AP News. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  29. ↑ Allison, Natalie (May 22, 2023). "Tim Scott's keys to 2024: Iowa, evangelicals and piles of cash". Politico. Retrieved May 22, 2023.
  30. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 FOX Carolina News Staff (June 12, 2023). "Sen. Tim Scott in Spartanburg to announce campaign endorsements". FOX Carolina. Retrieved June 12, 2023.
  31. 1 2 3 Schecter, Maayan (November 16, 2022). "Some SC Republicans already stand behind Trump 2024. Others? Not so fast". The State. Retrieved March 15, 2023.
  32. 1 2 3 4 Vaughan, Crysty (January 28, 2023). "Donald Trump names SC Leadership team during visit to State House". ABC 25 Columbia. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  33. ↑ Byrd, Caitlin (November 16, 2022). "Donald Trump endorsed by SC Gov. Henry McMaster. Nikki Haley, Tim Scott still watching 2024". The Post and Courier. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  34. 1 2 Orr, Gabby; Sullivan, Kate; Holmes, Kristen (January 27, 2023). "Trump will hit the trail looking to reinvigorate his campaign". CNN. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  35. ↑ Rubin, Olivia; Ibssa, Lalee (January 28, 2023). "Trump says he's 'more committed' than ever as he holds first 2024 campaign events". ABC News. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  36. ↑ "Which 2024 Republican Presidential Candidate Has The Most Endorsements?". FiveThirtyEight. April 24, 2023. Retrieved April 25, 2023.
  37. 1 2 3 4 5 6 Jurado, Alex; Bustos, Joseph (November 25, 2023). "Trump arrives to fanfare at Williams-Brice Stadium for USC-Clemson football game". The State. Retrieved November 25, 2023.
  38. ↑ Schechter, Maayan (January 28, 2023). "Live updates: Handful of state lawmakers present for Trump campaign event at SC State House". The State. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  39. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Ashworth, Nate (July 1, 2023). "Full Video: Trump Rally Independence Day Celebration in Pickens, South Carolina (July 1)". Election Central. Retrieved August 11, 2023.
  40. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 Caputo, Marc (September 25, 2023). "Trump Unveils More Top South Carolina Backers in 'Crazy' Show of Support (Exclusive)". The Messenger. Retrieved September 25, 2023.
  41. ↑ Sockol, Matthew (August 6, 2023). "South Carolina Speaker of the House endorses Trump". WLOS.
  42. ↑ Wingfield, Mark (December 8, 2022). "While many evangelical leaders are wary of Trump's 2024 run, this Oklahoma pastor has launched a fan club". Baptist News Global. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  43. ↑ Dickinson, Tim; McCann Ramirez, Nikki (November 28, 2022). "Trump Isn't MAGA Enough Anymore, Say Kanye-Curious Extremists". Rolling Stone. Retrieved March 16, 2023.
  44. ↑ Cortellessa, Eric (April 26, 2023). "Just Like in Florida, Trump Easily Winning South Carolina Endorsement Race". Time.
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