2022 Ontario general election
June 2, 2022 (2022-06-02)
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario
63 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Turnout43.53% (Decrease13.14pp)[1]
  First party Second party
 
Leader Doug Ford Andrea Horwath
Party Progressive Conservative New Democratic
Leader since March 10, 2018 March 7, 2009
Leader's seat Etobicoke North Hamilton Centre
Last election 76 seats, 40.50% 40 seats, 33.59%
Seats before 67 38
Seats won 83 31
Seat change Increase16 Decrease7
Popular vote 1,912,057 1,111,923
Percentage 40.82% 23.74%
Swing Increase0.32pp Decrease9.85pp
  Third party Fourth party
 
Leader Steven Del Duca Mike Schreiner
Party Liberal Green
Leader since March 7, 2020 May 16, 2009
Leader's seat Ran in Vaughan—Woodbridge (lost) Guelph
Last election 7 seats, 19.59% 1 seats, 4.60%
Seats before 7 1
Seats won 8 1
Seat change Increase1 Steady
Popular vote 1,116,961 279,152
Percentage 23.85% 5.96%
Swing Increase4.28pp Increase1.36pp
Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding. Riding names are listed at the bottom.
Premier before election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

 Premier after election

Doug Ford
Progressive Conservative

The 2022 Ontario general election was held on June 2, 2022, to elect Members of the Provincial Parliament to serve in the 43rd Parliament of Ontario.

The governing Progressive Conservatives, led by Premier Doug Ford, were re-elected to a second majority government, winning 7 more seats than they had won in 2018. The NDP retained their status as the Official Opposition, despite losing seats and finishing third in the popular vote, while the Ontario Liberals finished 2nd in the popular vote, but only won 8 seats, a gain of one seat from 2018 but falling short of official party status. The Green Party retained the single seat they won in 2018 while the New Blue and Ontario Party failed to win a seat, both losing their lone sitting MPPs.

The election set a record for the lowest voter turnout in an Ontario provincial election, as only 43.53% of the people who were eligible voted. This broke the previous record for low turnout of 48.2% in the 2011 election.[2]

Background

As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on or before the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.[3]

In the June 2018 Ontario general election, the Progressive Conservative Party (PC Party) led by Doug Ford won a strong majority government. The New Democratic Party (NDP) led by Andrea Horwath became the Official Opposition; this was the first time since 1990 they surpassed their third-place status. The governing Liberal Party led by Premier Kathleen Wynne was decimated, winning only 7 out of the 124 seats in the legislature and being reduced to third-place status. The Green Party won its first seat in history, with leader Mike Schreiner becoming its first Member of Provincial Parliament (MPP).

Wynne resigned as leader immediately after and MPP John Fraser succeeded her as interim leader; he held that post until March 2020, when Wynne's former minister of transportation, Steven Del Duca, became permanent leader of the Liberal Party. Meanwhile, Horwath and Schreiner both remained leader of their parties and had no intention of resigning.

By December 2019, polling showed that the Ford government was as unpopular as the previous Wynne government as a result of not cutting spending enough as promised.[4] However, the Progressive Conservatives experienced a surge of support during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic; a Mainstreet Research poll in June 2020 showed the PCs at 42 percent, the Liberals at 28 percent, and the NDP at 23 percent.[5]

On October 5, 2020, Ontario MPPs voted unanimously in favour of a motion stating that the government will not call an election prior to the fixed election date in 2022.[6][7] Before this vote, the Legislative Assembly of Ontario could have been dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario on a motion of no confidence or if the Premier triggered a snap election (the former was extremely unlikely to work against the incumbent government with a majority).

In April 2021, the province experienced a major third wave of COVID-19 infections, and, after quickly reversing government health policies, such as opening and then abruptly closing restaurants, the government was criticized over their handling of COVID-19. This led to the PCs' support dipping, but remaining ahead of the Liberals and NDP.[8]

In late April 2022 – days before the election call – the Ford government released its budget, promising to implement it if the government was reelected. The budget recorded a deficit of $19.9 billion and promised substantial spending on infrastructure (including for their proposed Highway 413) and tax breaks for some workers and seniors.[9]

On May 3, 2022, Premier Doug Ford met with the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario to advise dissolution of the legislature and for writs of election be drawn up.[10]

Timeline

42nd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2018-2022)
Party 2018 Gain/(loss) due to 2022
Resignation
from caucus		 Resignation
as MPP		 Expulsion Switching
allegiance		 Byelection hold
Progressive Conservative 76(2)(2)(2)(3)67
New Democratic 40(1)(1)38
Liberal 7(3)127
Green 11
New Blue N/A11
Ontario Party 011
Independent 0336
Vacant 033
Total124–(2)––2124
Changes in seats held (2018–2022)
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Simcoe—Grey November 2, 2018 Jim Wilson[11] █ PC Resignation[a 1] █ Independent
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell November 29, 2018 Amanda Simard[12] █ PC Resignation[a 2] █ Independent
January 16, 2020 █ Independent Joined caucus[13] █ Liberal
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston February 20, 2019 Randy Hillier[14][15] █ PC Suspended[a 3] █ Independent
Ottawa—Vanier July 31, 2019 Nathalie Des Rosiers[16] █ Liberal Resignation[a 4] February 27, 2020[17] Lucille Collard █ Liberal
Orléans September 20, 2019 Marie-France Lalonde[18] █ Liberal Resignation[a 5] February 27, 2020[17] Stephen Blais █ Liberal
Cambridge July 21, 2020 Belinda Karahalios[19] █ PC Expelled[a 6] █ Independent
January 18, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus[a 7] █ New Blue
York Centre January 15, 2021 Roman Baber[20] █ PC Expelled[a 8] █ Independent
Don Valley East August 17, 2021 Michael Coteau █ Liberal Resignation[a 9] █ Vacant
Chatham-Kent—Leamington August 19, 2021 Rick Nicholls[21] █ PC Expelled[a 10] █ Independent
December 22, 2021 █ Independent Joined caucus █ Ontario Party
Durham October 22, 2021 Lindsey Park[22] █ PC Resignation[a 11] █ Independent
Ajax February 2, 2022 Rod Phillips[23] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Elgin—Middlesex—London February 28, 2022 Jeff Yurek[24] █ PC Resignation █ Vacant
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek March 17, 2022 Paul Miller[25] █ New Democratic Expelled[a 12] █ Independent
Brampton North April 22, 2022 Kevin Yarde[26] █ New Democratic Resignation[a 13] █ Independent
  1. ↑ from cabinet and caucus due to allegations of sexual misconduct
  2. ↑ from caucus after opposing the government's cuts to francophone services
  3. ↑ later removed after alleged autism comment, and alleged lack of commitment to the caucus
  4. ↑ accepted position at Massey College of the University of Toronto
  5. ↑ to run in the 2019 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  6. ↑ from caucus after voting against Bill 195
  7. ↑ co-created (alongside her husband) the New Blue Party, and officially joined soon after
  8. ↑ from caucus for opposing COVID lockdown
  9. ↑ to run in the 2021 Canadian federal election for its equivalent seat
  10. ↑ from caucus due to refusal to get vaccinated against COVID-19
  11. ↑ from caucus following party accusations that she had misrepresented her COVID-19 vaccine status.
  12. ↑ from caucus during vetting process for re-election for having joined an Islamophobic Facebook group
  13. ↑ from caucus after losing nomination contest to be re-elected

2018

2020

2021

2022

  • May 3: Writs of the election were drawn up, dissolving the Legislature and officially starting the campaign.[38]
  • May 10: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities.[39]
  • May 16: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.[40]
  • June 2: Election day.

Campaign period

Candidates not standing for reelection

26 MPPs chose not to campaign in the election:

Electoral district Incumbent at dissolution
Ajax   Rod Phillips
Beaches—East York   Rima Berns-McGown[41]
Brampton North   Kevin Yarde[a 1]
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound   Bill Walker[42]
Burlington   Jane McKenna[43]
Don Valley East   Michael Coteau
Don Valley West   Kathleen Wynne[44]
Durham   Lindsey Park[a 2][45]
Elgin—Middlesex—London   Jeff Yurek
Essex   Taras Natyshak[46]
Haldimand—Norfolk   Toby Barrett[47]
Hastings—Lennox and Addington   Daryl Kramp[48]
Kingston and the Islands   Ian Arthur[49]
Kitchener South—Hespeler   Amy Fee[50]
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston   Randy Hillier[a 2][35]
Newmarket—Aurora   Christine Elliott[51]
Parry Sound—Muskoka   Norm Miller[52]
Perth—Wellington   Randy Pettapiece[53]
Scarborough Centre   Christina Mitas[54]
Simcoe—Grey   Jim Wilson[a 2][55]
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry   Jim McDonell[56]
Thornhill   Gila Martow[57]
Thunder Bay—Superior North   Michael Gravelle[58]
Toronto Centre   Suze Morrison[59]
Windsor—Tecumseh   Percy Hatfield[60]
York Centre   Roman Baber[a 2][61]
  1. ↑ Previously elected under the NDP banner
  2. 1 2 3 4 Previously elected under the PC banner

Party slogans

Party English French (translation)
█ PC "Get It Done."[62][63] "Passer à l'action" ("Taking Action")
█ New Democratic (NDP) "Strong. Ready. Working for you."[64] "Force. Détermination. Pour vous" ("Strength. Determination. For you.")
█ Liberal "The Choice is Yours"[65] "C’est votre choix" ("It's Your Choice.")
█ Green "The Ontario You Want. The Leadership We Need."[66] "L'Ontario que vous voulez. La direction qu'il nous faut." (identical to English slogan)
█ New Blue "Strength. Stability. Liberty. Good government."[67] N/A (unofficial translation: "La force. La stabilité. La liberté. Un bon gouvernement.")
█ Ontario Party "Freedom, Family, & Faith"[68] "Liberté, Famille, et Foi" (identical to English slogan)

Debates

Issues

Summary

The 2022 Ontario Budget, entitled Ontario's Plan to Build, served as the platform of the governing PC Party. The main five themes it emphasized were: growing the clean energy economy with minerals from the Ring of Fire, building infrastructure including Highway 413, the Bradford Bypass and expanding GO service, supporting workers by funding more skilled trades programs, raising the minimum hourly wage to $15 and allowing universities to issue three-year degrees, lowering taxes by eliminating license plate stickers, eliminating tolls and reducing housing development fees and lastly to avoid future COVID-19 lockdowns by hiring more healthcare workers..[69]

The Official Opposition NDP's campaign focused on increased funding for social programs and government services, which would be paid for through higher taxes on businesses and individuals earning over $200,000 per year. Funding would go toward reducing class sizes, raising welfare payments and disability payments, subsidies for black, indigenous and LGBTQ+ entrepreneurs, hiring more healthcare and education staff and increased wages for public servants. The NDP also proposed to expand COVID-19 vaccine mandates, implement a mixed member proportional electoral system, to close down all privately owned long-term care facilities and to stop the construction of new highway projects.

2022 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue PC[70][71] NDP[72][73][74] Liberal[75][76][77] Green[78][79][80][81][82] New Blue[83] Ontario Party[84][85]
Budget
  • Eliminate the deficit in the 2027–2028 fiscal year[86]
  • Lower the deficit to $5 billion by 2025-2026[87]
  • Present a balanced budget in the 2026-2027 fiscal year[88]
  • Lower the deficit steadily from $20 billion in 2022–23 to $6 billion in 2025-26
Business subsidies
  • Provide all mining tax revenue to northern Indigenous communities
  • Raise business taxes by an unspecified amount
  • Subsidize 2SLGBTQIA+, Black and Indigenous entrepreneurs, including the restoration of the Indigenous Culture Fund [89]
  • Fund art projects dedicated to diversity, equity and inclusion
  • Create a small business recovery grant
  • Lift the cap on the Risk Management Program
  • Provide a loan guarantee to young farmers
  • Provide another round of Tourism Recovery Program payments
  • Guarantee loans to small businesses
  • Reimburse businesses for costs up to $200 a day for workers to take up to ten paid sick days
  • Eliminate Torstar's online gambling licence (NorthStar Gaming)
COVID-19
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[90]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[91]
  • Require at least three vaccine doses for vaccine passports[92]
  • Give the Chief Medical Officer of Health the authority to override government decisions
  • Add COVID-19 vaccination to the immunization schedule for schools[90]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[93]
  • Launch a public inquiry into Ontario's response to COVID-19[94]
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
  • Expand early treatment for COVID-19
  • Eliminate all COVID-19 restrictions and mandates
  • Prohibit the use of COVID-19 vaccine passports by businesses
  • Outlaw the ability for the provincial government to impose lockdowns
Education
  • Invest $14 billion to build more schools[94]
  • Expand three-year college degrees[95]
  • Spend $42.5 million to expand medical education[94]
  • Cover tuition and other costs for nursing graduates who commit to work in rural and underserved areas[94]
  • End academic streaming
  • Hire 20,000 more teachers
  • Hire more custodians and school maintenance staff
  • Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24
  • Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26
  • Prioritize Ontario based authors and publishers in schools
  • Eliminate EQAO testing
  • Scrap mandatory online high school courses
  • Convert all OSAP loans to grants
  • Double the Rural and Northern Education Fund
  • Increase funding for special education
  • Increase the number of high school trades and shop classes[96]
  • Forgive student loan interest
  • End academic streaming
  • Spend $10 billion building and repairing schools[97]
  • Hire 10,000 more teachers[97]
  • Hire 5,000 more special education workers
  • Cap class sizes at 20 students for all grades
  • Restore Grade 13 as an option for secondary school students for a minimum of 4 years[98]
  • Eliminate EQAO tests and replace with new assessment strategy
  • Double current OSAP funding[93]
  • Continue the tuition freeze
  • Eliminate interest on provincial student loans
  • Cover tuition costs for medical and nursing students working in a rural or remote communities[93]
  • Provide free tuition for all ECE programs
  • Expand nursing schools by 7% every year[94]
  • Reduce Grade 4 to Grade 8 class sizes to 24[94]
  • Reduce kindergarten class sizes to 26[94]
  • Introduce a school lunch program[94]
  • Create a school voucher program
  • Remove Critical Race Theory from the curriculum
  • Remove gender theory from the curriculum
  • Allow the creation of charter schools
  • Make it illegal for teachers to promote partisan political positions in the classroom
  • Allow parents to opt their children out of certain school lessons
  • Require universities to maintain free speech on campus
  • Require universities to hire ideologically diverse educators
  • Lower tuition fees for degrees with high labour market demand
Elections
  • Replace the electoral system with Mixed Member Proportional
  • Reduce annual political donation limits to $1600
  • Ban protests that incite racist, homophobic, transphobic or xenophobic hate
  • Introduce ranked ballots for the next provincial election followed by an independent review[93]
  • Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
  • Explore potential changes such as lowering the voting age, voting on weekends and expanded advanced voting[93]
  • Create citizens assembly on electoral reform with mandate to provide binding recommendation to ensure that every vote counts
  • Allow municipalities the usage of ranked ballot voting systems for elections
  • Limit total contribution for municipal elections to $1000 for all candidates, combined
  • Reduce donation limits for provincial political parties, candidates, and constituency associations to $1000 per year
  • Restore Auditor General oversight of government advertising
  • Require a five-year gap before MPPs and government advisors can register as lobbyists
  • Eliminate subsidies to political parties
  • Establish a process for voters to recall their MPP if they fail to represent them
Energy and Environment
  • Create a new provincial park[99]
  • Subsidize the manufacturing of electric vehicles [100]
  • Create a cap-and-trade system [101]
  • Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035
  • Create a $10,000 tax credit for the purchase of electric vehicles
  • Ban the conversion of any agricultural land into development
  • Expand the Greenbelt
  • Plant one billion trees by 2030 [102]
  • Ban non-medical single-use plastics by 2024 [103]
  • Upgrade public school buildings to make them carbon neutral
  • Create five new provincial parks[104]
  • Ban new natural gas plants
  • Plant 100 million trees per year until 2030[105]
  • Protect 30% of Ontario's land and expand the Greenbelt
  • Ban the sale of gasoline-powered vehicles by 2035[93]
  • Create a $8,000 tax credit for the purchase or lease of electric vehicles and $1,500 for respective charging equipment[106]
  • Eliminate connection fees for rooftop solar charging panels[93]
  • Restrict some single-use plastics
  • Provide grants and interest-free loans to retrofit homes and buildings[93]
  • Reduce electricity subsidies by $20 billion over 10 years
  • Eliminate gas-powered power plants
  • Oppose the building of new nuclear power plants or uranium mines[107]
  • Protect 30% of Ontario's land and double the size of the Greenbelt [108]
  • Ban the dumping of untreated waste into bodies of water
  • Fund municipal governments to upgrade sewage treatment
Healthcare
  • Build new hospitals in Niagara Falls; Windsor-Essex[109][110]
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds in 2022-2023
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions to low-income seniors
  • Provide publicly funded dental care to low-income seniors
  • Offer incentive payments of up to $5,000 over the next two years to nurses who stay in the job[94]
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Establish provincial standards for home-care services and providers[94]
  • Build 30,000 mental health supportive housing spaces over ten years
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions to all residents
  • Provide publicly funded dental care to all residents
  • Increase hospital funding[94]
  • Add additional funding to clear the surgical backlog[94]
  • Eliminate all user fees in healthcare
  • Collect race-based data on health care
  • Hire 22,000 more nurses
  • Hire 300 more physicians in Northern Ontario
  • Stop mergers of public health units
  • Provide $400 per month to informal caregivers
  • Publicly fund contraception
  • Repeal Bill 124
  • Build 3,000 new hospital beds
  • Hire 100,000 new health care workers[111]
  • Introduce a Portable Benefits Plan for those without or lacking in their employer benefits; provides drug, dental, vision, and mental health coverage[93]
  • Build 15,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Fully fund clinical costs for hospices
  • Build new hospitals in Windsor, South Niagara, Markdale, Moosonee, Moose Factory Island, Innisfil, Whitby and Ottawa[93]
  • Build 60,000 mental health supportive housing spaces
  • Increase mental health funding[94]
  • Provide publicly funded prescriptions[94]
  • Provide publicly funded dental care[94]
  • Create a dedicated crisis response line for mental health
  • Cover mental health therapy through public funding
  • Work on clearing the backlog of procedures
  • Do not fire healthcare workers who refuse to participate in abortion or assisted-suicide
  • End the prohibition on private health facilities and insurance
  • Prohibit sex-change surgeries for minors
  • Require parental consent for medical treatment for children
Housing
  • Use MZOs to approve the construction of more housing supply
  • Implement rent control
  • Subsidize rent for low-income households
  • End exclusionary zoning
  • Restore in-person hearings at the Landlord and Tenant Board[112]
  • Implement rent control
  • Implement a ban on foreign buyers for at least four years[93]
  • Fund the construction of 138,000 public housing units, of which 22,000 will be dedicated to off-reserve indigenous residents
  • Ban the use of MZOs
  • Implement rent control including vacancy control
  • Fund the construction of 100,000 public housing units
  • Restore 260,000 community housing units
  • Provide portable housing benefits to 311,000 people
  • End blind bidding[94]
  • Require home inspections at the seller's expense[94]
Indigenous
  • Create an indigenous curriculum
  • Boost funding for Indigenous language education[113]
  • Support more Indigenous representation on boards
  • Clean up the English-Wabigoon River system[113]
  • Establish a provincial strategy to address the suicide crisis among Indigenous youth[113]
  • Commission a monument that recognizes the victims of the residential school system[113]
  • Establish the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation as a statutory holiday[113]
  • Strengthen fire protection[114]
  • Mandate the inclusion of residential schools into the curriculum[115]
  • Reform child welfare and protection services by ensuring Indigenous communities are served by Indigenous-led providers
  • Wortk with NCTR to identify, collect, and provide copies of all records relevant to the history and legacy of the residential school system in Ontario
  • Make the National Day for Truth and Reconciliation a statutory holiday
  • Restore funding for the Indigenous curriculum program
  • Develop a mandatory curriculum on colonialism and residential schools, treaties, and Indigenous histories and experiences
Law Enforcement
Long-term care
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years [93][116]
  • Create a standardized survey of long-term care residents[94]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[117]
  • Build 50,000 long-term care beds [93][118]
  • Hire 10,000 more PSWs
  • Raise pay for PSWs by at least $5 per hour[94]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[119]
  • Build 30,000 long-term care beds over six years; redevelop an additional 28,000 existing spaces[93][120]
  • Phase out for-profit long-term care homes[94]
Regulation
  • Raise the minimum wage to $20/h over 5 years[122][123]
  • Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
  • Provide ten publicly funded sick days for all workers
  • Increase the number of jobs covered under Employment Standards and the Workplace Safety and Insurance Act[96]
  • Implement price controls on gasoline
  • Require automobile insurance businesses to charge the same premiums in all regions of Ontario
  • Ban the issuing of payday loans
  • Require the hiring of more women and racial minorities
  • Implement UNDRIP
  • Require mandatory anti-oppression and anti-bias training for all public employees and politicians
  • Subject all government programs and regulations to a gender-based analysis
  • Raise the minimum wage to $16/h and implement regional living wages[124][125]
  • Ban licensed sport shooters from owning handguns
  • Provide ten paid sick days for all workers[124][126]
  • Raise the minimum wage each year by $1, starting at $16 in 2022, with a top-up in cities where the cost of living is higher
  • Increase the number of provincially-legislated paid sick days from three to ten, and provide small businesses financial support to fund the program
  • Ban employers from requiring a sick note from a medical practitioner when an employee is ill
  • Prohibit lobbyists from being involved in political parties
  • Make it illegal to conduct fraud in internal political party votes
  • Reduce immigration levels to match housing supply levels
  • Prohibit foreigners from buying houses
  • Repeal Bill 163
Social assistance
  • Increase ODSP payments by 5%
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%
  • Increase OW payments by 20%
  • Conduct a basic income pilot project
  • Increase ODSP payments by 20%[127]
  • Increase OW payments by 10%[115]
  • Increase Old Age Security by $1,000 per year[128]
  • Bring back the basic income pilot[93][129]
  • Increase ODSP payments by 100%[130]
Taxation
  • Remove license plate sticker requirements and their respective fees[131]
  • Reduce gasoline taxes by 5.7 cents per litre for six months starting on July 1, 2022[121]
  • Reduce fuel taxes by 5.3 cents per litre starting on July 1, 2022
  • Increase the Non-Resident Speculation Tax and extend its reach beyond the GTHA[94]
  • Extend qualification for the LIFT tax credit to $50,000[132]
  • Create an Ontario Seniors Care at Home Tax Credit[133]
  • Freeze taxes for low and middle income families[134]
  • Create a tax on housing speculation
  • Introduce an annual vacancy tax on residential property[112]
  • Maintain the Non-Resident Speculation Tax at 20%[112]
  • Raise taxes on upper income workers by an unspecified amount
  • Create a filming tax-credit
  • Extend the Staycation tax credit[96]
  • Remove the provincial sales tax from prepared meals under $20 (increase from $4)[93][135]
  • Increase the corporate tax rate by 1% on corporations with a profit above $1 billion
  • Increase the income tax rate by 2% on income over $500,000
  • Introduce a 5% tax on vacant homes for non-Canadian owners; 2% for Canadian owners[93]
  • Introduce a ‘use it or lose it’ tax on developers sitting on land ready for development
  • Create a $75 tax credit for each winter tire installed
  • Increase the eligibility for the Low-Income Individuals and Families (LIFT) tax credit from $38,000 to $50,000[136]
  • Rebate Northern municipalities 5% of the provincial mining tax
  • Suspend corporate income tax collection for small businesses for 2022 and 2023[137]
  • Add a 1% surtax onto the income taxes of the top 10% earners[94]
  • Introduce a 20% multiple homes speculation tax on third and additional properties
  • Eliminate the PST on gasoline and diesel
Transportation
  • Restore passenger rail service to Northern Ontario
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413 and the Bradford Bypass
  • Require transit projects to make Canadian-made vehicles
  • Remove tolls on Highway 407 for commercial drivers[139]
  • Pursue penalty fees from 407 ETR for failing to meet a minimum standard of traffic in 2020 and 2021[139]
  • Designate Highways 11 and 17 as Class 1 highways
  • Four-lane Highway 69, Highway 11/17, Highway 3; the Morriston bypass
  • Move ahead with the Thunder Bay Expressway Interchange Project
  • Expand Highway 7 between Kitchener and Guelph
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Kitchener-Waterloo
  • Extend the Hurontario LRT to downtown Brampton
  • Fund 50% of municipal transit costs
  • Restore the Northlander service to Northern Ontario within two years[93]
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413
  • Reassess the proposed Bradford Bypass' environmental impact[93]
  • Reduce all transit fares in Ontario to $1 per ride[140]
  • Cut the cost for monthly passes to $40 per month[105]
  • Make public transit publicly funded for veterans
  • Widen Highway 401 at targeted bottlenecks, including from Milton to Mississauga and between Pickering and Bowmanville[93]
  • Build a new Highway 7 between Guelph and Kitchener
  • Expand Highway 3 between Windsor and Leamington
  • Complete the four-laning of Highway 69 and Highway 11/17 between Thunder Bay and Nipigon by 2025[93]
  • Build the Ontario Line Subway, Scarborough Subway Extension, Yonge North Subway Extension and Eglinton Crosstown West Extension[93]
  • Fund two-way all-day GO Transit to Milton
  • Extend GO Transit trains to Bowmanville[93]
  • Cancel the construction of Highway 413
  • Cut transit fares by 50% for at least 3 months[94]
  • Fund 50% of municipal transit operating expenses[94]
  • Expand GO Transit services[94]
Unions
  • Allow contractors to unionize
  • Allow any workplace to unionize when 55% of workers endorse unionization
  • Ban strikebreakers
  • Allow students to unionize
  • Allow contractors to unionize

Endorsements

Endorsements received by each party
Type PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Party
Media
  • Toronto Star[143] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority
Politicians and public figures
Unions and business associations

Opinion polls

Campaign polls

Graph of polling completed during the 2022 Ontario election campaign

Opinion polls during campaign period
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Forum Research June 1, 2022 [p 1] 40.3 23.2 24.5 6.5 — — 5.5 ±3.1% 1,032 IVR 15.8
Research Co. June 1, 2022 [p 2] 39 23 26 6 3 1 1 +3.8% 659 Online 13
EKOS June 1, 2022 [p 3] 37 23.5 24.7 8.7 4.4 — 2 +2.6% 1,430 IVR 12.3
Abacus Data June 1, 2022 [p 4] 40 22 27 4 4 — 3 N/A 1,043 Online 13
Mainstreet Research June 1, 2022 [p 5] 38.9 22.8 24.2 9.4 — — 4.7 +2.2% 2,034 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 14.7
Ipsos May 31, 2022 [p 6] 41 25 24 6 — — 4 +2.2% 2,501 Telephone/Online 16
Nanos Research May 31, 2022 [p 7] 38.8 24.7 26.3 6.1 2 2.1 0.2 ±4.5% 465 Telephone/Online 12.5
Mainstreet Research May 31, 2022 [p 5] 35.4 23.9 26.2 9.2 — — 5.2 +2.1% 2,086 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Leger May 30, 2022 [p 8] 40 24 25 5 3 2 1 N/A 1,334 Online 15
Innovative Research Group May 30, 2022 [p 9] 34 24 29 8 3 — 2 N/A 637 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 30, 2022 [p 5] 39.3 22.5 26.8 6.4 — — 5.1 +2.1% 2,089 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.5
Earnscliffe/Leger May 29, 2022 [p 10] 39 24 26 5 — — 6 N/A 1,000 Online 13
Mainstreet Research May 29, 2022 [p 5] 36.6 23.5 27.2 6.8 — — 5.8 +2.2% 1,921 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.4
Counsel May 28, 2022 [p 11] 39.6 22.5 25.1 7.1 — — 5.7 +2% 2,411 Online 14.5
Mainstreet Research May 28, 2022 [p 5] 37.3 23.2 26.3 7.1 — — 6.1 +2.3% 1,789 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11
Mainstreet Research May 27, 2022 [p 5] 39.1 20.8 26.5 7.8 — — 5.8 +2.4% 1,694 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.6
Innovative Research Group May 27, 2022 [p 12] 40 21 28 9 — — 3 N/A 492 Telephone 12
Mainstreet Research May 26, 2022 [p 5] 38.3 21.6 26.9 7.6 — — 5.7 +2.4% 1,704 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11.4
Angus Reid May 25, 2022 [p 13] 38 24 26 7 — — 5 N/A 1,331 Online 12
EKOS May 25, 2022 [p 14] 33.7 23.8 26.9 8 4.7 — 3 +3.1% 1,017 IVR 6.8
Mainstreet Research May 25, 2022 [p 5] 36 23.5 26.1 8.5 — — 5.9 +2.4% 1,622 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.9
Mainstreet Research May 24, 2022 [p 5] 35.3 23.1 27.2 8 — — 6.4 +2.4% 1,724 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.1
Leger May 23, 2022 [p 15] 38 24 26 6 3 2 1 N/A 1,324 Online 12
Innovative Research Group May 23, 2022 [p 16] 35 23 30 9 — — 4 N/A 439 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 23, 2022 [p 5] 35.4 24.2 25.2 7.8 — — 7.4 +2.4% 1,696 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.2
Nanos Research May 22, 2022 [p 17] 37.3 23.2 28 6.3 3 1.7 0.3 ±4.5% 479 Telephone/Online 9.3
Earnscliffe/Leger May 22, 2022 [p 18] 36 24 28 6 — — 6 N/A 1,000 Online 8
EKOS May 22, 2022 [p 19] 34.5 24.1 26.7 6.6 5.3 — 2.7 +3.2% 948 IVR 7.8
Mainstreet Research May 22, 2022 [p 5] 35 23.8 25.1 8.2 — — 7.9 +2.4% 1,709 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.9
Abacus Data May 21, 2022 [p 20] 36 24 28 5 — — 8 N/A 1,228 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 21, 2022 [p 5] 34.4 25.1 26.7 7.2 — — 6.5 +2.4% 1,679 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.7
Mainstreet Research May 20, 2022 [p 5] 35.5 26.1 25.7 6.5 — — 6.3 +2.4% 1,734 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.4
Pollara May 19, 2022 [p 21] 40 21 27 8 — — 4 +2.5% 1,514 Telephone 13
Ipsos May 19, 2022 [p 22] 38 23 28 6 — — 5 +2.9% 1,501 Telephone/Online 10
Innovative Research Group May 19, 2022 [p 23] 36 26 28 8 — — 2 N/A 606 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 19, 2022 [p 5] 36.9 24.7 26.2 5.1 — — 7.2 +2.4% 1,686 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.7
Counsel May 18, 2022 [p 24] 36.9 24.3 27.5 6.1 — — 5.3 +2.1% 2,206 Online 9.4
Mainstreet Research May 18, 2022 [p 5] 37.2 23.4 24.8 6.7 — — 7.8 +2.4% 1,720 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 12.8
Nanos Research May 17, 2022 [p 25] 36.1 19.8 29.3 7.3 4.7 1.7 1.1 ±4.5% 484 Telephone/Online 6.8
Research Co. May 17, 2022 [p 26] 34 23 29 7 3 1 2 +4% 602 Online 5
EKOS May 17, 2022 [p 19] 40.7 23.9 24.3 5.1 — — 6.1 +4% 593 IVR 16.4
Mainstreet Research May 17, 2022 [p 5] 36.8 23.1 27.2 5.6 — — 7.3 +2.4% 1,675 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.6
Innovative Research Group May 16, 2022 [p 27] 36 23 31 7 — — 4 N/A 603 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 16, 2022 [p 5] 37.9 22.8 27.7 4.9 — — 6.8 +2.4% 1,675 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.2
Earnscliffe/Leger May 15, 2022 [p 28] 37 23 28 7 — — 5 N/A 1,000 Online 9
Leger May 15, 2022 [p 29] 37 23 28 5 3 3 1 N/A 830 Online 9
Abacus Data May 15, 2022 [p 30] 35 24 28 5 — — 7 N/A 798 Online 7
Mainstreet Research May 15, 2022 [p 5] 35.5 24.8 26.8 4.4 — — 8.5 +2.3% 1,792 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.7
Mainstreet Research May 14, 2022 [p 5] 36 25.4 27.6 4.1 — — 7 +2.3% 1,764 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8.4
Mainstreet Research May 13, 2022 [p 5] 36 24.4 26.8 5.2 — — 7.5 +2.3% 1,773 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 12, 2022 [p 5] 36.6 22.6 28.6 5.2 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8
Mainstreet Research May 11, 2022 [p 5] 38.8 21.1 28.1 5.4 — — 6.6 +2.4% 1,673 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 10.7
Mainstreet Research May 10, 2022 [p 5] 39.0 22.3 27.1 4.6 — — 7 +2.4% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 11.9
Mainstreet Research May 9, 2022 [p 5] 36.5 23.5 29 4.9 — — 6.1 +2.5% 1,639 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7.5
Abacus Data May 9, 2022 [p 31] 38 22 29 5 — — 7 N/A 1,208 Online 9
Innovative Research Group May 9, 2022 [p 32] 40 24 28 6 — — 3 N/A 600 Online 12
EKOS May 9, 2022 [p 33] 33.9 25.4 29.3 5.1 — — 6.3 +3.1% 1,000 IVR 4.6
Nanos Research May 8, 2022 [p 34] 35.4 23.7 30.4 4.2 3.6 1.4 1.2 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 5.0
Earnscliffe/Leger May 8, 2022 [p 35] 39 24 27 6 — — 3 N/A 1,000 Online 12
Leger May 8, 2022 [p 36] 39 25 26 4 3 1 2 N/A 819 Online 13
Mainstreet Research May 8, 2022 [p 5] 37 23 30 5 — — 5 +2.5% 1,515 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7
Mainstreet Research May 7, 2022 [p 5] 36.3 24.2 30.2 4.6 — — 4.6 +2.5% 1,496 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6.1
Mainstreet Research May 6, 2022 [p 5] 38.3 24.5 29.1 4 — — 4 +2.5% 1,532 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.2
Mainstreet Research May 5, 2022 [p 5] 37.4 25.7 28.1 4.6 — — 4.2 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.3
Forum Research May 4, 2022 [p 37] 37 26 29 4 — — 4 ±3% 1,541 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research May 4, 2022 [p 5] 36.7 25.1 27.1 5.7 — — 5.3 ±2.7% 1,335 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 9.6

Pre-campaign polls

Opinion polling before campaign period began
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
Nanos Research May 2, 2022 [p 38] 36.9 23.7 30.4 4.3 0.9 2.8 0.8 ±4.4% 500 Telephone/Online 6.5
Innovative Research Group May 2, 2022 [p 39] 37 24 29 7 — — 2 N/A 1,409 Online 8
Earnscliffe/Leger May 1, 2022 [p 40] 35 24 28 7 — — 6 N/A 1,001 Online 7
Ipsos May 1, 2022 [p 41] 39 25 26 6 — — 5 ±2.9% 1,501 Telephone/Online 13
Mainstreet Research April 27, 2022 [p 5] 38.1 18.1 30.4 5.1 — — 8.3 ±2.6% 1,422 IVR 7.7
Earnscliffe/Leger April 24, 2022 [p 42] 38 25 28 5 — — 5 N/A 1,000 Online 10
Abacus Data April 19, 2022 [p 43] 36 23 32 6 — — 4 ±2.1% 1,500 Online 4
Mainstreet Research April 19, 2022 [p 5] 39.6 21.2 25.4 5.6 — — 7.6 ±2.8% 1,211 IVR 14.2
Ipsos April 14, 2022 [p 44] 35 23 32 5 — — 5 ±3.5% 1,001 Online 3
Mainstreet Research April 12, 2022 [p 5] 36 24 28 5 — — 6 ±2.8% 1239 IVR 8
Mainstreet Research April 6, 2022 [p 5] 39.2 24.1 25.8 3.4 — — 7.5 ±2.7% 1,289 IVR 13.4
Mainstreet Research March 31, 2022 [p 45] 36 22 31 4 — — 7 ±2.8% 1,252 IVR 5
Leger March 28, 2022 [p 46] 39 24 25 5 5 — 3 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 14
Angus Reid March 15, 2022 [p 47] 37 29 25 4 — — 5 ±3% 1,063 Online 8
Ipsos March 15, 2022 [p 48] 38 24 28 4 — — 5 ±3.8% 850 Online 10
Mainstreet Research March 13, 2022 [p 49] 33.9 25.7 27.8 5 — — 7.6 ±3% 1,026 IVR 6.1
Leger February 27, 2022 [p 50] 39 27 27 3 2 — 2[lower-alpha 1] ±3.1% 1,001 Online 12
Mainstreet Research January 25, 2022 [p 51] 34.6 22.4 27.3 3.5 — — 12.3 ±3% 882 IVR 7.3
Leger January 24, 2022 [p 52] 37 25 26 7 3 — 5[lower-alpha 2] ±3.1% 1,000 Online 11
Counsel January 23, 2022 [p 53] 34.9 30.5 24.2 4.4 — — 6 ±2.1% 2,273 Online 4.4
EKOS January 17, 2022 [p 54] 34.8 26.6 26.3 4.9 — — 7.5 ±3.5% 844 IVR 8.2
Abacus Data January 12, 2022 [p 55] 37 25 28 5 — — 2.5 ±3.1% 1,210 Online 9
Angus Reid January 12, 2022 [p 56] 33 36 19 4 — — 8 N/A 909 Online 3
Innovative Research Group January 11, 2022 [p 57] 35 22 36 5 — — 2 N/A 428 Online 1
Mainstreet Research January 7, 2022 [p 58] 30.6 27.0 27.9 5.5 — — 9.0 ±2.7% 1,246 IVR 2.7
December 14, 2021Derek Sloan announced as the Leader of the Ontario Party
Leger December 13, 2021 [p 59] 38 28 25 5 2 — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 10
EKOS November 25, 2021 [p 60] 32.8 23.1 28.3 5.2 — — 10.5 ±4.1% 569 IVR 4.5
Innovative Research Group November 17, 2021 [p 61] 34.8 27 32.6 3.4 — — 2.2 N/A 1,000 Online 2.2
Leger November 14, 2021 [p 62] 34 26 31 6 2 — 1 ±3.1% 1,001 Online 3
Leger October 10, 2021 [p 63] 35 25 30 5 — — 5 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 5
Angus Reid October 3, 2021 [p 64] 34 32 25 4 — — 5 N/A 910 Online 2
Angus Reid June 7, 2021 [p 65] 37 33 22 6 — — 3 ±2% 791 Online 4
Leger May 23, 2021 [p 66] 34 25 26 9 — — — ±3.1% 1,001 Online 8
Mainstreet Research May 16, 2021 [p 67] 32.7 28.2 26.9 6.3 — — 5.9 ±3% 958 IVR 4.5
Campaign Research May 8, 2021 [p 68] 36 25 28 7 — — 4 ±2% 2,009 Online 8
Innovative Research Group May 4, 2021 [p 69] 32 22 36 8 — — 2 N/A 481 Online 4
Abacus Data April 21, 2021 [p 70] 34 23 35 5 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,007 Online 1
Innovative Research Group April 20, 2021 [p 71] 30 26 35 8 — — 1 N/A 800 Online 5
Abacus Data April 14, 2021 [p 72] 34 23 34 5 — — 4 ±3.5% 817 Online 0
Innovative Research Group April 13, 2021 [p 73] 32 24 33 8 — — 2 N/A 704 Online 1
EKOS April 12, 2021 [p 74] 34.6 23.5 29.9 8.9 — — 3 ±2.8% 1,204 IVR 4.7
Campaign Research April 6, 2021 [p 75] 41 22 24 10 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,886 Online 17
Leger March 22, 2021 [p 76] 38 28 23 8 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,002 Online 10
Campaign Research March 11, 2021 [p 77] 43 25 20 9 — — 3 ±2.7% 1,344 Online 18
Mainstreet Research February 16, 2021 [p 78] 43 22 25 6 — — 4 ±3.08% 1,011 IVR 18
Campaign Research January 31, 2021 [p 79] 44 25 21 8 — — 3 ±2.6% 1,427 Online 19
Abacus Data January 12, 2021 [p 80] 34 25 29 8 — — 3 ±3.48% 793 Online 5
Mainstreet Research December 5, 2020 [p 81] 46.2 23.4 19.9 6.2 — — 4.3 ±2.94% 1,014 IVR 22.8
Campaign Research December 3, 2020 [p 82] 45 20 24 8 — — 5 ±3% 1,001 Online 21
Angus Reid November 30, 2020 [p 83] 42 28 22 5 — — 3 N/A 1,049 Online 14
Campaign Research November 2, 2020 [p 84] 48 21 23 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,118 Online 25
Abacus Data October 30, 2020 [p 85] 36 25 29 7 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
October 12, 2020Jim Karahalios forms the New Blue Party
Abacus Data October 12, 2020 [p 86] 36 29 26 6 — — 2 ±3.1% 1,000 Online 7
Campaign Research October 2, 2020 [p 87] 46 24 20 9 — — 2 ±3% 1,017 Online 22
Campaign Research September 3, 2020 [p 88] 48 22 24 6 — — 2 ±3% 1,129 Online 24
Angus Reid September 1, 2020 [p 89] 45 28 22 4 — — 1 ±3% 1,026 Online 17
Campaign Research August 13, 2020 [p 90] 41 23 26 8 — — 3 ±2% 2,013 Online 15
Innovative Research Group July 20, 2020 [p 91] 36 18 37 8 — — 1 N/A 974 Online 1
Campaign Research July 10, 2020 [p 92] 45 20 27 7 — — 1 ±3% 1,395 Online 18
Innovative Research Group June 23, 2020 [p 93] 31 21 39 9 — — 1 N/A 838 Online 8
Mainstreet Research June 7, 2020 [p 94] 41.8 23.0 27.7 5.5 — — 2.0 ±3% 1,068 IVR 14.1
Campaign Research June 2, 2020 [p 95] 44 22 27 6 — — 2 ±2.5% 1,512 Online 17
Innovative Research Group June 1, 2020 [p 96] 33 20 38 9 — — 0 N/A 698 Online 5
Angus Reid May 24, 2020 [p 97] 43 26 25 6 — — 1 N/A 1,061 Online 17
Abacus Data May 22, 2020 [p 98] 36 19 38 5 — — 2 ±4.1% 597 Online 2
Innovative Research Group May 5, 2020 [p 99] 34 18 39 7 — — 1 N/A 791 Online 5
EKOS March 26, 2020 [p 100] 31.5 17.9 40.4 7.1 — — 3.1 ±3.5% 774 IVR 8.9
Mainstreet Research March 20, 2020 [p 101] 33.1 23.2 33.0 6.9 — — 3.8 ±2.73% 1,017 IVR 0.1
7 March 2020Steven Del Duca is elected as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Campaign Research March 5, 2020 [p 102] 32 28 28 10 — — 2 ±2.9% 1,144 Online 4
Angus Reid February 28, 2020 [p 103] 36 31 24 8 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,051 Online 5
Campaign Research February 26, 2020 [p 104] 32 28 29 9 — — 3 ±3.1% 1,003 Online 3
Campaign Research February 9, 2020 [p 105] 30 26 30 11 — — 3 ±2.5% 1,536 Online 0
EKOS January 19, 2020 [p 106] 31.1 21.2 36.2 9.1 — — 2.3 ±3.9% 634 IVR 5.1
Pollara January 11, 2020 [p 107] 29 27 33 9 — — 2 ±2.1% 2,198 Online 4
EKOS December 10, 2019 [p 108] 29.9 24.4 32.4 9.4 — — 3.9 ±3.4% 811 IVR 2.5
Campaign Research September 9, 2019 [p 109] 32 27 28 11 — — 2 ±3.17% 957 Online 4
Corbett Communications August 16, 2019 [p 110] 30 28 30 11 — — 2 ±3.0% 1,099 Online 0
Corbett Communications July 10, 2019 [p 111] 28 26 28 15 — — 3 ±3.0% 936 Online 0
Corbett Communications June 6, 2019 [p 112] 32 27 26 13 — — 1 ±3.0% 1,555 Online 5
Mainstreet Research May 22, 2019 [p 113] 22.4 24.2 39.9 11.7 — — 1.8 ±3.1% 996 IVR 15.7
Ipsos May 21, 2019 [p 114] 30 29 32 — — — 10 ±3.5% 1,000 Online 2
Corbett Communications May 3, 2019 [p 115] 35 25 27 12 — — 1 ±2.4% 1,836 Online 8
Pollara May 1, 2019 [p 116] 30 31 26 11 — — 1 ±2.5% 1,527 Online 1
Mainstreet Research March 22, 2019 [p 117] 34.4 26.6 26.0 9.4 — — 3.6 ±2.73% 1,290 IVR 7.8
Innovative Research Group January 24, 2019 [p 118] 33 23 36 7 — — 1 751 Online 3
Mainstreet Research January 17, 2019 [p 119] 41.4 27.0 22.6 7.0 — — 2.2 ±2.92% 1,127 IVR 14.4
EKOS December 3, 2018 [p 120] 34.3 26.1 28.0 9.4 — — 2.3 ±3.1% 1,025 IVR 6.3
Campaign Research November 9, 2018 [p 121] 34 25 32 7 — — 2 ±2.3% 1,830 Online 2
Mainstreet Research November 7, 2018 [p 122] 42.2 26.5 21.3 6.4 — — 3.5 ±2.79% 1,229 IVR 15.7
Innovative Research Group October 28, 2018 [p 123] 35 25 32 7 — — 1 1,628 Online 3
Abacus Data October 1, 2018 [p 124] 36 29 24 8 — — 3 1,500 Online 7
Mainstreet Research July 17, 2018 [p 125] 41.7 27.8 21.3 6.7 — — 2.5 ±2.27% 1,861 IVR 13.9
29 June 2018Doug Ford is sworn in as Premier of Ontario
Innovative Research Group June 21, 2018 [p 118] 37 36 19 7 — — 2 ±4.0% 607 Telephone 1
14 June 2018John Fraser becomes interim leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
7 June 2018Kathleen Wynne resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
2018 election June 7, 2018 — 40.50 33.56 19.59 4.60 — 0.04 1.74 — 5,744,860 — 6.94
Polling firm Last date
of polling		 Source Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Ontario Other

Notes

Results

The disproportionality of elections to the Legislative Assembly in the 2022 election was 22.59 according to the Gallagher Index, mainly due to the disparity between the vote share and seat share of the Liberals and PCs.

Despite only posting a marginal increase in the popular vote, the Progressive Conservative Party won with an increased parliamentary majority.[170]

PC gains came primarily at the expense of the New Democratic Party, who lost significant vote share primarily to the Liberal Party. Nevertheless, the NDP maintained their role as official opposition by a large margin. Although she won her seat, Andrea Horwath resigned as leader of the NDP.[171]

Despite edging out the NDP for second place in the popular vote, the Liberals only gained one seat and failed to regain official party status. After failing to win in his own riding, Liberal leader Steven Del Duca also announced his resignation as party leader.[172]

The only two candidates outside the three largest parties to be elected were Green Party leader Mike Schreiner and independent candidate Bobbi Ann Brady, who prior to the election was the executive assistant to the retiring PC MPP in her riding.

As of 19:30 GMT on 3 June, the full unofficial results are as follows:[173][174]

↓
83 31 8 1 1
Progressive Conservative New Democratic Liberal G I
Party Votes Seats
Progressive Conservative 1,912,057
40.82%
 Increase 0.32pp
83 / 124 (67%)
New Democratic 1,111,923
23.74%
 Decrease 9.85pp
31 / 124 (25%)
Liberal 1,116,961
23.85%
 Increase 4.28pp
8 / 124 (6%)
Green 279,152
5.96%
 Increase 1.36pp
1 / 124 (0.8%)
Independent[a 1] 25,334
0.54%
 Increase 0.40pp
1 / 124 (0.8%)
Popular vote
PC
 
 40.82%
Liberal
 
 23.85%
New Democratic
 
 23.74%
Green
 
 5.96%
Others
 
 5.63%
Seat summary
PC
 
 66.94%
New Democratic
 
 25.00%
Liberal
 
 6.45%
Green
 
 0.81%
Others
 
 0.81%
  1. ↑ Bobbi Ann Brady was elected for Haldimand—Norfolk with 15,921 votes, or 0.34% of the vote.

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2022 Ontario general election[a 1][a 2][a 3]
Riding 2018 Winning party Turnout
[a 4][a 5]		 Votes[a 6]
Party Votes Share Margin
#		 Margin
%		 PC NDP Lib Green NB Ont Ind Other Total
 
Ajax PCPC 15,33640.69%1,7754.71%39.96%15,3366,29113,5611,305625330239–37,687
Algoma—Manitoulin NDPNDP 11,25245.93%2,56010.45%42.47%8,69211,2522,1337641,302356––24,499
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill PCPC 17,34053.26%7,34022.55%38.19%17,3402,50110,0001,268649732–6932,559
Barrie—Innisfil PCPC 18,22550.25%11,28331.11%39.61%18,2256,9426,5642,2911,22076414711936,272
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte PCPC 16,63142.10%2960.75%46.75%16,6313,09316,3351,6991,104638––39,500
Bay of Quinte PCPC 21,38149.30%12,30828.38%45.91%21,3819,0738,0032,7191,1281,062––43,366
Beaches—East York NDPLib 14,39835.42%8982.21%49.58%7,53613,50014,3984,154441310–30940,648
Brampton Centre NDPPC 10,11941.36%3,59714.70%36.67%10,1196,5226,119882821–––24,463
Brampton East NDPPC 12,86944.32%3,85213.27%36.35%12,8699,0176,131557295167––29,036
Brampton North NDPPC 13,50944.99%4,87016.22%38.46%13,5095,9498,639895610423––30,025
Brampton South PCPC 12,98045.38%5,02317.56%35.81%12,9805,4757,9571,028974––18828,602
Brampton West PCPC 14,75147.84%6,66221.60%34.19%14,7516,3988,089854511233––30,836
Brantford—Brant PCPC 20,73844.17%7,45515.88%42.05%20,73813,2836,0833,1742,08964015778946,953
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound PCPC 20,30448.56%11,80528.23%47.02%20,3045,8178,4993,7021,1301,68020147841,811
Burlington PCPC 22,34842.55%6,89613.13%51.63%22,3489,26215,4523,5151,310633––52,520
Cambridge PCPC 14,59037.03%5,84514.83%43.22%14,5908,7458,1553,5374,374–––39,401
Carleton PCPC 22,29548.15%9,84321.26%48.79%22,2957,25612,4522,5371,037494–23546,306
Chatham-Kent—Leamington PCPC 17,52247.52%6,35917.25%44.87%17,52211,163–1,2441,4635,478––36,870
Davenport NDPNDP 20,24257.06%13,42737.85%43.30%4,99420,2426,8151,71039540021670135,473
Don Valley East LibLib 12,31343.86%3,27511.66%42.37%9,0384,35512,3131,13932329519242128,076
Don Valley North PCPC 15,04147.41%3,35610.58%40.76%15,0413,13311,6851,179690–––31,728
Don Valley West LibLib 16,17744.01%1,9695.36%49.36%14,2083,39216,1772,0254211678528536,760
Dufferin—Caledon PCPC 22,91149.67%14,22330.86%42.07%22,9114,9678,6786,5182,280589–18446,127
Durham PCPC 22,61445.85%10,33820.96%43.71%22,6149,16812,2761,9811,898686697–49,320
Eglinton—Lawrence PCPC 16,60542.30%5241.33%46.72%16,6053,80116,0811,51339326821638139,258
Elgin—Middlesex—London PCPC 22,36951.08%14,39632.87%44.78%22,3697,9737,6182,0432,2381,092–45843,791
Essex NDPPC 24,92651.10%11,13322.82%47.21%24,92613,7934,1869891,2933,322–27148,780
Etobicoke Centre PCPC 22,03548.59%6,59214.54%48.55%22,0353,90615,4432,0361,117530–28445,351
Etobicoke—Lakeshore PCPC 17,97837.48%8421.76%45.28%17,9788,59517,1362,2781,612–18618147,966
Etobicoke North PCPC 13,93455.51%8,05032.07%33.98%13,9343,2905,884690391782–13225,103
Flamborough—Glanbrook PCPC 20,30646.20%10,31123.46%46.91%20,3069,9958,9702,3921,492710–8643,951
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell PCPC 18,66142.05%1,1322.55%45.56%18,6613,78917,5291,6701,924809––44,382
Guelph GrnGrn 29,75254.45%18,60334.05%49.39%11,1494,4027,26329,7521,619––45354,638
Haldimand—Norfolk PCInd 15,92135.05%2,0704.56%48.88%13,8516,3113,3291,8411,4542,35316,02026845,427
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock PCPC 25,59452.31%17,90236.59%48.14%25,5947,6926,5903,6958883,949–51848,926
Hamilton Centre NDPNDP 16,69057.26%11,89040.79%37.94%4,80016,6903,7992,55448345114522529,147
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek NDPPC 12,16634.60%2,5527.26%40.95%12,1669,6147,4111,7406931,0522,4117935,166
Hamilton Mountain NDPNDP 15,25044.81%5,03914.81%41.49%10,21115,2505,3001,913770590––34,034
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas NDPNDP 18,19740.42%3,3457.43%48.45%14,85218,1978,1842,416904464––45,017
Hastings—Lennox and Addington PCPC 18,15647.55%10,89828.54%47.12%18,1567,2587,1021,7321,1292,807––38,184
Humber River—Black Creek NDPNDP 7,95934.49%8833.83%33.15%6,8657,9597,076430281357110–23,078
Huron—Bruce PCPC 24,36951.97%15,59433.26%54.16%24,3697,6798,7751,9223,3844742127746,892
Kanata—Carleton PCPC 19,87143.61%8,82619.37%51.38%19,87111,04510,6722,5031,085393––45,569
Kenora—Rainy River PCPC 9,56759.57%6,36839.65%40.21%9,5673,1991,823608393276959816,059
Kiiwetinoong NDPNDP 2,74257.57%1,31627.63%30.40%1,4262,742281158156–––4,763
King—Vaughan PCPC 23,43957.31%11,78128.81%39.79%23,4392,84011,6581,1041,400309–14740,897
Kingston and the Islands NDPLib 18,36037.66%3,1746.51%46.84%11,97315,18618,3601,60142982713024348,749
Kitchener Centre NDPNDP 15,78940.59%5,41313.91%46.21%10,37615,7895,7284,9802,029–––38,902
Kitchener—Conestoga PCPC 15,04540.03%4,19411.16%48.88%15,04510,8516,5902,3152,223501–6437,589
Kitchener South—Hespeler PCPC 13,76839.91%4,65013.48%42.16%13,7689,1185,6293,9931,436552––34,496
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex PCPC 24,93358.81%16,94639.97%47.28%24,9337,9874,0631,6882,701727–30042,399
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston PCPC 22,14250.11%12,99629.41%50.02%22,1429,1466,9622,9827531,66321332444,185
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes PCPC 24,65757.69%16,91139.56%49.18%24,6575,7997,7462,583944536–47942,744
London—Fanshawe NDPNDP 16,12347.06%4,89914.30%36.56%11,22416,1233,5531,2001,072539–54934,260
London North Centre NDPNDP 17,08239.65%4,0319.36%42.13%13,05117,0829,0132,0641,200368–30743,085
London West NDPNDP 22,51045.13%5,62411.27%48.62%16,88622,5106,0771,7131,277521–89849,882
Markham—Stouffville PCPC 21,17648.43%5,66412.95%44.51%21,1764,13715,5121,723658517––43,723
Markham—Thornhill PCPC 14,01148.82%3,24811.32%39.68%14,0112,59710,763733376––21928,699
Markham—Unionville PCPC 19,98556.42%9,21126.00%39.12%19,9852,57910,7741,299536249––35,422
Milton PCPC 16,76643.07%1,6804.32%42.70%16,7663,77715,0861,6121,579––10738,927
Mississauga Centre PCPC 14,71943.60%2,4597.28%38.14%14,7194,14812,2601,188523332–58833,758
Mississauga East—Cooksville PCPC 13,84040.91%1,2063.57%39.58%13,8403,66412,6341,3451,599625–12133,828
Mississauga—Erin Mills PCPC 15,69342.15%1,7364.66%41.70%15,6934,52113,9571,594978495––37,235
Mississauga—Lakeshore PCPC 19,34145.09%3,5738.33%46.95%19,3413,64715,7682,1601,014501–45942,890
Mississauga—Malton PCPC 13,02844.89%4,19014.44%36.51%13,0285,1408,8381,173844–––29,023
Mississauga—Streetsville PCPC 17,31745.58%3,83810.10%42.67%17,3174,55413,4791,137737484–28137,989
Mushkegowuk—James Bay NDPNDP 3,42347.18%82911.43%39.40%2,5943,423852141222––237,255
Nepean PCPC 17,12339.26%2,0944.80%45.89%17,1238,43515,0291,696964370––43,617
Newmarket—Aurora PCPC 18,67144.97%5,60213.49%44.42%18,6715,28113,0692,3321,520532–11841,523
Niagara Centre NDPNDP 16,36039.70%8542.07%43.37%15,50616,3605,4921,8651,148837––41,208
Niagara Falls NDPNDP 24,20748.08%5,86511.65%43.60%18,34224,2074,2391,3561,409656–13550,344
Niagara West PCPC 18,77944.93%10,12124.22%53.16%18,7798,6588,0132,7021,0982,207–33941,796
Nickel Belt NDPNDP 15,61150.77%6,43020.91%45.51%9,18115,6113,0429211,522470––30,747
Nipissing PCPC 15,39250.20%6,72721.94%48.29%15,3928,6654,1501,025399616–41230,659
Northumberland—Peterborough South PCPC 26,41950.93%13,48325.99%51.72%26,4196,80612,9362,9421,1701,598––51,871
Oakville PCPC 21,16245.44%3,6087.75%50.29%21,1623,15417,5542,416764497–1,02246,569
Oakville North—Burlington PCPC 22,22147.18%5,59011.87%46.89%22,2214,67316,6312,0271,097446––47,095
Orléans LibLib 23,98246.26%15,41313.61%46.59%16,9267,15023,9822,359796442–18451,839
Oshawa NDPNDP 17,17042.07%7471.83%39.48%16,42317,1703,7261,6411,006843––40,809
Ottawa Centre NDPNDP 30,31154.34%17,71531.76%50.74%8,77330,31112,5962,718798–14044555,781
Ottawa South LibLib 18,28245.14%8,66321.39%42.48%9,3909,61918,2821,88567538615410940,500
Ottawa—Vanier LibLib 16,13241.89%6,10615.85%39.42%7,79810,02616,1323,019400587–71138,673
Ottawa West—Nepean PCNDP 15,69637.54%1,0862.60%47.42%14,61015,6969,3841,475–649––41,814
Oxford PCPC 22,16650.01%12,66228.57%46.45%22,1669,5045,4572,0971,5183,579––44,321
Parkdale—High Park NDPNDP 23,02453.97%13,47731.59%50.25%6,27023,0249,5472,587537349–35042,664
Parry Sound—Muskoka PCPC 20,21645.37%2,1144.74%53.09%20,2163,427–18,1028831,64915512644,558
Perth—Wellington PCPC 19,46846.80%10,29824.76%50.09%19,4689,1706,7082,6272,457985–18241,597
Peterborough—Kawartha PCPC 20,20538.58%4,2078.03%51.47%20,20511,19615,9981,9141,0881,972––52,373
Pickering—Uxbridge PCPC 19,20844.43%6,86315.87%45.29%19,2086,93412,3452,2665431,790–14643,232
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke PCPC 24,56361.12%17,69144.02%46.29%24,5636,8723,9281,4701,8681,162–32540,188
Richmond Hill PCPC 16,08852.24%6,26320.34%36.14%16,0882,8059,825917535519–10730,796
St. Catharines NDPNDP 17,12839.71%2,2775.28%46.66%14,85117,1287,1751,7641,103613–50243,136
Sarnia—Lambton PCPC 21,18452.72%11,69529.11%46.69%21,1849,4894,2001,2662,719351–97240,181
Sault Ste. Marie PCPC 12,60646.89%2,5779.59%44.49%12,60610,0291,610675894–1,070–26,884
Scarborough—Agincourt PCPC 14,04049.03%3,36811.76%39.43%14,0402,51210,672628292492––28,636
Scarborough Centre PCPC 11,47135.99%1,7935.63%41.25%11,4718,3589,67889235529735246631,869
Scarborough—Guildwood LibLib 13,40546.31%4,28214.79%41.63%9,1234,82413,405818366265–14828,949
Scarborough North PCPC 12,64648.31%4,89618.70%39.26%12,6464,8207,750479277105–10026,177
Scarborough—Rouge Park PCPC 15,98945.28%6,20517.57%45.12%15,9897,7429,784850285523–13935,312
Scarborough Southwest NDPNDP 16,84247.68%7,09220.08%44.34%9,75016,8426,5561,25138332011011435,326
Simcoe—Grey PCPC 27,06751.18%15,38029.08%43.52%27,0675,84911,6874,7422,1471,039–35552,886
Simcoe North PCPC 23,04149.80%14,83332.06%46.24%23,0418,2088,0704,0711,4381,119–31846,265
Spadina—Fort York NDPNDP 15,59546.06%6,13218.11%34.35%6,22115,5959,4631,902581––9533,857
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry PCPC 20,76657.50%14,30839.62%41.63%20,7664,9826,4581,4771,538893––36,114
Sudbury NDPNDP 12,01340.85%3,49411.88%44.60%8,51912,0135,7271,4807243539050429,410
Thornhill PCPC 18,39553.28%8,14823.60%39.88%18,3952,69810,2471,15593135136138434,522
Thunder Bay—Atikokan NDPPC 9,65736.31%8983.38%43.09%9,6578,7596,486781529248–13826,598
Thunder Bay—Superior North LibNDP 8,40434.12%8003.25%43.24%7,6048,4046,966738314338–27024,634
Timiskaming—Cochrane NDPNDP 9,73542.74%1,7117.51%42.61%8,0249,7351,6001,4851,181349–40522,779
Timmins NDPPC 9,35664.81%5,08535.22%43.54%9,3564,271–323421––6614,437
Toronto Centre NDPNDP 15,28543.77%2,4657.06%39.82%4,24515,28512,8201,784385––40234,921
Toronto—Danforth NDPNDP 22,89055.39%13,65033.03%49.44%5,55622,8909,2402,513515232–37841,324
Toronto—St. Paul's NDPNDP 15,29236.26%1,0922.59%48.07%9,44515,29214,2002,302473242–22542,179
University—Rosedale NDPNDP 13,96137.55%3,78910.19%43.20%6,53513,96110,1725,904469––14037,181
Vaughan—Woodbridge PCPC 19,34053.78%6,72518.70%44.03%19,3401,92712,615694802304–27635,958
Waterloo NDPNDP 20,61545.89%7,43916.56%48.41%13,17620,6156,2513,1101,178359–23344,922
Wellington—Halton Hills PCPC 25,04950.61%17,32535.00%48.38%25,0497,7246,9207,0022,548––25049,493
Whitby PCPC 21,84047.37%11,31625.54%44.88%21,84010,5249,5562,39790351916819746,104
Willowdale PCPC 14,10544.66%2,1156.70%39.84%14,1053,25311,9901,14339233813223031,583
Windsor—Tecumseh NDPPC 17,69245.89%6,14115.93%40.61%17,69211,5515,5981,0027861,21952417938,551
Windsor West NDPNDP 13,39542.19%2,1846.88%33.62%11,21113,3954,1598796301,478––31,752
York Centre PCPC 12,94746.03%3,96314.09%38.94%12,9473,9358,984799411679–37328,128
York—Simcoe PCPC 20,78956.76%14,47039.51%39.00%20,7894,0836,3192,6911,633698–41536,628
York South—Weston NDPPC 11,13836.60%7962.62%38.11%11,13810,3427,377770345251209–30,432
  = open seat
  = turnout is above provincial average
  = incumbent re-elected under the same party banner
  = incumbent switched allegiance after 2018 election
  = other incumbents renominated
  1. ↑ Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  2. ↑ Summarized from "Statistical Summary by Electoral District: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  3. ↑ Summarized from "Summary of Valid Votes Cast for Each Candidate: 2022 Provincial General Election". Elections Ontario. Retrieved December 15, 2022.
  4. ↑ including spoilt ballots
  5. ↑ Provincewide turnout was 44.06%
  6. ↑ minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately

Post-election pendulum

The robustness of the margins of victory for each party can be summarized in electoral pendulums. These are not necessarily a measure of the volatility of the respective riding results. The following tables show the margins over the various 2nd-place contenders, for which one-half of the value represents the swing needed to overturn the result. Actual seat turnovers in the 2022 election are noted for reference.

  = seats that turned over in the election
Post-election pendulum - 2022 Ontario general election[a 1][a 2][a 3]
PC (83 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte  Lib 0.75
Eglinton—Lawrence  Lib 1.33
Etobicoke—Lakeshore  Lib 1.76
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell  Lib 2.55
York South—Weston  NDP 2.62
Thunder Bay—Atikokan  NDP 3.38
Mississauga East—Cooksville  Lib 3.57
Milton  Lib 4.32
Mississauga—Erin Mills  Lib 4.66
Ajax  Lib 4.71
Parry Sound—Muskoka  Grn 4.74
Nepean  Lib 4.80
Margins 5%–10%
Scarborough Centre  Lib 5.63
Willowdale  Lib 6.70
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek  NDP 7.26
Mississauga Centre  Lib 7.28
Oakville  Lib 7.75
Peterborough—Kawartha  Lib 8.03
Mississauga—Lakeshore  Lib 8.33
Sault Ste. Marie  NDP 9.59
Margins 10%–20%
Mississauga—Streetsville  Lib 10.10
Don Valley North  Lib 10.58
Kitchener—Conestoga  NDP 11.16
Markham—Thornhill  Lib 11.32
Scarborough—Agincourt  Lib 11.76
Oakville North—Burlington  Lib 11.87
Markham—Stouffville  Lib 12.95
Burlington  Lib 13.13
Brampton East  NDP 13.27
Kitchener South—Hespeler  NDP 13.48
Newmarket—Aurora  Lib 13.49
York Centre  Lib 14.09
Mississauga—Malton  Lib 14.44
Etobicoke Centre  Lib 14.54
Brampton Centre  NDP 14.70
Cambridge  NDP 14.83
Pickering—Uxbridge  Lib 15.87
Brantford—Brant  NDP 15.88
Windsor—Tecumseh  NDP 15.93
Brampton North  Lib 16.22
Chatham-Kent—Leamington  NDP 17.25
Brampton South  Lib 17.56
Scarborough—Rouge Park  Lib 17.57
Scarborough North  Lib 18.70
Vaughan—Woodbridge  Lib 18.70
Kanata—Carleton  NDP 19.37
Margins > 20%
Richmond Hill  Lib 20.34
Durham  Lib 20.96
Carleton  Lib 21.26
Brampton West  Lib 21.60
Nipissing  NDP 21.94
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill  Lib 22.55
Essex  NDP 22.82
Flamborough—Glanbrook  NDP 23.46
Thornhill  Lib 23.60
Niagara West  NDP 24.22
Perth—Wellington  NDP 24.76
Whitby  NDP 25.54
Northumberland—Peterborough South  Lib 25.99
Markham—Unionville  Lib 26.00
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound  Lib 28.23
Bay of Quinte  NDP 28.38
Hastings—Lennox and Addington  NDP 28.54
Oxford  NDP 28.57
King—Vaughan  Lib 28.81
Simcoe—Grey  Lib 29.08
Sarnia—Lambton  NDP 29.11
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston  NDP 29.41
Dufferin—Caledon  Lib 30.86
Barrie—Innisfil  NDP 31.11
Simcoe North  NDP 32.06
Etobicoke North  Lib 32.07
Elgin—Middlesex—London  NDP 32.87
Huron—Bruce  Lib 33.26
Wellington—Halton Hills  NDP 35.00
Timmins  NDP 35.22
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock  NDP 36.59
York—Simcoe  Lib 39.51
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes  Lib 39.56
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry  Lib 39.62
Kenora—Rainy River  NDP 39.65
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex  NDP 39.97
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke  NDP 44.02
NDP (31 seats)
Margins 5% or less
Oshawa  PC 1.83
Niagara Centre  PC 2.07
Toronto—St. Paul's  Lib 2.59
Ottawa West—Nepean  PC 2.60
Thunder Bay—Superior North  PC 3.25
Humber River—Black Creek  Lib 3.83
Margins 5%–10%
St. Catharines  PC 5.28
Windsor West  PC 6.88
Toronto Centre  Lib 7.06
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas  PC 7.43
Timiskaming—Cochrane  PC 7.51
London North Centre  PC 9.36
Margins 10%–20%
University—Rosedale  Lib 10.19
Algoma—Manitoulin  PC 10.45
London West  PC 11.27
Mushkegowuk—James Bay  PC 11.43
Niagara Falls  PC 11.65
Sudbury  PC 11.88
Kitchener Centre  PC 13.91
London—Fanshawe  PC 14.30
Hamilton Mountain  PC 14.81
Waterloo  PC 16.56
Spadina—Fort York  Lib 18.11
Margins > 20%
Scarborough Southwest  PC 20.08
Nickel Belt  PC 20.91
Kiiwetinoong  PC 27.63
Parkdale—High Park  Lib 31.59
Ottawa Centre  Lib 31.76
Toronto—Danforth  Lib 33.03
Davenport  Lib 37.85
Hamilton Centre  PC 40.79
Liberal (8 seats)
Beaches—East York  NDP 2.21
Don Valley West  PC 5.36
Kingston and the Islands  NDP 6.51
Don Valley East  PC 11.66
Orléans  PC 13.61
Scarborough—Guildwood  PC 14.79
Ottawa—Vanier  NDP 15.85
Ottawa South  NDP 21.39
Green (1 seat)
Guelph  PC 34.05
Independent (1 seat)
Haldimand—Norfolk  PC 4.56

Results summary by region

Distribution of seats and popular vote %, by party by region (2022)
Region Seats Vote share (%) Change (pp)
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind PC NDP Lib Grn NB Ont PC NDP Lib Grn NB Ont Major swing
Central Ontario 10––––48.8614.2822.467.573.113.10+3.01-14.64+5.03+1.29+3.11+3.10  →  9.84
Eastern Ontario 7–1––48.0318.3822.524.802.872.89-2.54-8.63+5.76+0.59+2.87+2.69  →  7.15
Greater Toronto Area (905) 241–––46.9515.1830.013.742.371.22+1.15-12.29+8.10+0.75+2.37+1.22  →  10.20
Hamilton, Halton and Niagara 76–––38.6828.6022.465.152.521.67-0.29-9.11+5.23+0.85+2.52+1.67  →  7.17
Midwestern Ontario 82–1138.8423.4814.6612.655.011.80-3.33-9.90+1.74+2.84+5.01+1.61  →  7.45
Northeastern Ontario 45–––40.9033.928.2710.783.261.64+7.37-11.27-4.22+4.92+3.26+1.64  →  9.32
Northwest Ontario 22–––39.2132.0621.593.171.931.20+11.76-5.73-8.48-0.01+1.93+1.20  →  10.12
Ottawa 323––32.0827.3432.555.001.580.91-1.82-2.62+2.40+1.11+1.58+0.82  →  2.51
Southwestern Ontario 64–––44.1932.0011.833.443.763.69+4.70-13.86+2.53-0.41+3.76+3.69  →  9.28
Toronto 1294––32.2227.9431.864.851.410.84-2.55-7.14+6.53+1.52+1.41+0.84  →  6.84
Total 833181140.8323.7423.915.962.711.78+0.33-9.85+4.33+1.35+2.71+1.74  →  7.09

Detailed results

[175]

Election results for the 43rd Parliament of Ontario (2022)
Political party Party leader MPPs Votes
Candidates 2018 Dissol. 2022 ± # #± % ± (pp)
Progressive Conservative Doug Ford 124 76 67 83 7Increase 1,919,905 406,618Decrease 40.83% 0.64Increase
Liberal Steven Del Duca 121 7 7 8 1Increase 1,124,065 281Decrease 23.91% 4.49Increase
New Democratic Andrea Horwath 124 40 38 31 9Decrease 1,116,383 813,583Decrease 23.74% 9.60Decrease
Green Mike Schreiner 124 1 1 1 1Steady 280,006 15,487Increase 5.96% 1.39Increase
  Independents and no affiliation 40 – 6 1 1Increase 25,332 17,106Increase 0.54% 0.40Increase
New Blue Jim Karahalios 123 New 1 – – 127,462 New 2.71% New
Ontario Party Derek Sloan 105 – 1 – – 83,618 81,302Increase 1.78% 1.74Increase
None of the Above Greg Vezina 28 – – – – 6,202 9,944Decrease 0.13% 0.15Decrease
Libertarian Mark Snow 16 – – – – 5,242 37,580Decrease 0.11% 0.63Decrease
Populist Jim Torma 13 New – – – 2,638 New 0.06% New
Freedom Paul McKeever 11 – – – – 2,103 462Decrease 0.04% –
Communist Drew Garvie 12 – – – – 2,100 629Increase 0.04% 0.01Increase
Consensus Ontario Brad Harness 11 – – – – 1,651 1,031Decrease 0.04% 0.01Decrease
Moderate Yuri Duboisky 17 – – – – 1,618 581Decrease 0.03% 0.01Decrease
Canadians' Choice Party Bahman Yazdanfar 2 – – – – 568 671Decrease 0.01% 0.01Decrease
Confederation of Regions Murray Reid 3 – – – – 414 28Increase 0.01% –
People's Political Party Troy Young 3 – – – – 409 219Decrease 0.01% –
People's Progressive Common Front Raymond Samuels 3 New – – – 367 New 0.01% New
Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda Queenie Yu 3 – – – – 340 738Decrease 0.01% 0.01Decrease
Centrist Party Mansoor Qureshi 2 New – – – 295 New 0.01% New
Special Needs Lionel Poizner 2 – – – – 290 341Decrease 0.01% –
Northern Ontario Trevor Holliday 2 – – – – 283 5,629Decrease 0.01% 0.09Decrease
Public Benefit Party Kathleen Ann Sayer 2 New – – – 196 New – New
Electoral Reform Party Peter House 2 New – – – 182 New – New
Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party Lilya Eklishaeva 2 New – – – 182 New – New
Ontario Alliance Joshua E. Eriksen 2 – – – – 108 694Decrease – 0.01Decrease
  Vacant 3
Total 897 124 4,701,959 1,042,901Decrease 100.00%
Rejected, unmarked and declined ballots 30,517 30,909Decrease  
Turnout 4,732,476 1,073,810Decrease  
Registered voters / turnout % 10,740,426 44.06% 12.61Decrease

Summary analysis

Party candidates in 2nd place[176]
Party in 1st placeParty in 2nd placeTotal
PCNDPLiberalGrn
Progressive Conservative 33 49 1 83
New Democratic 22 9 31
Liberal 4 4 8
Green 1 1
Independent 1 1
Total 28 37 58 1 124
Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results[176]
PartiesSeats
█ Progressive Conservative █ New Democratic 55
█ Progressive Conservative █ Liberal 53
█ Progressive Conservative █ Green 2
█ New Democratic █ Liberal 13
█ Independent █ Progressive Conservative 1
Total 124
Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party[176]
Parties1st2nd3rd4th5thTotal
█ Progressive Conservative 832813124
█ New Democratic 3137542124
█ Liberal 858532121
█ Green 1129324121
█ Independent 123
█ New Blue 1168097
█ Ontario Party 191727
█ Confederation of Regions 11
█ Libertarian 11
█ None of the Above 11

Most marginal 2-way and 3-way contests

Top 10 marginal 2-way contests (2022)[176]
Riding1st2nd1st vs 2nd
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte 42.10% 41.35% 0.75%
Eglinton—Lawrence 42.30% 40.96% 1.34%
Etobicoke—Lakeshore 37.48% 35.72% 1.76%
Oshawa 42.07% 40.24% 1.83%
Niagara Centre 39.70% 37.63% 2.07%
Beaches—East York 35.42% 33.21% 2.21%
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell 42.05% 39.50% 2.55%
Toronto—St. Paul's 36.25% 33.66% 2.59%
Ottawa West—Nepean 37.54% 34.94% 2.60%
York South—Weston 36.60% 33.98% 2.62%
Top 10 marginal 3-way contests (2022)[176]
Riding1st2nd3rd1st vs 3rd
Humber River—Black Creek 34.49% 30.66% 29.75% 4.74%
Thunder Bay—Superior North 34.12% 30.87% 28.28% 5.84%
Scarborough Centre 36.00% 30.37% 26.23% 9.77%
Thunder Bay—Atikokan 36.31% 32.93% 24.39% 11.92%
York South—Weston 36.60% 33.98% 24.24% 12.36%
Kingston and the Islands 37.66% 31.15% 24.56% 13.10%
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek 34.60% 27.34% 21.08% 13.52%
Toronto—St. Paul's 36.25% 33.67% 22.39% 13.86%
Ottawa West—Nepean 37.54% 34.94% 22.44% 15.10%
Cambridge 37.03% 22.19% 20.70% 16.33%

Significant results among independent and minor party candidates

Those candidates not belonging to a major party, receiving more than 1,000 votes in the election, are listed below:

RidingPartyCandidatesVotesPlaced
Haldimand—Norfolk█ IndependentBobbi Ann Brady15,9211st
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek█ IndependentPaul Miller2,4114th
Sault Ste. Marie█ IndependentNaomi Sayers1,0704th

Seats changing hands

Of the 124 seats, 26 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 14 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2018.


Elections to the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 2018–2022
Party 2018 Gain from (loss to) 2022
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind
Progressive Conservative 769(1)(1)83
New Democratic 401(9)1(2)31
Liberal 72(1)8
Green 11
Independent –11
Total1242(9)11(2)1(2)–––(1)124

There were 14 seats that changed allegiance in the election:

Of the 14 seats that changed hands, seven were open seats where the MPPs chose to retire, and seven others saw their incumbents defeated.

Open seats taken by candidates of other parties (2022)
Riding Party Candidate Incumbent retiring from the House Won by Party
Beaches—East York █ New Democratic Kate Dupuis Rima Berns-McGown Mary-Margaret McMahon █ Liberal
Brampton North █ New Democratic Sandeep Singh Kevin Yarde[a 1] Graham McGregor █ Progressive Conservative
Essex █ New Democratic Ron LeClair Taras Natyshak Anthony Leardi █ Progressive Conservative
Haldimand—Norfolk █ Progressive Conservative Ken Hewitt Toby Barrett Bobbi Ann Brady █ Independent
Kingston and the Islands █ New Democratic Mary Rita Holland Ian Arthur Ted Hsu █ Liberal
Thunder Bay—Superior North █ Liberal Shelby Ch’ng Michael Gravelle Lise Vaugeois █ New Democratic
Windsor—Tecumseh █ New Democratic Gemma Grey-Hall Percy Hatfield Andrew Dowie █ Progressive Conservative
  1. ↑ sat as an Independent at dissolution
Incumbent MPPs defeated (2022)
Constituency Party Name Year elected Seat held by party since Defeated by Party
Brampton Centre █ New Democratic Sara Singh 2018 2018 Charmaine Williams █ Progressive Conservative
Brampton East █ New Democratic Gurratan Singh 2018 2018 Hardeep Grewal █ Progressive Conservative
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek █ New Democratic Paul Miller[a 1] 2007 2007 Neil Lumsden █ Progressive Conservative
Ottawa West—Nepean █ Progressive Conservative Jeremy Roberts 2018 2018 Chandra Pasma █ New Democratic
Thunder Bay—Atikokan █ New Democratic Judith Monteith-Farrell 2018 2018 Kevin Holland █ Progressive Conservative
Timmins █ New Democratic Gilles Bisson 1990 1990 George Pirie █ Progressive Conservative
York South—Weston █ New Democratic Faisal Hassan 2018 2018 Michael Ford █ Progressive Conservative
  1. ↑ chose to stand as an Independent in the election

Three PC MPPs had changed allegiance during the course of the past Legislature, but failed to secure reelection under their new banners. The seats reverted to the PCs.

Constituency Party (2018) Party (at dissolution) Name Year elected Changed allegiance Defeated by Party
Cambridge █ Progressive Conservative █ New Blue Belinda Karahalios 2018 2020 Brian Riddell █ Progressive Conservative
Chatham-Kent—Leamington █ Progressive Conservative █ Ontario Party Rick Nicholls 2011 2021 Trevor Jones █ Progressive Conservative
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell █ Progressive Conservative █ Liberal Amanda Simard 2018 2020 Stéphane Sarrazin █ Progressive Conservative
Resulting composition of the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario
SourceParty
PC NDP Lib Grn Ind Total
Seats retainedIncumbents returned55284188
Open seats held161219
Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation33
Seats changing handsIncumbents defeated617
Open seats gained31217
Total8331811124

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Opinion poll sources

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